Hong Kong has become the eye of the storm in the greater bay area.
Just now, Au Ka Wing, chief doctor of the Infectious Diseases Division of the Centre for Health Protection of the Department of Health, said that there were 34,466 new confirmed cases in Hong Kong in a single day, of which 4 cases were imported from abroad and the rest were local cases.
Tens of thousands of new cases have stunned many netizens.
This data has reached a new high since the epidemic.
If you have a friend from Guangdong, please call more and care about him.
These days, Shenzhen people, Dongguan people, Zhuhai people... It's not easy.
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In the past few days, the new one-day new diagnosis of the epidemic in Hong Kong has been creating a new record-
10,000 cases on the 25th, 17,000 on the 26th, 26,000 on the 27th, until today's 34,000 cases... It is not difficult to find that the spread of the new crown epidemic in Hong Kong has rushed in a direction that is not optimistic.
Since the outbreak of the fifth wave, more than 160,000 people have been diagnosed with the new crown virus, which is 12 times the total number since the outbreak of the epidemic in more than two years.
That's just the reported data. Ho Pak-leung, Director of the Centre for Infection and Infectious Diseases at HKU, estimates that the fifth wave of the epidemic may have been confirmed in 200,000 cases.
The current epidemic in Hong Kong is too difficult.
Even if the fatality rate of Aomi Kerong is not high, it cannot withstand the large number of infection bases-
Some media reported that the number of deaths from the epidemic in Hong Kong has increased to 246 in the past week.
The relevant reports make people look at it and feel sad.
Morgues in public hospitals are not enough to store the remains, and emergency rooms in some hospitals have even become "temporary morgues".
In the case of the outbreak of the epidemic, it is always the ordinary people who are struggling to live.
Because of Hong Kong's housing problems, many residents live in subdivided houses, which is almost a ticking time bomb – because the houses are narrow, these people can only share with their neighbors' kitchen toilets.
A single mother living in a subdivided house in Tsuen Wan is on the verge of collapse.
She lives in a house of five inches (i.e. a room divided into five units) and is occupied by nearly 20 people. In the middle of the month, she was diagnosed positive for the new crown and passed the virus on to her young son, despite wearing a mask almost 24 hours a day.
This is not an isolated case. It is not uncommon for one person to be recruited and 11 people to be infected.
Feng Zijian, deputy director of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, said in an interview that the fifth wave of the epidemic in Hong Kong is currently in a period of rapid spread and accelerated rise.
In the future, how many people will be caught up in the whirlpool of the epidemic?
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There are also outbreaks elsewhere in the Greater Bay Area.
Shenzhen, a well-known "money- making" city in the country, has highlighted the true color of "making money" under the epidemic.
On Friday (February 25), Shenzhen Kexing Science Park, which was once the last place in China to work overtime, finally left work early.
With the rumors of Futian District to strengthen control, tens of thousands of people in Kexing Science Park left work early, and in the process of "great evacuation", the "most Shenzhen" side appeared - carrying desktops to run.
(Picture from Weibo)
Other cities run poison belts to eat and drink, but Shenzhen people carry computers.
"Carrying luggage to work, bringing computers to work" is the basic consciousness of contemporary Shenzhen workers.
Life is not easy, Shenzhen's takeaway brother, tied the quilt to the food delivery motorcycle, where to go to take.
Because of the fear that the village will be closed at any time, at least there will be a bed sheet wrapped.
There are also hard-pressed Shenzhen seniors, interning during the day, going to test nucleic acid after work, and going home at night to catch papers... There is only hope that the virus will recede as soon as possible.
At present, Dongguan and Zhongshan are also nervous.
This morning (28th), Tanzhou Town, Zhongshan City, found a case of positivity, emergency "town closure".
All roads in and out of Tanzhou Town are subject to comprehensive temporary control, and only enter and exit; the primary and secondary schools and kindergartens in the town are temporarily closed...
The same scene was staged in Dongguan three days ago (February 25). Dalang Town, which is adjacent to Shenzhen, was subject to traffic control throughout the territory because of the discovery of multiple positive cases.
Although the epidemic situation in these two cities has not yet been directed to Hong Kong, it can be said that it is imperative to build a defense line for the internal loss of the epidemic at sea.
Two weeks ago, a number of cities in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area rushed to issue a "reward order" to crack down on smuggling, with a maximum reward of 100,000 yuan for reporting smuggling.
Even in some coastal areas of Shenzhen, a barbed wire fence was pulled up, and the fence read "Anti-smuggling and anti-smuggling, strictly prevent the import of the epidemic".
In order to prevent people from smuggling at night, some parks have also arranged searchlights:
Ordinary Hong Kong people who are anxious hope to go north to "avoid the epidemic".
No wonder some people joke that now it is not to see whether Hong Kong's blood is thick or not, but to see whether Guangdong's blood is thick or not.
At 0-24:00 on February 27, there were 53 new imported confirmed cases in Guangdong Province. Among them, 31 cases were reported in Shenzhen, 6 cases were reported in Zhuhai, 2 cases were reported in Huizhou, 1 case was reported in Shanwei, 7 cases were reported in Dongguan, 1 case was reported in Zhongshan, and 1 case was reported in Jiangmen, all from Hong Kong.
Shenzhen is on the one hand to prevent rebound inside, while the outside to prevent input.
According to the eight-point jianwen report, a number of virology experts said that the focus of Shenzhen's epidemic prevention and control is external prevention and import. As of 24:00 on February 26, 2022, a total of 397 confirmed cases were imported from outside Shenzhen, including 180 in Hong Kong.
Although the source of the epidemic in Shenzhen is not clear, expert Chang Rongshan used the term "permeable" to describe: "It may be that Hong Kong has infiltrated, there are many young people in Shenzhen, and it is more likely that there will be a headless epidemic, and the source cannot be found for several generations." ”
At present, the Shenzhen medium-risk zone has involved Luohu District, Nanshan District, Longgang District and other districts.
Groups engaged in the cross-border transport industry between Shenzhen and Hong Kong are the hardest hit areas of infection.
Since February 4, as of February 25, a total of 190 cross-border drivers have been tested positive at the Shenzhen port. It involves Shenzhen Bay Port, Wenjindu Port, Shatoujiao Port, Huanggang Port and Liantang Port.
After all, Shenzhen is an important gateway on the "lifeline" of mainland supplies to Hong Kong. 90% of the fresh vegetables eaten by Hong Kong citizens every day come from the mainland, and chilled poultry and meat are also greatly dependent on the mainland.
Shenzhen Port released data in 2020 that about 11,000 Cross-border truck drivers in Shenzhen and Hong Kong have implemented the filing list management, which is jointly managed by Shenzhen and Hong Kong.
In principle, cross-border drivers are closed-loop management, "three points and one line".
But not everyone is obediently cooperating.
At a press conference in Shenzhen on the evening of February 24, it was revealed that Shenzhen has severely punished 882 cross-border drivers who violated the "three points and one line" management regulations.
If someone violates the rules, it means potential risks.
In Shenzhen, the "free action" pass is no longer a green code, but a 24-hour nucleic acid negative certificate.
Want to walk your dog in Futian District Mangrove Ecological Park? Want to purchase in Shenzhen Nantou Carrefour supermarket? Guangdong-Hong Kong cross-border truck drivers want to enter?
Sorry, all of the above must have a 24-hour nucleic acid negative certificate.
At this moment, whether it is a Shenzhen person, or a Dongguan or Zhongshan person, the wish is very simple: it is Christmas Eve when you open your eyes, and you can continue to work.
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Not far across the river, there are many Hong Kong people who stay up all night.
When will this wave of menacing epidemics sweeping through Hong Kong end?
Kong Fanyi, a clinical professor in the Department of Internal Medicine of HKU, said on the 26th that the fifth wave of the epidemic may peak in early March or mid-march, when 20,000 or 30,000 people may be confirmed every day, and the number of deaths in March can reach 1,000.
What is this concept?
You know, the total population of Hong Kong is only 7.5 million.
The university's medical school forecast is more pessimistic. In the simulation model of the development of the fifth wave of THE novel coronavirus disease in Hong Kong, updated on 21 February, they predicted the development pattern of the fifth wave of the epidemic:
On February 28, the actual number of new infections per day was 147,000, and the cumulative number of infected people was 1.106 million
On March 7, 181,000 new infections were reported daily, bringing a total of 2.335 million
On April 8, the daily increase in infections fell back to 7,322, bringing to a total of 4.531 million
On May 15, 443 new people were added every day, accumulating 4.582 million people
Fast forward to the 28th, and we will find that although the number of infections is far less exaggerated than the model predicts, the number of deaths is on the high side.
In the pessimistic forecast, today's death toll will increase by an average of 14 per day, with a cumulative death rate of 73.
In reality, as of this morning, 87 confirmed people have died, of which 79 are over the age of 65.
(Source: FT Chinese)
Although the probability of severe illness or death in Omiclon is much weaker than that of Delta, it is still quite unoptimistic for the elderly whose physical resistance is weak and unvaccinated.
At present, the biggest difficulty in epidemic prevention in Hong Kong is that the vaccination rate of the elderly aged 70 or above is less than 50%, and more than 500,000 elderly people have not been vaccinated.
This is also the most difficult part of Hong Kong's epidemic prevention.
According to the data, Hong Kong's elderly population is huge, with people aged 65 and over accounting for 18% of the population last year.
Once the elderly are infected with Omicron, they may be at risk of severe illness and will bring unbearable pressure to the Hong Kong public hospital.
However, despite the pressure, Zhong Nanshan has repeatedly stressed, "We will not tolerate natural infections leading to a large number of elderly deaths, so our policy is still to strive for dynamic clearance." ”
The SAR government is also working hard to control the epidemic. They announced that compulsory testing will be introduced in March, and about 7.5 million people in Hong Kong will be tested three times to identify the chain of transmission.
The Secretary for Food and Health, Mr Chan Siu-chiu, said that the implementation of a "foot ban" during compulsory testing for the whole population was not completely ruled out at this time.
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Hold on to Hong Kong!
Mainland support forces are constantly being imported across borders.
Today (February 28) afternoon, the highest-level "Central Aid to Hong Kong Prevention and Control Expert Group" has assembled and is departing from the Shenzhen Bay Port to Hong Kong to assist the Hong Kong SAR government in fighting the epidemic.
The construction of a hospital and isolation facilities in Hong Kong is advancing in a race against time.
Among them, Tsing Yi Fang Cabin Hospital was completed today (28th) and is expected to provide 3900 beds.
When all other cabin hospitals are put into operation, it is expected to provide more than 17,000 isolation units for Hong Kong.
Insufficient sampling and detection power? Don't be afraid!
Li Dachuan, deputy director of the Medical Administration Bureau of the National Health Commission, said that the mainland has prepared a sampling support team of about 9,000 people, who can be sent to Hong Kong to help with the work according to the needs of the Hong Kong SAR government at any time.
If required by the Hong Kong government, samples can be sent to Guangdong Province for testing, with a daily test volume of 1.2 million to 1.5 million tests, much higher than the maximum of 300,000 times a day in Hong Kong.
Medical supplies and daily necessities are also arranged, take the "green channel"!
"We all have dozens of times the reserves of materials that Hong Kong needs..." The mainland supports the 24-hour operation of the hong Kong anti-epidemic special class, so that the medical supplies needed by Hong Kong can arrive as soon as possible.
Shenzhen has set up a special class for cross-border transport epidemic prevention and control, and the first batch of 500 emergency shuttle drivers are on standby at any time to fully ensure the transportation of supplied materials to Hong Kong.
As Uncle Shi of Hong Kong said: Don't be afraid, don't be afraid! There is a motherland!
Dark clouds can't stop the sun from rising, and the epidemic can't stop spring from coming!
Hong Kong must win this war as soon as possible that cannot be lost, Hong Kong refuel!
The motherland will always be the strongest backing.
◎ Author | Houhai Cousin Regiment
Article source: public account "Houhai second brother"