Today should be an important moment in history, and we are all experiencing the great events of history.
On February 24, 2022, Russian President Vladimir Putin delivered an urgent speech in which he pointed out that the conflict between Russia and the Ukrainian "Nazis" has become inevitable in the case of Ukraine constantly crossing the red line, and in order to eliminate this threat, Russia will take special military operations in the Donbass region to implement "demilitarization" and "de-Nazirification" of Ukraine.
He ordered russian forces to conduct special military operations in the Donbass region, explosions in several Ukrainian cities, and the State of Ukraine entered a state of emergency. The war between Russia and Ukraine began.
The goal of this war is no longer the incorporation of Donbass into Russia, but the demilitarization of Ukraine through war, the Russian army "blitzed" Ukraine, achieved regime change, and gradually withdrew troops, which may also be putin's "no plan to occupy Ukraine."
According to reports, the current offensive posture of the Russian army is more obvious, first of all, a large-scale missile attack, with the purpose of destroying the command center of Ukraine and destroying the "brain" of the ukrainian high-level command, and then the ground troops under the cover of the air force, along a number of offensive lines, launched a fierce attack on important areas of Ukraine, including The Donbass in the east, the Ukrainian-Belarusian border in the north, and the Black Sea coast in the south.
A large number of news reports believe that the outcome of this war is not difficult to predict in the case of the United States repeatedly reiterating that it will not send troops, and it is certain that Ukrainians have become the victims of the West and have become the biggest losers.
But can putin's vision of a "small war in Donbass" come true? Every war, although it has a plan, will certainly not be interpreted according to the script, and once the war starts, there is no scope and no predetermined finale.
The brutality and indignation of war will form an anti-ingestion of the attributes of war as a political tool, and every war must pass through the "fog". In the fog of war, reason is to stand back, Lausewitz believes in "On War" that war is a chameleon, and the current Russo-Ukrainian war is already in a state of discoloration. It is too early to predict whether Russia will take further action against Ukraine. The outcome of any war will cause a series of accidents, and the desire for victory will form a gambler's dilemma.
Paul Kolbe, a former senior CIA official, said invading a country larger than France or Germany could end up creating an unsustainable situation for the Russians was a huge gamble.
"Putin is trying to swallow a porcupine, and the Russian bear will have a hard time digesting it." "This is a conflict that will last for months and years, whether the invasion goes well for Putin," Kolbe said in an interview. Kolbe added: "He will change the landscape of Europe and will set protracted lines of conflict within Ukraine and on Ukraine's borders with the West." ”
In short, Russia and the NATO countries led by the United States are currently making a big gamble! As ordinary people, we can only pray for the early return of peace.
