Originally I wanted to pigeon, or how much to talk about, even if I don't write, there will be people constantly asking.
The Warriors are very depressed, and it is normal to be reversed or killed, which is not unusual. About the teacher is so strong, pre-game expectations, the Warriors can not limit him. If the plot of this game is similar to the past few games, the Warriors will lose, and the key is that Kerr has two adjustments that are of a stately nature:
First, he took Cumminga off the starting line-up and used Peyton Jr.;
Second, DNP took Lee and Anderson.
These two changes reflect that the Warriors are not indifferent to their recent bad record. The Warriors didn't wait for the comeback, but wanted to try to solve the problem before the All-Star, combined with what Curry said after the last game — some people slacked off — and it was at home again, and the opponent or the Nuggets, who had a little friction before, decided that this was a game that the Warriors had to win. This season, the most admirable thing about the Warriors is that they will not eat an opponent's two consecutive losses, and the G2 adjustment must see the effect, indicating that once the Warriors are determined to take a certain game, their preparation is very in place.
The game's opening proved that, and for most of the first half, I don't think the Warriors had a reason to lose the game. Judging from the lineup cards of both sides, the Warriors rotated 9 people, and Curry played for the last 39 minutes, and under the existing personnel conditions, the intensity was basically full. Even without Green, the lineup is significantly higher than the single-core Nuggets.
In fact, I am very dissatisfied with the Warriors' failure to play the Flower Nuggets in the third quarter, because full preparation + full strength + smooth start + paper strength dominance + home these factors come together, is the familiar flower atmosphere - Payton 6 steals, defensive aggression and counterattack combination, is this not the Warriors' favorite game content?
In the end, even with some three-pointers of serendipity, the blow to confidence is far greater than all previous losses, and it is difficult to say "I'm not worried about us" again.
In this defeat, many people blamed Cole for miscommanding. In fact, Cole's command has long been unable to let people break the defense, because this is a constant variable, habit into nature. The coaching staff's pre-match preparation and rotation arrangements are definitely above their season average, and the presence is Alcoa Cole's weak ring, and I am not surprised by what kind of command. In this game, the Warriors can change the result by doing any detail, but the Warriors have long been the norm in terms of details, and the team style is so rigorous.
I also don't think the Warriors would dare not use Looney in the fourth quarter. Although in hindsight, if you put a small lineup, believe in the sandwich rotation, boldly fight the attack, maybe you can win, but for 10 coaches, 9 dare not use a small lineup for the key ball against Jokic, unless Green is there.
What really breaks the guard is two other things.
The first thing is that the impact of the no. 5 disadvantage is greater than expected.
The Warriors' huge disadvantage in the No. 5 position allowed the Nuggets to rely on an absolute advantage of one point, reversing the gap in paper strength at both ends of the offensive and defensive ends. Although it is not a secret that the No. 5 position is not working, the Warriors always believe that other aspects can make up for this disadvantage, after all, the Warriors' defense relies on the collective efforts of the team. If this team can beat Jokic, it will greatly alleviate the anxiety of the recent loss of the inside line, boost the confidence of the team, and allow players and fans to relax into the off-season – this elaborate rotation arrangement is to achieve this goal.
Contrary to their wishes, the Warriors had only one choice at the last moment, handing over the initiative of the deployment. Although this problem may not exist after Green's return, But Green's back injury is a hidden danger that cannot be ignored, and in the playoffs, if Looney only plays 15 minutes to 20 minutes, let Green eat all the remaining No. 5 position time, the injury risk is too big. And the expectations for Wiseman, as far as this season is concerned, considering the return time from injury, should have been right or wrong, and now may be expected to rely on him to solve the problem. Buying out the existing center in the market, which is basically a placebo for the regular season to help share the pressure, can not help in the playoffs, and the only one who has the opportunity to use it as a special weapon in the playoffs may be Gasol Jr., but how he is in Europe is obviously not as easy to judge as players in the NBA.
The second thing is the state of the Splash Brothers.
Of course, we can't assess the level of the Splash Brothers by the performance of a game, but you have to admit that Curry's offensive level this season is obviously not as good as in the past, and despite the recent recovery, it is still just to maintain the normal play of his season average, rather than a strong rebound after the downturn, and so far we have not been able to figure out what the reason for the last wave of downturn is, and whether there will be recurrence. The Warriors' reliance on Curry hasn't diminished as there have been more sub-attackers, which is disappointing but realistic, and the playoffs need a full Curry.
After the return of Tang Shen, the performance rises and falls, and the difference caused by different thicknesses and sizes of the calf may not only be visual, but also powerful. Usually, the first season after suffering from a major Achilles tendon injury and cruciate ligament injury will be more difficult, Tang Shen played like this is good, but just good, is it enough in the playoffs? This is very doubtful.
Both of these things, either going in a bad direction, are enough to kill the Warriors in the playoffs.
Every year before the All-Star, the Warriors steadily pulled crotch is not new. Cole just couldn't sleep all night, and he couldn't think of a solution. Now the whole team is talking, wait for Green and Wiseman, relying on these two people to improve the Warriors' recently missing interior defense, and then pretend not to know that one lumbar spine has a problem, and what kind of play last year. The most feared thing is not to lose, nor to use the wrong person, but to have some X factor that is completely out of control, and you can't do anything but wait, which is different from the pre-season and early season "we still have enough time to figure it out" situation.
Perhaps some fans will think that the boss and management should regret not studing. In fact, the boss will not, he is not the same way as the fans think about the problem. Fans just want an outcome, even if it's just a probability, and the boss really wants to assess the probability. Some of the warriors' core team building conditions — splashing conditions, Green's injuries — just show that investment risk has risen sharply, and for a smart investor, it is safer to choose a medium- and high-yield with a stable vision. After all, the lineup in 18 years almost overturned, 73 wins in 16 years can also be overturned, the probability of winning the championship is never 100%, but running a good team does not need to win every championship. As a ball critic, I know this.
And as a fan, there is no other way but to break the defense and wait.