With the entry of the 45th Russian Airborne Brigade into Almaty, the situation in Kazakhstan changed overnight, and the Russian army took the Almaty airfield at the cost of zero casualties and killed many militants.
On January 9, the Kazakh Ministry of Internal Affairs said that Russian troops were training at almaty airports. In addition, all checkpoints in and out of Almaty have large numbers of Kazakh military and police deployed, making it difficult for militants to escape.
On January 10, Kazakhstan revealed that it had arrested 5,800 militants, including 161 foreigners, and that the chaos was the result of a merger between extraterritorial forces, mercenaries and Kazakh "traitors" and that the situation was stabilizing.
In Almaty, there are still some armed forces that are stubbornly resisting, and Tokayev's statement is that "without warning, shoot and kill those who refuse to lay down their weapons".
Kazakhstan's health ministry said the chaos killed at least 160 people, including more than a dozen Kazakh military police.
The chaos will soon come to an end, and the question is, who is the biggest winner?
First, Russia. To be sure, without Putin's immediate decision and the rapid intervention of the Russian army, even if Tokayev can stabilize the situation, the price paid will be quite heavy.
In the final analysis, these militants are well-trained, and there are also extraterritorial forces to provide intelligence and weapons support, and their combat effectiveness cannot be underestimated. But in front of the Russian special operations brigade, these militants were not opponents at all, and it took only 1 day for more than 4,000 militants to surrender.
There are three main reasons why Putin quickly decided to send troops.
1, Tokayev issued a request that the Russian army can enter Kazakhstan in the name of peacekeeping, which is called justified.
2, the situation is indeed not optimistic, the longer it drags on, the more likely the situation is to change, the Russian army must quickly cut through the chaos, do not give pro-AMERICAN forces the opportunity to launch a color revolution.
3, a piece of the rush to Kazakhstan, there are also collective security organization peacekeeping troops, the Russian army is just taking the lead. It must be known that the commander-in-chief of the Russian airborne troops, Andrei, is the commander-in-chief of the peacekeeping forces of the Ji'an organization.
On the surface, Putin's decision to send troops was a sudden move, but in fact, the Russian intelligence services have long known everything, and after the Russian army arrived in Kazakhstan, the first thing they did was to quickly take the Almaty airport and seize the air supremacy. The next step is to join hands with Kazakhstan and seize strategic areas such as communication centers.
After this battle, Russia completely co-opted Kazakhstan.
Like Belarus and Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan is "dependent on and defensive" against Russia. In the north of Kazakhstan, there are countless people with Russian hearts, and in order to prevent Russia from infiltrating Kazakhstan, Nazarbayev even chose to move the capital to Nur-Sultan.
On the other hand, in order to counter Russia, Kazakhstan intends to introduce pro-American forces, and Nazarbayev's foreign strategy is to be guilty of two crimes and refuse to choose sides, which provides conditions for chaos in Kazakhstan.
There is no doubt that after Putin helped Tokayev solve the problem, in the next period of time, Kazakhstan will inevitably fall to Russia, which is the same as Belarus.
Before the U.S., Britain, France, and Germany besieged Belarus, Lukashenko was also very wary of Russia, but after Putin stepped forward to ensure the safety of Belarus, Lukashenko chose to embrace Russia.
The Russians have entered Kazakhstan, and when they will leave is still unknown. But in any case, Putin's strategic goal has been achieved, that is, to strengthen control over the five Central Asian countries and to strike Ukraine with fast and accurate military action.
When it is time to shoot, never drag the mud and water, Putin is indeed a well-deserved tactical master.
Second, Tokayev. Behind the chaos in Kazakhstan is the competition between the new and old presidents.
Before the chaos, former President Nursultan Nazarbayev, not Tokayev, was actually dominating Kazakhstan.
Although he has stepped down as president, Nazarbayev, who has been in charge of Kazakhstan for more than 20 years, still controls many powerful departments, such as the National Security Council and the National Security Council.
So there was a scene: after the chaos in Kazakhstan intensified, for a while, the Kazakh military and police were overwhelmed, because they did not know who to listen to. It wasn't until Putin rushed in and Tokayev immediately took over the State Security Council that the Kazakh military and police found that Tokayev was slightly better.
Nazarbayev's confidant, former Kazakh Prime Minister Massimov, has been arrested for "treason." At the same time, Nazarbayev's spokesman stressed that the people of Kazakhstan were called upon to support Tokayev, and in addition, Tokayev took over the national security council.
In this way, the controller of Kazakhstan's powerful department gradually changed from Nazarbayev to Tokayev, and the contest between the new president and the old president ended with Tokayev's victory.
Third, Ukraine. Before the chaos in Kazakhstan, the United States, Britain, France and Germany were worried about one thing, that is, "whether Russia and Ukraine will fight", but at the moment, the world has once again seen the combat effectiveness of the Russian army "not afraid of challenges" and Putin's courage to "shine the sword when it meets the enemy".
You must know that after the Russian army entered Kazakhstan, the American diplomats were ready to leave, which is obviously a thief's heart.
Not surprisingly, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict will gradually ease, because NATO and Ukraine already know that the Russian military is really not easy to mess with, and for Ukraine, this is a good opportunity to take advantage of the slope to get off the donkey.
The biggest loser is probably the United States.