France will usher in a presidential election next year, and the election situation will change dramatically. Polls show for the first time that incumbent President Emmanuel Macron, who has always been seen as a sure winner, could lose in a second round of voting and not be re-elected.
According to the latest poll results released by France on Tuesday (7th), the current French President Macron may lose to the Republican candidate Ms. Valerie Pécrés in the second round of the presidential election next April, 48% to 52%. This is also the first time that polls before next year's French presidential election show that Macron may not be re-elected to the next president.
Last week, the French Republican Party just launched Valéry Pécrés as the party's candidate for the 2022 presidential election. Valérie Pécrés is president of the Ile-de-France region, the Paris region. If she does win the election, she will become the first female president in The history of France.
Of course, there is still some time to go until the date of the French presidential election next April, and public opinion and election conditions will change as the election date approaches. In addition, the poll data is not fully trusted. But the process of France's presidential elections has shown that the forecasts of france's national research agency are relatively accurate, often not much different from the final election results.
The latest polls also show that at least 44% of French voters have not yet made the final decision on who to vote for, which shows the extreme uncertainty of the final outcome of this French presidential election. In addition, the French presidential election belongs to the direct election of one person and one vote, and the vacillation and arbitrariness of the French people are also very large, which adds a lot of unknown factors to the election.
It is an indisputable fact that the comeback of the Republican Party, France's oldest and most traditional right-wing party, will have a great appeal to the traditional right-wing and centrist voters who worship De Gaulle in France. The French Republican Party is an old right-wing party in France after the war, and the leaders of the party have been de Gaulle, Pompidou, Chirac and Sarkozy, who have been elected presidents of the Fifth French Republic.
Pécrés's fresh image as a female politician, and the enormity of the possibility of the first female president in French history, would also have considerable appeal to female voters.
Once Pekerez wins the first round of the election and faces Macron in the second round, far-right voters who are also in the right-wing camp and share the Republican Party's views on immigration and other issues are likely to turn to Pecqueres' vote. And those French left-wing voters who regard Macron as "traitors to the left" may also vote for Him out of disgust for Himron.
For Macron, who has been predicting a steady victory in the presidential election, he has now encountered a real opponent who must not be taken lightly. It is entirely possible that a slight carelessness or strategic and tactical mistakes in the campaign will eventually lose the election.
Pecres, 54, has served as France's Minister of Higher Education and Research since 2007, as well as France's Minister of Budget, Public Accounts and National Reform, and has served as a government spokesman for Prime Minister Fillon, and has been elected president of the Greater Paris Regional Parliament since 2015.
In terms of political achievements, Pekrés has both government ministerial qualifications and local chief experience, and can be said to be an all-rounder and senior official in the field of national politics. In terms of personal ability, Pecres has a strong style and a strong personality, although he is not very old, he also belongs to the mature politicians who have been in the traditional French right camp for a long time and have been tried and tested. As a woman, Pekrés's personal image is even more prominent, and it is indeed Macron's most deterrent competitor in next year's presidential election.
Source: Phoenix TV Yan Ming reported from Paris
Edit: Mu Mu