At present, the world situation is that the United States has intensified its efforts to isolate China with the so-called "democracy summit" and diplomatic boycott of the Winter Olympics, but the mood of war avoidance is clear. Japan's new and old politicians have made wild remarks one after another, and they still want to fight bases, lest the world not be chaotic. The Taiwan authorities did not change their minds and issued the "Wartime Mobilization and Summoning Order" with suspicion. In the face of these three characteristics of the fierce game, we must be highly vigilant against the possibility of desperate risks, and in this context, we must thoroughly study the two possible flashpoints of war, and make preparations for recovering Taiwan at any time.
Compared with the indiscriminate bombing of Iraq, the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, Libya, Syria and Afghanistan, the United States has no courage to be a "brutal hunter in the jungle" for China and Russia, and "hooligans in the yard" has become the most wonderful image of the United States at present. Two things are most telling at the moment. First, the "democracy summit" that Biden had been deliberately holding during the campaign will finally appear on December 9 and 10. The United States has not only planted a big thunderbolt for China as "inviting the Tsai Ing-wen authorities to attend the meeting," but has also explicitly excluded Hungary, which is friendly with China and Russia, from participating in the meeting, and invited Lithuania, which is in confrontation with China and Russia, to participate in the meeting, thus vividly turning the "democracy summit" into a world-dominating confusion of black and white and perverse behavior. Second, the United States officially announced a diplomatic boycott of the Beijing Winter Olympics. In line with the so-called "democracy summit", the United States used "China's 'human rights violations'" as the reason for a period of time, and the White House finally expressed its position to "diplomatically boycott" the Beijing Winter Olympics, that is, not to send US government officials to participate in the Winter Olympics, but to participate in the games of American athletes.
On December 1, former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said in a speech online at a Taiwan think tank that "if There is something in Taiwan, japan has a problem, that is, the Japan-US alliance has a problem." The extreme words and deeds of Abe, a cunning Japanese politician who has retreated behind the scenes, are like the return of the light before the fireworks of militarism are extinguished, and also show the sinister intentions of his old gangsters, and there are at least three kidnappings. The first is to kidnap Taiwan and Japan together. The second is to kidnap Japanese militarism and American hegemonism together. Third, Abe, an old politician who has been outdated, kidnaps the Japanese people to join the warship of militarism.
So far, almost all of Japan's military threats have been tied to the United States, and it is necessary to use "deterrence" with the United States to intervene in the Taiwan Strait. But among them, it is necessary to see the "attack capability against enemy bases" that Japan is gradually premediting. This is a unique concept created by Japan when discussing military power building under the constraints of a peaceful constitution, in an attempt to have the weaponry capability to attack enemy missile launch bases. In an interview with U.S. media at a press conference on September 10, Japanese Defense Minister Nobuo Kishi threatened to prepare for a showdown with China and clamored for an attack on missile bases.
According to Taiwan's United News Network reported on the 5th, the reserve military on the island recently received a "mobilization call notice", which is valid from January 1 to December 31, 2022. The notice stated that the recipient of the document was the object of next year's "wartime mobilization call", reminding the public that "the wartime mobilization and convening is when there is a war or emergency in the country, the Ministry of National Defense will issue a mobilization order to take effect through the mass media", and the police in the jurisdiction will send the "mobilization summoning order" to the people's household registration place or designated place, requiring the people to bring the identity document to report on time, "jointly defend the homeland".
With regard to the various provocations of the Tsai Ing-wen authorities, the mainland has published a partial list of "Taiwan independence" diehards and punished the "money-making" enterprises behind the mainland that make money. Judging from the present, it already has the effect of deterrence and shock, but it does not yet have a strong ability to strike, and it is possible to further increase the intensity of punishment and introduce regulations on rewards and punishments for promoting cross-strait reunification with clear rewards and punishments, so as to unite the most powerful forces for promoting the reunification of the motherland.
On December 7, the Party Committee of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs published an article in the People's Daily, clearly pointing out that the world has entered a period of turbulent change, and in the past we have followed the trend and will go against the wind in the future. In this case, we need to be more vigilant against the two war flashpoints that are likely to occur. First, there may be a war between Russia and Ukraine. Although the second meeting between Biden and Putin began on the 7th, the possibility of conflict was not ruled out. Second, during the truce of the Winter Olympic Games, there may be a desperate attempt by the Taiwan authorities and the United States to collude and provoke. On 2 December, the 76th session of the United Nations General Assembly adopted by consensus the Olympic Truce resolution drafted by China and the International Olympic Committee, which was proposed by 173 Member States. But it is precisely the United States, Japan, Britain and Australia and other 20 countries that have not signed. Objectively, there is a possibility that the Taiwan authorities will take advantage of the mainland truce to take risks.
For these two possible flashpoints of war, the PLA needs to make a comprehensive plan, and once something happens, it must have the power to safeguard national unity and territorial integrity.
Note: The author of this article is Qin An, the founder of "Qin'an Strategic Think Tank", which is the original work of this platform, welcome to indicate the source of reprinting, reprinting is an important way to gather network power.