Allison, the proposer of the "Thucydides Trap": China and the United States should find a way to avoid war

On April 6, the Globalization Think Tank (hereinafter referred to as "ccg") invited Professor Rayham Allison, a professor at Harvard University and the first dean of the Kennedy School, and Wang Huiyao, director of CCG, to discuss how China and the United States can circumvent the new model of the "Thucydides Trap". Allison believes that the United States should recognize the fact that China will become a powerful country after its rise, and that after structural changes in the relationship between the rising power and the defending country, it will inevitably fall into the "power seesaw", but if the two nuclear-armed powers engage in a hot war, it will bring inevitable consequences, so it is necessary to find a way out that can avoid war.

In this dialogue between Chinese and American scholars, Allison said that all parties should realize that It is a fact that China has accumulated generations of efforts to gradually become stronger and rising, and that understanding China in a forward-looking way can draw a lot of experience and lessons to clarify how China and the United States will go in the future.

Allison believes that the United States, as a conservative country, will naturally think that "the United States should be born to be the first", is "of course the first", if there is a rising country will surpass the United States, in the reality of such institutional changes, it is inevitable that there will be a "power seesaw", and one side will become more and more powerful and powerful.

But Allison also pointed out that China is different from the traditional rising power, and the reality of the twenty-first century is that China and the United States have to coexist. If two nuclear-armed powers engage in a hot war, the end result will be catastrophic. In the process of globalization, no country can be decoupled. Although China and the United States are fierce competitors, they must coexist, which is why China and the United States must find a way out to avoid war.