2022 Tainan mayoral election white-hot Green Camp internal explosion split Xie Longjie hope?

Huaxia Jingwei Network, October 22: According to Taiwan's "Zhongshi News Network", in the 2022 Tainan mayoral election, Huang Weizhe, who is seeking re-election, is still facing two major variables such as the demand of the "main national assembly" department in the Democratic Progressive Party to hold a primary election, plus the expelled speaker Guo Xinliang may be a war without party membership, and there is still resistance to the future. As for the Kuomintang, although no one has officially expressed its intention to go to war, it is also hoped that the Green Camp will split, so that the "three-legged governor" will reap the benefits of the fisherman.

Guo Xinliang's movement will be left and right

Although there were 6 people competing in the 2018 DPP Tainan mayoral nomination primary, Huang Weizhe, who supported the new trend, and Chen Tingfei, a "legislator" of the "Main Diet" department, were the most fierce. Because the black letters of the primary election were flying all over the sky, almost to the bone, even the party chairman at the time, Tsai Ing-wen, could not help but say heavy words and demand self-discipline. In the end, Huang Weizhe successfully represented the DPP in running for mayor with a 41.58% support for Chen Tingfei's 28.17% victory.

Unexpectedly, in the nine-in-one "general election" at the end of that year, the Green Camp originally thought that "nomination is elected", but Huang Weizhe only got 367,518 votes, and the small win of the Kuomintang opponent Gao Sibo 54,644 votes, with a vote rate of 38.02%, became the lowest vote rate for the elected mayors of 22 counties in Taiwan, compared with the 72.9% record created by former mayor Lai Qingde in 2014.

Afterwards, the internal review of the Green Camp showed that in addition to the unfavorable environment for the DPP, the damage caused by the party primary election could not be leveled in time, which was also a big profit. In view of this, whether the DPP's nomination for the next Tainan mayoral nomination will continue to run the primary election is bound to become a key factor affecting the election situation.

If the conscription pendulum is uneven, the rebound is greater

Once the primary election is decided, in addition to Chen Tingfei's suspenseful will go all out, the "legislators" Wang Dingyu, Lin Junxian and others who have not yet expressed their position may also warm up and repeat the situation of the crowd chasing the deer at the beginning of 2018; in case of recruitment, the internal rebound force may continue to the 2024 "general election" and impact the nomination of the candidates.

Gosboscher Ryusuke has a basic disk

In particular, the most unfavorable situation for the Green Camp is that Guo Xinliang, who is actively seeking the re-election of the Speaker of the Parliament, if he evaluates the situation and decides to take the mayor directly in a battle, this move will form a three-legged situation with Huang Weizhe and the KMT nominee, adding variables to the "general election".

On the KMT side, the most optimistic mayoral candidates at present are The brother-in-law of Party Chairman Zhu Lilun, former "Executive Yuan Political Councilor" Gao Sibo, and Tainan City Councilor Xie Longjie. When Gao Sibo ran for mayor in 2018, he won 312,874 votes with a vote rate of 32.37%, stabilizing the basic situation of the Blue Camp, if he won the blue camp nomination again, the party chairman Zhu Lilun is bound to make a supplementary election, and if the green camp is divided, it is not without opportunities.

As for Hsieh Long-yeh, who has a well-known reputation throughout Taiwan, after participating in the "legislator" by-election in Vietnam and ending with a small loss of 3664 votes, he has shown the momentum of the middle generation of fighters in the Blue Camp; in particular, when he was questioned by the parliament, he revealed several times the information that he might be able to campaign with Huang Weizhe, which fully demonstrated his intention to represent the KMT.