There is a saying that goes, "Take advantage of his illness to kill him", Japan used to speculate about China in this way, clamoring for "three months to destroy China", and as a result, it could not do this for 8 years, and Japan's miscalculation of the situation made it pay a heavy price. The game between China and the United States, which can be called the largest political and geopolitical event in the 21st century, will have a profound impact on all countries around the world and even on all mankind, and it can be said with certainty that this is a "big gamble", and China and the United States "can not afford to lose", if the situation is miscalculated, the price paid will be unbearable.
As far as the current situation is concerned, it is quite serious for China, which is mainly reflected in the political and military aspects. Militarily, for a long time, China has been relatively restrained in the development of its own military strength, especially in terms of strength in nuclear weapons, the number of our nuclear bombs has remained at about 220 "for decades", until the sino-US relations have deteriorated significantly in the past two years, and the confrontation situation has intensified, it has "soared" to about 350, while the number of nuclear bombs in the United States, despite "cutting and cutting", is still as many as more than 5500, which is nearly 16 times the number of Chinese nuclear bombs.
As we all know, China's surface ships once had a happy time of "dumplings", so why can't China catch up with the United States and Russia at a faster speed in terms of nuclear weapons? To put it bluntly, although the amount of nuclear bombs is important, it is more important than the "platform". It's like a person has talent and no platform, that's also a white ride. Although nuclear bombs are easy to use, how can they be delivered to other countries without advanced strategic bombers and strategic nuclear submarines? You must know that the concealment of land-based missiles is very poor, and before they have flown to the other side's homeland, people's nuclear retaliation has arrived.
Just recently, the United States decided to equip Australia with 8 attack nuclear submarines at a time, and China has only 12 nuclear submarines, of which the strategic and attack nuclear submarines are half a point, in other words, once the UNITED Military Aid is in place, the number of Chinese attack nuclear submarines will be inferior to Australia. The United States has even taken out the nuclear submarines at the bottom of the pressure box in order to resist China, and Australia has bought nuclear submarines to oppose China, indicating that they are "moving with sincerity" and are not just scaring.
In addition, at the same time that the United States is assisting Australia in nuclear submarines, Japan is also sharpening its knife and making preparations for annexing the Diaoyu Dao by force and interfering in Taiwan's affairs, brazenly saying that "the Diaoyu Islands are Japanese territory," "Taiwan and Japan are a family," and "Taiwan's affairs are Japan's affairs." It can be said that the situation of military struggle is extremely sinister, China alone to pick the United States is enough to struggle, but also to add Japan, Australia, in order to enhance the strength of the latter, the United States came up with nuclear submarines, this is the most sinister military situation since the founding of China, in the face of China's rise, the United States will "jump the wall in a hurry."
Politically, the "sharp blade" once pointed out that China should "unite europe and control the United States" and "build more princes and divide their strengths", simply put, China cannot "rise alone" and help the European Union to rise together, because the more challengers in the United States, it will not put all the pressure on China's head, the United States will be like Xiang Yu everywhere to extinguish the fire, and eventually exhausted, China will be able to rise peacefully. But unexpectedly, although China shouted at the EU, saying that "China's rise is an opportunity for the EU", what happened in the end? After Biden took office, Europe immediately threw itself into the arms of the United States.
It is not known when the "China-EU Investment Agreement" that has been talked about for 7 years has been frozen, and it is not known when it will be unsealed, which shows that Sino-European relations have "come to an end", which is the case for the time being, and Europe has not "watched from the sidelines", but has actively helped the United States to suppress China, such as accusing China of creating "genocide", passing a bill with a high vote to strengthen relations with Taiwan. China tried to win over Europe as its ally, but unexpectedly, the EU not only did not become an ally, but stabbed China in the back. Is China's miscalculation of EU interests?
It should be said that there is no mistake, China's rise is indeed an opportunity for the European Union, Germany, France are also aware of this, but the final result shows that our ideal is still "too full"? Why is the EU reluctant to seize such a great strategic opportunity? This is because we are a "unified" country, and the EU is still "scattered" to tell the truth, the leader France and Germany want to seize this opportunity, but there are still more than 20 countries have small nine-nine, Lithuania, Slovakia and other small countries, all rely on the sniffles of the United States, can not be twisted into a rope.
Therefore, the EU is not a real "sovereign" country, it does not have an "efficient and powerful" brain to seize strategic opportunities, to put it bluntly, we are ultimately looking up to the EU. Therefore, the current situation is China-Russia vs. the United States and Europe, on paper, it seems to be roughly tied, but the balance is tilted towards the United States, why? On the one hand, the United States will not wait until China rises to do so, military preparations have been intensively unfolded, for the United States, "every second that China is strong", so the United States will speed up the pace of "military solutions" and prepare for the final showdown.
So, is China ready for a final showdown? China has made part of the preparation, that is, the "refusal tactic", which aims to liberate Taiwan, and excludes the US military from the scope of reinforcements by virtue of its strong anti-ship and aircraft carrier capabilities when using force, but China is not prepared for nuclear war, otherwise it is difficult to explain why the number of Chinese nuclear bombs has not increased for so many years, and why China's nuclear submarines are not numerous and not strong enough. Maybe the researchers really tried their best, but this thing is the most sensitive weapon in the world, no country is willing to share it, and China has to make great efforts in technology.
In the eyes of the heart, China does not want war, "taking the initiative to provoke trouble" has never conformed to China's national character, we think that we are nuclear weapons countries, others do not dare to fight nuclear war, it is a big mistake, the Americans are ready to fight a "tactical nuclear war" with China, this is wandering at the gates of hell, dancing on the tip of the knife, playing Russian roulette, but people dare, why? National character, civilization attributes, and hegemonic needs. A poor boy may one day have the possibility of adding a yellow robe, but at the critical moment he said that he was "not ready", then sorry, either up or down, down is the corpse.
Therefore, if we anticipate that we will shake or even bury the hegemony of the United States, then we must be prepared for military struggle; this is not a military struggle that is small and small, not a military struggle limited to the Taiwan Strait, but a global and devastating military struggle. When the Han Dynasty destroyed the Xiongnu, did it accumulate for several generations, did it make full preparations, and did it still make peace with relatives, send money, and send grain before that? Everything is ready, "fight to the death", "do it or do it".
On the other hand, the United States is fighting in groups, while China is fighting alone. The United States will not be stupid, although it is very powerful in itself, but who will give up the "superior force", who will give up the opportunity to "fight more and fight less"? China, on the other hand, is almost "going it alone." One might say, isn't there still Russia? Yes, Putin understands the principle of cold lips, but it should be pointed out that if it is not a large-scale nuclear war, not a nuclear war, Russia can not help China much, the reason is also very simple, Russia's conventional military strength, in fact, is not stronger than China.
Russia's superiority is sadly concentrated in the "nuclear weapons field", why the United States named to fight a "tactical nuclear war" with China, is that it does not want to make a big move, if it is a strategic nuclear war, it is a nuclear war, Russia can not stay out of the matter, this is equivalent to provoking the polar bear to the end. But "tactical nuclear war" is different, with a yield of a few thousand tons, the impact is limited, but it is enough to cause huge damage to China's coast. Moreover, tactical nuclear missiles can hit China, and China cannot hit the United States (mainland), because China has no military bases in North America, and the United States has a large number of military bases around China.
Will Russia "insert a knife in both ribs" for China? The Russian ambassador to China refused to answer positively, but he only said vigorously, "He firmly believes that the Sino-US war cannot be fought." China's biggest advantage is only two points: first, its geographical advantage in the Taiwan Strait, which allows the mainland to give full play to its firepower; second, time, time on China's side, the longer it drags on, the stronger China is. But the problem is that the American group fight offsets China's geographical advantage, preparing a showdown to abolish China's time advantage, the United States will not wait too long, because he is not stupid, the Xiongnu gave the Han Dynasty time, so there is no Xiongnu.
It is true that China is now very strong, and the United States is indeed declining, but it should be pointed out that China's strength is mainly reflected in the economy, not in the military, especially not in nuclear weapons, and the latter is the most important. China's strength is somewhat similar to that of the muscle men after fitness, while the United States is a fighter trained from a series of "golden belt" events, which is the most deadly.
The decline of the United States is relative, absolutely relative, relative to China's development, and compared with other countries, the United States is "developing quite fast." To take a simple example, Japan's GDP in 2001 was more than 4 trillion US dollars, and in 2020, Japan's GDP was only more than 5 trillion, and it grew by more than 20% in 20 years; in 2001, the US GDP was 10 trillion US dollars, and in 2020 it was 20 trillion US dollars, an increase of 100%, in other words, the development rate of the United States is 5 times that of Japan. The United States, that is, compared with China, is relatively declining, and the main decline is economically, militarily, the United States still has a great advantage.
China has always attached great importance to the power of morality and firmly believed that "justice must triumph", which is indeed a fact, because all history is written by the victors, "the victors are naturally righteous", if Nazi Germany wins, then the United States, Britain and the Soviet Union will certainly be "evil countries" in the history books. The Sino-US great game is at stake to China's national fortunes, and as soon as the momentum of rejuvenation is interrupted, it will be like the stock market curve turning downward, and the trend is difficult to change, China cannot afford to lose, it must win, the Chinese nation cannot sink again, there is no second chance.