I believe that farmers and friends who plant land know that this year's agricultural material prices have risen, the most prominent performance is the price of fertilizer, take urea, before only a hundred pounds of urea only need 80-90 yuan, and this year's urea is 150-160 yuan, or even more than this price, in short, fertilizer rises, for farmers friends is to increase the planting pressure, many farmers also feel very helpless, but even if the price of fertilizer rises, crops totally need fertilizer, so for farmers who grow crops for a living, Just buying fertilizer costs a lot of money.
It is reasonable to say that the price of chemical fertilizers has risen, and the price of grain should also rise in order to maintain a balance, so whether the price of grain has risen is also a question that farmers are very concerned about, so will the price of grain rise in the end? Let's take the new rice in 2021 as a reference to analyze, let's take a look at whether the new rice this year is expected to soar.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="4" > price forecast background</h1>
Before we predict whether new rice will rise this year, let's take a look at the background of the forecast. Everyone knows that Henan Province suffered heavy rain this year, Henan Province is a large grain production province in China, so the heavy rain has an impact on the growth of crops, even if the state also said that the heavy rainfall has less impact on grain production in Henan Province, but Xiaobian feels that the local grain prices in Henan Province will still have a more or less impact.
Although Henan Province suffered heavy rains, it is only one of the major grain provinces, so in general, the impact on grain prices is not large, because it is understood that China's grain stocks are still very sufficient, so the impact is not large.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="21" >2021 new rice price prediction</h1>
As we all know, any commodity will be more expensive when it is just listed, such as fruits, rice dumplings, moon cakes, etc., so the new rice is no exception, Xiaobian learned that the new rice has begun to be listed in August, so in August when the price of new rice is still sold relatively high, a pound can be sold to 1.3-1.4 yuan, but with the large number of new rice listed, the price of new rice began to go down in September, and some new rice prices sold to 1.12-1.20 yuan a pound.
This is the price of new rice in general, new rice will be a little more expensive when it is just on the market, and the price will be slightly cheaper when new rice is on the market. So from the current market point of view, Xiaobian learned from the soil flow network that the price of new rice this year is 1.30-1.35 yuan a catty, which is the overall point of view, we also know that different varieties of rice, the price is not the same, so the above prediction is for reference only.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="22" >3. Price analysis of different varieties of rice</h1>
Xiaobian learned from the soil flow network about the price of the following varieties of rice, rice varieties are different, the quality is different, so the price is not the same, let's take a look, there are mainly the following:
1. Japonica rice price
The latest quotation of japonica rice on September 15 is 2740 / ton, the highest purchase price is 2799 / ton, and then comprehensive of the minimum purchase price of rice in 2021 of the National Development and Reform Commission, the minimum purchase price of japonica rice is 130 yuan per 100 kg, that is, the minimum purchase price is 2600 yuan / ton, so the price from the purchase price is higher than the minimum purchase price.
2. Indica rice price
From the price trend of this week, the price of indica rice in the middle and late stages showed a downward trend, the highest purchase price of the main production area was 1.34 yuan / jin, according to this price, a ton can sell 2680 yuan, so the price of indica rice is still relatively low, the purchase price in some places is still as low as 1.3 yuan / jin, so overall, the price of indica rice in the later period may not rise too much, should fluctuate between 1.3-1.35 yuan / jin.
3. The price of glutinous rice
Glutinous rice is divided into wet rice and dry rice, the purchase price of wet rice divided into 25% is 1.05 yuan per kilogram, and the dried glutinous rice is more expensive, the price is 1.4 yuan per kilogram, and at the end of the month it will face glutinous rice being listed throughout the year, so the supply of glutinous rice is also relatively sufficient, and the price of glutinous rice is still more difficult.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="23" >4. Will the price of new rice soar in 2021? </h1>
From the above, we can also see that even if the price of agricultural materials rises, but the price of rice is not sold very high, so the price of new rice will not soar, mainly for an important reason, is because the reserves of old rice are also relatively sufficient, when new rice is listed, there are also many merchants selling old rice, so the price of rice will not be very high.
That's all the content that Xiaobian shared with you, this year's agricultural prices have risen, resulting in rising fertilizer prices, farmers' planting costs have become higher, many farmers are looking forward to this year's rice prices, but from the above analysis, this year's rice prices will not rise very much, due to the impact of Old rice, so the price of new rice may fall. The above is all the content shared by Xiaobian today, the above only represents personal views, for reference only. So how do farmer friends view the price of new rice this year? If you have any comments, you can leave a message in the comment area.