Recently, the island has not been calm, and with the resignation of Tsai Ing-wen, Lai Qingde is also about to take the position of leader.
However, his road to office has not been smooth, and there are currently four problems waiting for him to solve, each more difficult than the other. In the face of such a situation, can he solve it perfectly?
"Internal and external troubles" after coming to power
Because of the change of Taiwan's leadership, several countries that have expressed "diplomatic relations" with Taiwan have suddenly turned against the water, leaving a few fewer countries with which Taiwan already has few intercourse.
At Lai's inauguration, only eight of the 12 countries sent delegations to attend.
Some leaders of Taiwan have been actively seeking international status, especially recognition and exchanges with other countries. However, with the deepening of the influence of the one-China principle in the world and the enhancement of China's international strength, there have always been very few countries that have contacts with Taiwan, and most of the countries that have contacts with Taiwan are small countries.
Prior to this, a number of countries had already announced the severance of diplomatic relations with the mainland, and now, Haiti and other countries with which Taiwan has dealings also seem to be more inclined to establish diplomatic relations with the mainland.
As we all know, we uphold the one-China principle. In the past, Taiwan used economic assistance to get many small African countries to throw itself into its arms, but with the mainland's intervention, Taiwan's so-called "good friends" are no longer many.
It was at this time that Lai Qingde came to power, and I don't know what kind of decision he would make in the face of such a situation.
Inside Taiwan, Lai Ching-te's situation is equally grim.
His address was scheduled for May 20, which happened to be a working day, and it was also an internal meeting of the legislature.
On the grounds of this incident, the Kuomintang Democratic People's Congress will not attend Lai Ching-te's speech, and only DPP colleagues will remain at his inauguration.
It can be seen from this that the current partisan relations in Taiwan are also very deadlocked, and if it becomes like this before he takes office, Lai Qingde will only face more and more problems in the future.
In addition to these, cross-strait issues also deserve our attention.
Cross-strait issues
All along, the United States has tried in vain to interfere in cross-strait relations and interfere in the mainland's internal affairs, and all kinds of things Tsai Ing-wen did when she was in office have made the United States act recklessly on sensitive issues.
Whether it is Pelosi's visit to Taiwan that temporarily paralyzed the Internet before, or Tsai Ing-wen's visit to the United States, they have made us on the other side of the strait pinch a cold sweat. Taiwan's military collusion with the United States has exacerbated the discord.
Not only that, Taiwan has also issued a ban on the export of more than 2,000 goods to Taiwan, prohibiting the mainland from importing more than 2,000 goods to the Taiwan region. Later, the mainland also banned the import of Taiwan's agricultural products, mainly fruits and seafood, which caused a crisis in Taiwan's agricultural trade.
Due to the introduction of this policy, many Taiwanese agricultural products have fallen into a state of unsalable. Taiwanese peasants are full of complaints, and Taiwan has also applied to the United States for "rescue".
Taiwan wants the United States to allow Taiwan to import processed meat and pineapples and mangoes, but the United States has so far not responded to this request.
It can also be seen from this that the United States only regards the Taiwan region as its own tool, and can easily ignore or even abandon it.
This fact also seems to show that the Taiwan region is only a tool for the United States to tie up and restrain the mainland.
It can be seen from this that if we continue to insist on going our own way, the future of the Taiwan region is very uncertain, and these problems now all fall on Lai Qingde's head.
Currently, he faces four tough tests. The first is the situation of increasing "diplomatic" isolation, which is due to the antagonism and instability of internal political parties; the third is the problem of unsalable agricultural products in the Taiwan region; and the fourth is the issue of trade between Taiwan and the United States.
These problems are not only a crisis facing Lai Ching-te and the DPP, but also an unavoidable problem for the "Taiwan independence" forces. How they will face the situation in the future, and how far they can go, need to put a big question mark.
The current international situation is not peaceful, but the mainland has been steadily moving forward in the ups and downs of the times, and its influence is no longer the same. The "one-China" principle is an indisputable fact, and there is not much chance left for "Taiwan independence" to turn back.
Proven by various facts, the "rumor-mongering" of the Western media has been self-defeating. The so-called "international affairs" in which Taiwan participates are nothing but nonsense, and they will never again be attacked or threatened by anyone.
Militarily, the mainland has also "crushed" Taiwan.
As the "situation in the Taiwan Strait" has become more and more tense and the attitude of the "Taiwan independence" forces has become more and more arrogant, the mainland has also expressed its attitude through actions.
Not long ago, the coast guard entered the so-called "forbidden waters" of Kinmen, and even dispatched five warships and more than 20 warplanes to demonstrate the mainland's military strength to Taiwan, and at the same time, it is also a kind of deterrent and achieves the effect of not being angry and self-deterrent.
Earlier, US warships entered the Taiwan Strait again, but they were also blocked by the PLA, demanding that the United States respect China's sovereignty and integrity and refrain from making some small moves on the cross-strait issue.
In fact, when Tsai Ing-wen was still in office, Taiwan's above problems became apparent, but the United States did not care about this, and only used Taiwan as a tool for hype.
At present, the mainland has an advantage in many aspects, and the "Taiwan independence" forces have also suffered a certain impact.
The mainland's advantage in the Taiwan Strait issue
Militarily speaking, it goes without saying that the mainland not only has advanced military technology and military strength, but there is another point that Taiwan cannot match, that is, military independence.
The United States' military control over Taiwan has long been a well-known secret, and in the face of the mainland's strong military strength, Taiwan has also implemented a policy of all-in-one military service, requiring all men of appropriate age to serve in the military.
Initially, men from Taiwan Province were required to serve for only four months, but at the beginning of this year it was extended to a full year.
Economically, Taiwan even has to rely on the mainland market, and diplomatically it is needless to say.
It can be said that Lai Ching-te will face a variety of problems when he comes to power, and these are also tests that the "Taiwan independence" forces are facing. With the development of the times, the direction of the wind on the island is also constantly changing, and now there are more and more "anti-independence" voices on the island, and everything shows that reunification is an inevitable trend.
Taiwan has been China's territory since ancient times, and Taiwan compatriots also share the same roots and origins as us, and reunification is the common aspiration of the people on both sides of the strait.
However, due to historical reasons and ideological problems, as well as the continuous fanning of the flames by foreign forces, this dream has not been realized so far. According to media reports, we can know that the mainland has always hoped to resolve the Taiwan Strait issue in a peaceful way.
However, as Lai Qingde faces more and more problems, we can foresee that reunification has become the trend of the times, and we hope that in the near future we will see the day when the treasure island will return.
Resources
Observer.com2024-01-31"Will the mainland put pressure on Taiwan before Lai Qingde takes office? Response from the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council》
Huaxia Jingwei2024-05-09""Cai Gui" Lai Qingde is difficult to follow, and the future of cross-strait relations is unpredictable"