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In the current situation where Russia and Ukraine are fighting, Israel and Iran are fighting, and the Middle East is in chaos, two countries are talking about cooperation and possibly even merging.
These two countries are Russia and Belarus, and Russia is already a superpower in the current world.
If it were to merge with Belarus, it would become a superpower if it succeeded, or end the situation in which the United States was the dominant power.
So, why are they talking about cooperation? Will Belarus and Russia succeed in merging in the future? Can the United States sit still in their union?
1. All were part of the Soviet Union
Anyone who knows Russia knows that before 1991, Belarus and Russia were one family, and they were like brothers and sisters, talking and laughing in one big family.
Even the United States at that time could not "bully" it, because the "Soviet Union", the common big family of Belarus and Russia, was the big brother of the world at that time.
Although it later dissolved, as early as 1996, the two countries joined hands to establish the "Russian-Belarusian Community," which marked a solid step forward in the relations between the two countries.
Subsequently, in 1999, the two sides signed the "Treaty on the Establishment of an Alliance State," declaring a new chapter of joint integration on the basis of sovereign equality.
However, there is always some gap between the ideal and the reality.
In the actual process, due to differences and contradictions in political ideas, economic development, monetary policy, and many other aspects, the construction of the alliance state has not progressed as smoothly as expected.
Belarus expects more economic support and energy incentives from Russia, while at the same time not wanting to give up its independence and diplomatic flexibility.
Russia, on the other hand, hopes that Belarus will be more closely aligned with its strategic interests and political layout, and has even put forward the idea of annexing Belarus to Russia.
Such differences make the pace of integration between the two countries seem heavy and slow.
It is worth mentioning that the background of cooperation between Russia and Belarus is inextricably linked to the collapse of the Soviet Union.
In 1991, the three Baltic states took the lead in declaring independence, and then the leaders of Russia, Belarus and Ukraine jointly signed the "Agreement on the Commonwealth of Independent States," announcing the birth of the "Commonwealth of Independent States."
On December 25 of the same year, the supreme leader of the Soviet Union, Mikhail Gorbachev, announced his resignation from the presidency, marking the official dissolution of the Soviet Union.
This once "big brother" was split into fifteen countries in an instant, and Russia became the main successor of the Soviet Union, and the territory was also the largest one.
In the process of the collapse of the Soviet Union, both Belarus and Russia underwent great changes and tests.
Despite all the challenges and differences, Russia and Belarus have maintained close cooperation and jointly coped with external pressures and challenges.
So, although they are now two countries, they were both part of the Soviet Union.
Although those years were full of twists and turns, they also gave birth to a deep foundation of friendship and cooperation between Russia and Belarus.
2. Reasons for the union
As for why these two countries are moving towards unity, there are actually their own reasons.
First of all, Belarus, as a landlocked country, has faced multiple pressures and challenges from within and outside in recent years.
Since August last year, the socio-political situation in Belarus has been tense, with anti-government protests one after another.
Opposition forces have expressed strong dissatisfaction with President Lukashenko's re-election, and have received covert support and encouragement from some Western countries.
These protests not only test the Belarusian government's ability to govern, but also exacerbate social divisions and instability.
Entering May of this year, an incident that shocked the world further exacerbated tensions between Belarus and the West.
At that time, the Belarusian government made a forced landing of a passenger plane carrying opposition figure Protasevich and arrested him.
This action immediately triggered strong condemnation and sanctions from the United States, Europe and other countries.
Western countries have taken a number of measures, including closing their airspace, stopping loans, restricting trade, and freezing assets, to carry out a comprehensive crackdown on Belarus.
These sanctions have had a severe impact on the Belarusian economy, resulting in a reduction in foreign exchange reserves, a disruption to trade, and a deterioration in the investment climate, which in turn has affected social stability and people's livelihood and well-being.
Against this background, Belarus urgently needs to seek external support in response to pressure and interference from the West.
As a friendly neighbor and strategic partner of Belarus, Russia has become an important object for Belarus to seek support and protection.
The two countries have close cooperation in many fields, including politics, economy, and military.
In the face of external threats and interference, Belarus and Russia have cooperated more closely to jointly maintain regional stability and security.
However, the difficulties faced by Belarus did not happen overnight.
In addition to external pressures, there are also many domestic challenges, such as economic restructuring, social reform, and improvement of people's livelihood.
The Government of Belarus needs to take effective measures to strengthen internal unity and stability and promote the country's development and progress.
At the same time, it is also necessary to maintain communication and cooperation with the international community to jointly address global challenges and issues.
Again, Russia itself is facing internal and external pressures.
In April, the conflict in Ukraine's eastern Donbas region escalated again, with fierce fighting between Ukrainian government forces and pro-Russian separatist forces.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has vowed to regain lost territory, and has the support of NATO, the United States and Europe, among others.
This puts Russia in a dilemma.
Belarus and Ukraine have deep historical and cultural ties, and there are close exchanges and cooperation between the peoples of the two countries.
Belarus does not want to see Ukraine plunged into the abyss of war, because it will have unforeseen consequences for both countries.
However, the political and military alliance between Belarus and Russia has forced Belarus to side with Russia and even provide it with military assistance.
This contradiction makes Belarus particularly cautious and complex in dealing with the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
At the same time, Russia has once again stepped up its military presence on the Ukrainian border and in the Crimea region, indicating that it is determined and confident to fight to the end.
According to the Russian Ministry of Defense, Russian air defense systems have shot down a large number of Ukrainian drones and rocket shells over the past day, as well as destroyed some important facilities of the Ukrainian Air Force.
In addition, the Ukrainian army has also suffered significant losses under the blows of Russia.
These messages have undoubtedly exacerbated tensions between Russia and Ukraine, and have also made Belarus more concerned about the development of the situation.
Against this background, Belarus needs to cooperate more closely with Russia in order to preserve its interests and influence in the Eurasian region.
However, Belarus is also aware that excessive involvement in the Russia-Ukraine conflict may bring unnecessary risks and losses to itself.
Therefore, Belarus needs to maintain a neutral and objective attitude while safeguarding its own interests and seek a peaceful solution to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
3. What will happen to the successful merger of Russia and Belarus
Imagine that if Russia and Belarus succeed in merging, a new superpower will rise in the east of the world, and its influence and status will be immeasurable.
First, the combined country will have a much stronger military.
Both Russia and Belarus have strong militaries, and when they merge, the two armies will form a much larger combined army, with more advanced weaponry and tactical systems.
Such military strength will be sufficient to respond to any external threats and challenges, ensuring the security and stability of the country.
Second, the merger will promote economic prosperity and development.
Russia and Belarus have their own advantages in the economic field, and the merger can achieve the optimal allocation of resources and the coordinated development of industries.
The two countries will work together to develop new markets, promote trade and investment, and promote rapid growth in economic power.
At the same time, the merger will also bring more employment opportunities and a better quality of life for the people of the two countries.
Culturally, the merged country will become a model of cultural diversity.
Both Russia and Belarus have rich cultural heritages and traditions, and the merger will provide an opportunity to jointly promote these excellent cultures, promote people-to-people exchanges and cultural integration.
This will help enhance mutual understanding and friendship between the two peoples and promote the prosperity and development of cultural undertakings.
In addition, the merged countries will play a more important role in the international arena.
As a superpower with great power and extensive influence, the combined state will play a more active and proactive role in global affairs.
It will have more voice and influence, and will be able to better defend its own interests and the international order.
But it will not be easy to achieve such a merger.
Belarus's insistence on its sovereignty and the historical and current contradictions between the two countries need to be properly resolved.
The process of merger will be full of challenges and difficulties that will require the wisdom and efforts of both parties to overcome.
epilogue
In short, if Russia and Belarus succeed in merging, it will form a superpower with great military power, economic prosperity, cultural diversity, and widespread influence.
However, achieving this goal will require both sides to work together to overcome challenges and difficulties.
How to balance the interests of the two countries, how to ensure the stability and development of the country, and how to deal with the reaction and pressure of the international community are all issues that must be seriously considered and resolved.
Therefore, for Russia and Belarus, the merger is not an overnight thing, but a major event that needs to overcome challenges and difficulties.
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Resources:
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