This is Israel's greatest fear right now.
Heaven and earth are not afraid, they are afraid that the United States will not help him, and they are afraid that the International Criminal Court will arrest him.
Anyway, looking at the news, the International Criminal Court is investigating the battle in Gaza and is likely to issue an arrest warrant for Netanyahu, so anxious that the Israeli prime minister "keeps calling" to stop it, "especially to communicate with the White House".
Why should the matter of the International Criminal Court be communicated with the White House?
Quite simply, the United States is the world leader, and if the United States wants to stop it, it has some means.
Externally, of course, Netanyahu has been tough.
On April 26, he said on the social media platform X (i.e., Twitter) that any intervention by the ICC "will set a dangerous precedent" and that "under my leadership, Israel will never accept any attempt by the Hague ICC to undermine our fundamental right to self-defense." ”
But in reality, Netanyahu was "terrified and unusually nervous" about a possible arrest warrant from the International Criminal Court, according to Israel's Youth newspaper.
If the U.S. doesn't intervene, the arrest warrant may only be a matter of time.
In addition to Netanyahu receiving the documents, Israeli Defense Minister Gallant and Israeli Chief of General Staff Al-Halevi were also arrested.
Israel is naturally very angry, and Israeli Foreign Minister Katz accused the ICC arrest warrant as "absolutely hypocritical."
Then he added: "We will not leave Israel if necessary." ”
Why?
Because once you leave Israel, you risk being arrested.
If you notice, Russian President Vladimir Putin was also issued an arrest warrant by the International Criminal Court because of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and then Putin's foreign visits were greatly reduced, and he even missed many important international conferences, including the BRICS summit in South Africa last year.
None of the countries that Putin is visiting are parties to the International Criminal Court.
Putin is like that, let alone Netanyahu.
To explain a little here, although both are based in The Hague, the International Criminal Court and the International Court of Justice are two different institutions.
The International Court of Justice, known as the Hague International Tribunal, is one of the six major organs of the United Nations.
The International Criminal Court, established by the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court, which entered into force on 1 July 2002, deals only with individual crimes and covers only four crimes: genocide, crimes against humanity (crimes against humanity), war crimes and crimes of aggression.
There is no need to say much about Gaza. 34,000 people were killed, the vast majority of them women and children. The ICC has never taken a stand, and it is intolerable and has no reason to exist.
Therefore, if the ICC can withstand the pressure of the United States, it is likely to issue arrest warrants for Netanyahu and others.
It is important to note that the United States, Israel, China, and Russia are not parties to the Rome Statute, but Palestine signed it in 2015, so the ICC has jurisdiction to adjudicate issues relating to Palestine.
According to the New York Times, if an arrest warrant is issued, it is a "humiliating moral condemnation" of Israel and may also affect Israel's offensive in Gaza.
Israel, of course, is in a hurry, so Netanyahu kept calling, especially asking the White House to stop it.
Can the United States stop it?
According to reason, the international judiciary is independent, and the United States should not interfere, but the United States is the United States after all, and it can play hooligan.
Recall that during the Trump administration, the International Criminal Court publicly alleged that Americans, the Taliban, and Afghan security forces were suspected of war crimes during the war in Afghanistan, including that members of the U.S. military and intelligence agencies "committed acts of torture, ill-treatment, violations of personal dignity, rape, and sexual violence against detainees in Afghanistan and elsewhere, primarily between 2003 and 2004......
The result?
The female prosecutor Bensouda, who had just wanted to start an investigation, was immediately revoked by the US government.
At that time, the Trump administration also announced: impose comprehensive sanctions on Bensouda and his aides, not only yourself and your family will not want to come to the United States; moreover, you will not be allowed to use US dollars in the future, and anyone and institutions who help you will be sanctioned.
The International Criminal Court is located in The Hague, Netherlands. At that time, the Netherlands could not stand it, and Dutch Foreign Minister Bullock had previously said that the actions of the United States had "bothered him very much".
But the Netherlands, do you dare to violate US sanctions?
I remember that at that time, some human rights organizations denounced that the United States had done what the US government did best—bullying and intimidation.
Therefore, Israel believes that as long as the United States continues to play hooligan and continue to put pressure on the International Criminal Court, the latter will naturally not dare to take action against Israel, and they will not receive an international arrest warrant.
What's more, Karim Khan, the current chief prosecutor of the International Criminal Court, took office with the support of the United States and the United Kingdom. So much so that the Wall Street Journal published an article urging the United States and Britain to intervene, otherwise, "Biden and Sunak may become the next targets."
But will the United States help?
If it does not help, Israel will certainly not be satisfied, and the pro-Jewish group in the United States will not agree; help, the United States will play hooligan for Israel, and the whole world will certainly shake its head, and there is an idiom in Chinese, that is: collusion.
In my judgment, the United States will definitely still help, but it will not really help.
After all, Israel is the little brother of the United States, and the United States will protect Israel, but sometimes it has to give Israel a small beating; moreover, Gaza is covered with blood, the whole world is watching, and international public opinion is extremely sad and indignant.
Israel's greatest fear is nothing more than a bargaining chip for the United States!
Now, the most important thing is the position of the International Criminal Court. The confidence is insufficient, the waist is not hard, when will the arrest warrant be issued?