In fact, there are only a few of the tricks of the United States towards China, one of which is to let the younger brother provoke, and then put pressure on the younger brother behind his back, and the little brother does the dirty work and tiredness, and if he does not come forward, he will not tear his face, but he can also get benefits. According to a report by the Russian Satellite News Agency on April 18, the American "Politico" broke the news that U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken will visit China for four days on April 23, when he will discuss the situation in Ukraine and China's "South China Sea policy" with the Chinese side. #MCN首发激励计划#
It is worth noting that, according to a report by Shangguan News on April 17, after 17 months, China and the United States resumed the video call between the defense ministers interrupted by Pelosi's visit to Taiwan, and the two sides discussed the "Taiwan Strait" and "South China Sea" issues. #中美#
On the one hand, Blinken's upcoming visit to China, and on the other hand, the high-level of the Chinese and US militaries resumed phone calls, in which Austin also emphasized the so-called "freedom of navigation on the high seas" and "the importance of opening up communication channels between the Chinese and US militaries." Why does the United States "come whenever it wants" and "talk whenever it wants"? Some netizens believe that this is related to the recent Philippine president's warning to China.
According to a report by The Paper on April 17, Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. threatened on the 15th that if Philippine soldiers die because of an attack by "any foreign army", "it will be time to invoke the "US-Philippine Mutual Defense Treaty". In recent months, the Philippines has reversed the "gentlemen's agreement" reached with China during President Duterte, reneged on its commitments, repeatedly carried out provocations in the South China Sea, and had more than one direct confrontation with the Chinese Coast Guard. Not long ago, the United States announced the deployment of medium-range missile systems to the Philippines, and just today, the "BrahMos" missiles that the Philippines has purchased from India are about to arrive.
In line with the principle of "reasonableness, advantage, and restraint", China will not use "lethal" weapons against the Philippines when safeguarding its sovereignty and territorial integrity, nor will it take excessively drastic countermeasures, but it is inevitable that the Philippines will escalate the situation and attack China's law enforcement vessels by "self-harm", thereby deliberately causing "casualties" on the Philippine side, and then clearing the way for triggering the "US-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty". This is obviously a threat to China, a kind of "I'll die to show you" and then say, "My big brother will avenge me."
It should be said that Marcos Jr.'s move is "very scoundrel," because at the end of last year, Marcos Jr. also vowed that the Filipinos would solve the problem of "beached" warships on their own, and they would not need the help of the United States, and in the end they would have to rely on the strength of the Americans. Why did Marcos Jr. do this? Could it be that in December last year, he "mistakenly thought" that the Philippines would be able to single-handedly challenge China? Of course not.
Now it seems that the Philippines had "ulterior motives" at the time. On the one hand, it is tantamount to telling China that "I am in charge" of the South China Sea issue and that it has nothing to do with the United States, and that it will also make a clear cut from the United States in the series of provocations that followed, that China should not go to the United States, that "something will rush at me", and that the Filipinos will "solve the problem of beaching" warships "by themselves"; on the other hand, they have deliberately triggered China's countermeasures through a series of subsequent provocations, including taking the initiative to "raise the white flag" themselves, arousing national sentiment in the Philippines and building momentum for triggering the "US-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty."
In this way, the United States does not have to bear the responsibility for "making trouble in the Philippines," Marcos Jr. said that the Filipinos "solve it by themselves," and they can "end smoothly" at a critical moment, and the Filipino is dead, and the Philippines demands that the relevant mechanism of the "US-Philippine Mutual Defense Treaty" be activated, and the United States still has to stress the "spirit of contract." In this way, it can not only exert pressure and blackmail on China, but also not "look ugly", after all, things have come to this point, and China does not want to "get out of control".
Another point, let's not forget, is now at such a sensitive point as the two sides of the strait is about to 520, from the past China's resolute attitude of defending sovereignty and territorial integrity at all costs, and the China-US dialogue that was terminated after Pelosi's visit to Taiwan once made the United States scratch its head, including the last intensive visit to China by US officials, and did not get practical results, the United States has always been in a state of helplessness. In addition to deploying troops and drawing the surrounding countries of Zhou to confront China, they are also tired of dealing with the two conflicts between Russia and Ukraine and Palestine and Israel, and the upcoming 520 has to make China and the United States concerned about the "preciousness of peace and dialogue." "Relations across the Taiwan Strait will definitely become the top priority of Sino-US communication.
On the one hand, the White House still thinks that China's development speed is "faster," so Mrs. Yellen is worried about China's overcapacity and wants China to "reduce capacity"; on the other hand, the United States intends to let China put pressure on Putin on the issue of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Not long ago, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz just visited China, urging China to achieve a "just peace" on the issue of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky also spoke highly of China's "peace-promoting" role and hoped that China would achieve a "just peace" between Russia and Ukraine.
What is meant by "just peace"? It is nothing more than asking Russia to "spit out" the occupied areas, and Zelensky also hinted some time ago that Crimea can be avoided, but the territory before 2022 should be restored. But is this possible? Putin said that it is unacceptable and that the Russian side welcomes all peace talks, but he must be "based on reality." Therefore, the United States and Europe have put China in the forefront, and you have come to persuade Putin. If China persuades Russia to spit it out, the two countries will certainly hurt their feelings; if they do not, the Philippines may have to "harm itself," and then the United States will get the ticket to "direct intervention."
Therefore, the resumption of power between the Chinese and US militaries and Blinken's visit to China are all related to the South China Sea dispute between China and the Philippines, the Taiwan Strait, and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. It remains to be seen how China will pick up.