Before reading this article, we sincerely invite you to click the "Follow" button, your support is the driving force for us to continue to create
Recently, it has been reported that the United States and Japan are working closely together to revise the 1960 U.S.-Japan Security Treaty to jointly counter the growing Chinese "threat." The expansion of the scope of the "security treaty" is seen as a sign of the US military's "assistance in the defense" of Taiwan.
But is the US military really determined to participate in a war in the Taiwan Strait? It is foreseeable that if the US military is determined to participate in the war, it will suffer huge casualties, economic losses, and even the withdrawal of its entire forces from the Asia-Pacific region.
The United States and Japan are building momentum for Taiwan
It is reported that since the 60s of the 20 th century, the "US-Japan Security Treaty" has continuously enriched and deepened the foundation of US-Japan defense cooperation.
The revisions will mainly focus on adjusting the functions of the US military headquarters in Japan, aiming to improve the efficiency of coordination between the two countries in operational planning and exercises. Fumio Kishida said in an interview with the media that in view of the complex and challenging security environment that Japan is currently in, Japan will be committed to improving its national defense and diplomatic capabilities to maintain world peace and stability.
In recent years, with the connivance of the United States, Japan has frequently exaggerated the "threat" of China, trying to seek so-called "military deregulation" by amending the three major domestic security bills, increasing the national defense budget, and building a "counterattack capability" suitable for missile attacks.
In this regard, the "US-Japan Security Treaty" clearly stipulates that the two sides should jointly maintain and develop their military forces against foreign armed attacks, and at the same time provide the United States with the right to establish military bases in Japan.
According to the treaty, an attack on either the United States or Japan from a third party is considered an attack on its own country. This means that the area covered by the treaty is no longer limited to Japan itself, but has expanded to the entire Far East, including the Taiwan Strait.
At the same time, Japan's anti-China politicians have also been in collusion with "Taiwan independence elements" for a long time, and there have been many remarks about Japan's "assistance in defense" of Taiwan, and they have pointed fingers and poked at China's internal affairs. Fumio Kishida also appointed a government official as Taiwan's "military attaché", and said that this would greatly enhance the "friendship between Japan and Taiwan."
All this was acquiesced in by the United States, which has always wanted to plunge China into the quagmire of war, and China's forbearance over the past 20 years or so is the best proof of this. The United States has always feared that the world will not be chaotic, especially in the Asia-Pacific region, and although it does not dare to provoke a war, it hopes to hide behind it and support it.
Proxy warfare is the scenario that the United States is most happy to see, which means that the strength of its main adversaries will be greatly depleted, and the surrounding "allies" will continue to sell their sovereign interests for assistance. In this way, their "new Cold War" has been a great success, so Biden has constantly promised Taiwan to "protect".
This has made many "Taiwan independence elements" on the island rejoice, and even feel that they have found the "backbone", but will Biden really implement his verbal promises?
There is a well-known secret: The "Taiwan military" is useless, Taiwan's military strength is extremely weak, and it can be said that it will be shattered at the slightest touch, and it will collapse at the slightest touch, and it will be difficult for the United States to fight a proxy war in the Taiwan Strait.
As a matter of fact, not only the "Taiwan military" could not resist it, but also the armies of Japan's Self-Defense Forces or other "allies" of the United States could not resist the offensive of the PLA. This means that the US military must decide whether to enter the war as soon as it breaks out. It can even be said that "the first battle is a decisive battle".
From the perspective of geographical location, once China decides to reunify Taiwan by force, it can rely on the advantage of its proximity to fight a quick battle, with Kadena, the largest US air base in the Asia-Pacific region, being more than 600 kilometers away from Taiwan, and Yokosuka, the largest US naval base in the Asia-Pacific region, being more than 2,000 kilometers away from Taiwan.
And because China has the advantage of geographical location, in the battle with the US military, our superiority in the coastal waters can be manifested, once the US Navy dares to enter the sea area, then all US ships that enter the sea area will enter the mainland's strike range. It is very likely that the mainland will inflict huge losses on the US military (especially the navy).
The U.S. military will suffer a big loss
If we want to analyze the strength of our enemies in the Taiwan Strait, we must first analyze the US military's maritime power in the Asia-Pacific region, where the US military regularly deploys two aircraft carrier groups (the USS Ronald Reagan and the USS Washington, which replaces the Kitty Hawk), and their home port is located at the US military base in Yokosuka, Japan.
Although the United States has the largest number of aircraft carrier battle groups in the world, the mainland's missile technology is also unique. In the event of a war, we are confident that we will destroy all the aircraft carriers of the US military. In the wargame exercise, this situation was also successfully realized, that is, the two aircraft carriers could be destroyed or seriously damaged within a week.
At the same time, as the strategic core of the modern navy, the aircraft carrier battle group will be escorted by frigates, destroyers, and other ships, and if these two aircraft carriers suffer heavy losses, it will also mean that these aircraft carrier battle groups have completely lost their combat effectiveness under our attack.
Moreover, this situation is often accompanied by extremely serious casualties, and the loss of two aircraft carrier battle groups will cause at least more than 10,000 casualties, because there are at least 3,000 personnel on one aircraft carrier. And once the aircraft carrier is hit by a missile, in the vast sea, even if the US military on board survives, it will completely lose its combat capability.
If we extrapolate in this way, once the US military sends troops to "assist in the defense" of Taiwan, the operation will inevitably fail and it will suffer serious casualties, and at the same time, all branches of the US military will be dealt a heavy blow; if we look at the fact that the US Navy will lose more than 10,000 troops, the overall casualties of the US military are expected to reach 2 to 30,000.
Of course, in addition to causing casualties, it is also extremely expensive to form an aircraft carrier battle group, which includes an aircraft carrier, multiple carrier-based aircraft, multiple destroyers, frigates, submarines, etc. This means that if we succeed in striking an aircraft carrier battle group, it will cost the enemy $15 billion to $30 billion.
epilogue
With the understanding that the PLA has absolute control over China's coastal areas, we can understand that it is impossible for the US military to have the ability to "assist in the defense" of Taiwan. Even if the US military brazenly enters the war, it will not be able to change the outcome of the mainland's liberation of Taiwan, and the US military will also suffer serious casualties, and eventually the US military forces will completely withdraw from the Taiwan Strait and even the Asia-Pacific region.
Such a heavy price is unacceptable to the United States, so the most feasible and stable strategy for the United States at present is to maintain military aid to Taiwan and increase arms sales, which can not only strengthen the armed forces of the Taiwan authorities, but also increase revenue, and avoid even greater losses caused by entering the war while balancing the mainland.
It is not easy to adhere to originality, welcome everyone to like and comment, follow the author, read more wonderful content, thank you for your support.
Some sources of information in the article:
Guangming.com: The United States and Japan have stepped up collusion, and their sinister intentions have been revealed