On April 14, Iran abruptly announced a self-detonating drone and missile strike against Israel. But soon, the explosive incident that the world feared died down on the same day. The reasons for this may seem many, but on the face of it, the pressure on Iran to face the general lack of support from the international community and the strong condemnation from the UN Secretary-General, is too great. But in reality, it is also a relationship in which Iran lacks the capacity to take too many risks. It is worth mentioning that the United States' stance and attitude toward the military conflict between Israel and Iran are markedly different from those of the past. In a rare move, the United States stepped in to prevent the escalation of the war. What is going on? The United States has not openly expressed its support for Israel's open bombing of the Iranian embassy in Syria. In particular, before Iran launched an air strike on Israel, it sent a rare written letter to the United States, asking the United States to stay away from Israel and avoid being harmed. The United States did not even threaten Iran with military retaliation, but only replied, "Do not attack American targets." The meaning of this is very clear, as long as it does not fight the United States. Show a wait-and-see attitude.
But two days later, Biden said that the United States has a "rock-solid relationship" with Israel and wants to protect Israel. It can be seen from this that the Biden administration is vacillating in its treatment of the Kazakh-Israeli conflict and the Iran-Israel conflict. And after this time Iran carried out missile and drone strikes on Israel, in the face of Israel's vow to "take unprecedented retaliatory actions against Iran", the US White House made it clear that it would not participate in Israel's strikes against Iran. Moreover, US President Joe Biden immediately called Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and asked Israel not to strike at Iran, and Netanyahu accepted Biden's request and announced the cancellation of military retaliation against Iran. This time, why is the United States taking such a stance? This starts with the predicament that the United States is facing at present.
Today's Biden administration in the United States is facing unprecedented domestic and foreign difficulties. Let's first take a look at the diplomatic aspect, the United States faces four major challenges: First, the Russia-Ukraine war, Ukraine and the United States are in an absolutely passive situation. The Russian-Ukrainian war was provoked by the Biden administration, and it was the United States that led Western countries and even Japan to support Ukraine to this day, but the Biden administration has become a lame duck because the Republicans have won control of the House of Representatives, and the funds and weapons programs to aid Ukraine have been stranded for almost half a year. The failure of Ukraine is the failure of the Biden administration. But Biden has not been able to turn the House around. The second is the Kazakh-Israeli war. Israel did not heed the United States and launched an "indiscriminate bombing strike" on the Gaza Strip, targeting United Nations agencies and international charities, and even American citizens were killed by Israel. In particular, the Kazakh-Israeli war also triggered a crisis in the Red Sea, which constrained a lot of US troops and energy, and the United States could not afford to take care of it.
The third is the Taiwan Strait issue. The United States has realized that China will resolve the Taiwan issue in the near future, and has even made public the conclusion of the US government and military judgment that "Chinese mainland will reunify Taiwan by force by 2027." The United States should devote its main energies to the direction of the Taiwan Strait.
Fourth, the South China Sea issue. The United States is well aware that if it intervenes militarily on the Taiwan issue, it will not find sufficient legal basis. Therefore, the United States regards intensifying the contradictions in the South China Sea and triggering conflicts as one of the main means to interfere with China's settlement of the Taiwan issue.
In the United States, the Biden administration can be called the most passive administration in American history.
This year, we face $5 trillion in maturing Treasury bonds that cannot be paid in principal and interest, and there is still a $2 trillion fiscal gap that cannot be found. The Biden administration is now relying on the Temporary Appropriations Act and the Partial Appropriations Act to sustain operations on an interim basis. Therefore, the Biden administration is not only unable to open up a new battlefield in the Middle East, but also has no ability to open up a new battlefield in the Middle East. In fact, the wisest thing is to take a variety of measures to get Iran to step up its actions and force the United States into a more difficult situation, which for Russia is to divert the pressure of the Russian-Ukrainian war. For us, it is to divert tremendous pressure in the direction of the South China Sea and the Taiwan Strait and create better conditions for us to resolve the Taiwan issue.