Preamble:
As the 2024 U.S. election approaches, former President Donald Trump has once again stepped forward as the brightest figure in the Republican Party.
On January 23, in the Republican primary in New Hampshire, Trump won comfortably.
For a time, whether Trump can successfully "take revenge" and realize his political dream in the new election campaign has become the topic of most concern to the outside world.
Is American-style democracy really still "democratic"?
In fact, whether Trump can achieve "revenge" is only a superficial phenomenon of changes in American politics.
What is really worth thinking about is what kind of historical changes are taking place in the political ecology of the United States?
How will the problems reflected in this election have a profound impact on its future national policy?
As the "world's number one power", the United States has always been regarded as a "beacon" and "model" of democratic politics.
Its unique electoral system and multiculturalism are often beyond the reach of developing countries.
However, when we take a closer look at American politics, we will find that beneath the shiny façade of democracy also contains deep-seated shortcomings and crises.
These shortcomings not only raise questions about "American-style democracy", but also raise concerns about how they will affect the fate of this great power in the future.
In fact, this is exactly what we should pay more attention to while observing this "Trump's revenge".
The United States is at an important turning point in its democracy, and its every move will have far-reaching global consequences.
It is necessary for us to gain insight into the signs of this presidential election in order to have a clearer understanding of the true political face of this great country.
The "American dream" is no longer there, and the people's hearts are gradually moving away
Compared with the 80s of the 20th century, the role of the United States in the world has undergone subtle changes.
In the past, it was regarded as a "beacon of the world", containing infinite opportunities and hopes - countless aspirants longed for the arena of the strong, and dreamed of the legendary "American dream" of getting rich overnight.
It is an indisputable fact that the United States still has strong economic and technological strength in the world today.
However, with the development of the Internet, the over-inflated negative news in American society has also been magnified in front of the world.
All kinds of criminal phenomena and strange cultures are affecting people's perception of it, and the vision of an ideal country of "liberal democracy" is gradually shattered by reality.
In fact, these social contradictions within the United States can be traced back a long time ago, but in the past, the channels for disseminating information were limited, and it was difficult for the outside world to see the whole picture.
And in today's highly developed Internet, all this is unreservedly exposed to the sun.
We can't help but wonder if that once upon a time that year-old kingdom was really so unbearable.
Whatever the answer, it's a fact that negative factors are eroding the image of the United States.
For the United States, it is undoubtedly a sad fact that it has lost the favor of the global elite.
After all, the country's heyday relied on a steady influx of talent and capital.
Today, when there is a possibility that these elements will flow elsewhere, the future prospects for the United States do not seem optimistic.
In just a few years, the world's largest power has fallen from the altar in full view.
Among them, Trump and this sensationalist presidential war seem to be inextricably linked.
The presidential election is no longer a high-end power competition
Past U.S. presidents have either come from prestigious families or have amazing political achievements, and in any case belong to the country's political elite.
Their election to the White House represents the choice of the overall interests of American society and is also the inheritance of mainstream American political thought.
In recent years, however, the pattern of this presidential war has changed subtly.
Whether it is Biden, who is an existing person, or Trump, who is a businessman, they seem to deviate from the mainstream of American politics to some extent.
This is evident from the backgrounds and support groups of the two of them.
Biden represents the interests of the long-term "main war faction" in the United States, and its support groups are the US military and the military-industrial complex.
It can be said that he is the product of the infiltration of this part of the forces into the political circles.
Trump, on the other hand, represents the interests of the Jewish consortium in the United States.
It is a well-known fact that he has given policy returns to this part of the forces since he came to power.
So the question is, where is the mainstream public opinion? Mainstream public opinion has been left behind by these two groups.
Biden's rivalry with Trump is more like a contest between the military clique and the Jewish clique in pursuit of their own best interests.
And ordinary people in the United States are outsiders in this power-for-money transaction.
Why did the US presidential election come to such a point? There are naturally various complex social reasons for this, but the most direct one is the electoral system itself.
In a country with a ballot system like the United States, presidential candidates will inevitably have a situation of "setting up people, speaking slogans, and drawing a big pie" in order to compete for more votes, and this has become an inevitable political manipulation method.
Based on such political rules, America's candidates go to great lengths to subdivide their electorate, creating bizarre niche groups and wooing them – even if they seem ridiculous in mainstream society.
However, people's political positions and choices should be based on their own rational thinking, rather than being guided by the slogans or personas of the candidates.
The malaise of this electoral method has led to a serious deterioration in the US political arena, which has made the US presidential election itself a hype and a game.
Trump's mentality has changed, and foreign policy may return to rationality
Compared to Biden and Trump, the latter seems to be more able to mobilize the mood and attention of the media and the public.
After all, a politician who regularly makes shocking remarks is always the center of the headlines.
However, it is necessary to be clear – Trump is not a "clown" or "madman" politician.
As a businessman, some of his slogans and actions are geared to specific political environments and groups.
The reason why he came to power and was successfully re-elected was precisely because he took advantage of the emotional and anti-intellectual psychology of some voters in the United States.
But unlike the last campaign, this time Trump has experienced first-hand the punishment and crackdown on the government.
His slogans such as "regain the country" and "regain the stolen position" fully reflect his political intention to "take revenge" on his political opponents.
This fully reflects the change in his political stance.
However, if we look at the problem from a longer-term perspective, these seemingly nonsensical political manipulations of the United States still serve the main line of maximizing national interests.
Even though the two camps are now fighting openly and covertly, they still have an essential consensus on foreign policy.
After all, joining forces to suppress potential strategic competitors is the common political goal of vested interests in the United States.
Assuming that Trump is elected in this election, will there also be a return to rationality in his foreign policy? The answer seems to be yes.
As a businessman, Trump is more interested in the calculation of practical benefits.
He seems to be more inclined to play games with other powers using economic means rather than military ones.
This has a significant impact on the functioning of the world economic landscape.
As the world's second-largest economy, it is also necessary for China to prepare in advance for a possible return to Trumpism.
After all, this will be at stake in our foreign economic policy for years to come.
Conclusion: The historic shift in American politics continues
All in all, this seemingly chaotic presidential election in the United States is not as simple as a simple change of power.
Behind a large number of political slogans and gimmicks, the results of the game between different interest groups will eventually affect the national policy orientation of the United States in the next few years.
One of the most critical points is that there has been a historic change in American politics - the standard for measuring a politician has changed from past achievements and ideas to whether he can sensationalize and create topics.
This may not bode well for the long-term development of the United States' national fortunes.
Right now, Trump's elusive political tussle with Biden continues.
Let's continue to observe what is reflected behind this "American farce"!