First, yesterday's A-share plummet, I estimate that it is more significant negative impact, the Shanghai and Shenzhen indices both fell more than 1%, and both fell below the key points of 2900 points and 9000 points respectively, which has both symbolic significance and practical impact, and A-shares are facing continued downward pressure.
Second, the last time it lost 2900 points was on December 26, and it was only a slight loss for one day, but this time it was a relatively long way down. If you want to regain 2,900 points today, the Shanghai Composite Index will rise by at least 0.45%, in any case, it will not be easy to regain 2,900 points today, and such a long distance down will impact market confidence.
Third, the Shanghai Index since December 13 lost 3000 points, has been 18 days, and on December 29 to hit 3000 points failed, and re-entered the downward channel, 3000 will be similar to 4000 points to become a gap that is difficult to cross in the future, I can't make a statement at will, everyone think about it.
Fourth, A-shares shrank sharply yesterday, although I am not optimistic about the shrinkage, but the Shanghai and Shenzhen two fingers closed the green K-line chart with a convex bottom, and the market actively reduced positions and passive takeovers outside the market, and the receiver was basically in a state of net loss, and it was unlikely that the next day would actively reduce positions, and the continued shrinkage would be in the same direction, or it might also complete a round of washing, so there was little pressure to sell today.
5. To sum up, the temporary short technical pattern of A-shares is obvious, and I am not optimistic about the short-term trend of A-shares, but my analysis believes that there is little pressure to sell today, and the continued decline will also arouse the interest of the over-the-counter gradual takeover to a certain extent, so my views on Tuesday's A-share trend are expressed as follows.
1. The Shanghai and Shenzhen indices will open with gains, opening or opening above 2893 points.
2. The Shanghai and Shenzhen indices will fluctuate upward, and will eventually close in red and close in the red K-line chart, the Shanghai Index is very likely to regain 2900 points, and individual stocks will also be the result of rising more and falling less.
3. But I'm just cautious bullish today, and today may just be a reversal on the way down, and a continuous rebound cannot be expected for the time being, after all, the risk factor is larger.
6. Information on A-share related topics.
1. Meeting of the Ministry of Commerce: In 2024, it is necessary to coordinate new urbanization and rural revitalization, expand cross-border e-commerce exports, etc., involving A-share new urbanization, rural revitalization, cross-border e-commerce and other conceptual sectors.
2. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued the National Automotive Chip System Guide, and by 2025, more than 30 automotive chip standards will be formulated, involving the A-share automotive chip concept sector.
3. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology held a symposium on industrial green and low-carbon development, involving the concept of A-share carbon neutrality.