2024 big conjecture: the dragon can do China, China can do

Our Global Business Review

However, I have already seen through everything

[A creative painting I saw, beautiful, although there is still a month in 2024, it still belongs to the Year of the Rabbit......|] From the Internet]

Business Geography of Wuqiu:

After 2023, we will soon usher in the Year of the Dragon. The dragon is prosperous, and the family is prosperous. Looking forward to the melting of the ice, the sunshine of the policy shines in every corner. In this moment of the Year of the Dragon, we believe in the power of "believing", believe in this country, and believe that there must be a sky behind the dragon. Bless every reader and mentor of Wuqiu Business Geography: New Year's Dress, the heart is full of flowers!

采写/朱亚栋；主编/王千马

Picture / Comprehensive, Compilation / Big Waist Essence + Cow Jingle + Yo Ho

In the snap of a finger, 2023 will soon be ended by 2024. And then, after the Year of the Rabbit, it will also be the Year of the Dragon. The dragon meets the year of the dragon, and the hope is that the dragon will be prosperous and prosperous.

However, if we want to realize this picture, first, we need to have the confidence and confidence to climb the slope and overcome the hurdles, that is, in the face of downward pressure on the global economy, the more difficult it is, the more we will move forward, and second, we must connect the dragon vein to achieve the high-quality development of several main lines in China. The dragon vein is connected, and the country is prosperous. And the dragon vein is the country's mountains and rivers. In a sense, the "qi" of a country and nation is carried by the geographical environment. As stated in the 2023 edition of Urban Warfare, geography has shaped the prototype of China, and it has further promoted the reason why China is China!

Undoubtedly, there are three main dragon veins that promote China to become China: northern, central and southern. As one said, "The Northern Dragon is the vein of the Gen Dragon, which goes out along the Kunlun Mountains, goes up through the Yellow River, goes through Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, Qinghai, Gansu, Shanxi, Hebei, Liaoning, Jilin, Heilongjiang and other provinces, and finally arrives at the Baektu Mountain in North Korea, and of course, our Changbai Mountain." Beijing City and Tianjin City are the most important cities in this dragon vein!"

"Zhonglong is the vein of the dragon, from Bayan Kala Mountain, through the Yellow River and the Yangtze River, through Sichuan, Shaanxi, Henan, Hubei, Anhui, Shandong, the most representative cities are Xi'an and Luoyang. Starting from Xianyang, the capital of the ancestral dragon, Xi'an was the ancient capital of the 13 dynasties, and Luoyang was the capital of the 10 dynasties!

"The last one is the southern dragon, which is the vein of the Xunlong dragon, originating from the Tanggula Mountain, going east along the Yangtze River, going through thousands of mountains and rivers, and ending in Shanghai, which is the Yangtze River Delta. Nanlong also has a water vein, which flows from the Pearl River into the South China Sea, which is the Pearl River Delta. ”

These three dragon veins symbolize the luck of China. It is the main, and has given birth to countless branches, just like the blood vessels and meridians of the human body, all over the land of China.

In the past, Yi and Luo died in the summer when the water ran out, the Yellow River dried up and the merchants died, and the Jing, He, and Luochuan earthquakes and the Qishan Mountains collapsed and the Zhou perished! Historically, every breach and diversion of the Yellow River determined the rise and fall of a feudal dynasty! This is not metaphysics, still less superstition, but a profound summary of the relationship between the natural environment and human society from a grander angle!

Therefore, we can see that the 24 trillion GDP cities that have been formed today, and the 19 urban development clusters based on the Yangtze River Delta, the Pearl River Delta, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, the Shandong Peninsula, Chengdu-Chongqing, Guangdong-Fujian-Zhejiang, the coastal areas of Hubei, Hubei, Hubei, the Central Plains, the central and southern Liaoning, the Guanzhong Plain, the western part of Shanxi, the northern part of the Tianshan Mountains, the Beibu Gulf, the Yellow River in Ningxia, the central Yunnan, the Lanzhou-Xining, the central Guizhou and the Harbin-Chang are basically developed and built in accordance with these three dragon veins.

According to the investment intensity of some cities in the country in 2023, it will also be laid out around these three dragon veins and connected in series. Zhonglong has 1,100 key projects in Xi'an with an investment of 2.9 trillion yuan, Chengdu has 900 key projects with an investment of 2.44 trillion yuan, Wuhan has 1,154 key projects with an investment of 4.5 trillion yuan, Changsha has 554 key projects with an investment of 1.1484 trillion yuan, Tianjin has 885 key projects with an investment of 1.9 trillion yuan, and Guangzhou has 1,722 key projects with an investment of 6.6 trillion yuan...... This is not counting the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei integration, Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle, Hainan Free Trade Zone, Northeast Revitalization and Xinjiang Free Trade Zone, which the country has been pushing hard this year.

It has to be admitted that this country, which regards itself as a "dragon", does not respect the dragon and does not see the end, but constantly promotes the balance of domestic regional economic development and governance by promoting regional economic governance, as well as through the echo of the north and the south and the resonance of the east and west.

But obviously, the southern dragon and the middle dragon are slightly stronger than the northern dragon today. At the end of 2023, the list of the top 100 Chinese cities in terms of livability index analysis was officially released in Beijing. Although Beijing and Shanghai ranked first and third respectively, in the entire northern region, only Beijing entered the top 10 list, except for Beijing, the best ranked is Weihai in Shandong, ranking 22nd! However, Shandong is the province with the most cities on the list in the north, with 14 cities on the list.

Previously, "Wuqiu Business Geography" was invited by the Internet Information Office of the Shandong Provincial Party Committee to investigate Shandong, and once wrote an article comparing Shandong as a "turtle", that is, one of the nine sons of the dragon. If the turtle wants to advance and retreat freely, on the one hand, it needs to take advantage of the coastal advantages to build a good foreign port, and on the other hand, it is necessary to make full use of inland resources, such as the Yellow River and the Beijing-Hangzhou Grand Canal. In the author's view, Shandong's ability to have 14 cities on the list of the top 100 livable cities today must be related to its relative success in these two aspects.

However, outside of Shandong, it is mainly the world in the south, like Jiangsu, although it is nicknamed "Thirteen Taibao" by the outside world, none of these Taibao have been pulled down. One particular mention should be made of Nanjing, which has not had a high share of GDP over the years, despite being a well-known economic province in China. This may seem confusing at first, but in fact it reflects Jiangsu's balanced and steady development strategy, which undoubtedly promotes the common development and growth of other secondary cities.

Next is China's current economic province "first brother" - Guangdong, with 10 cities on the list, but the most surprising is Zhuhai, which actually ranks second, and then the old economic province Zhejiang, with 7 cities on the list, led by the new first-tier city "big brother" - Hangzhou.

Fortunately, after Hebei is in Shandong, it has maintained the face of Beilong in a timely manner, and there are also 6 cities on the list, and the best ranking is Langfang City, which is close to the capital.

There is also an accident, that is, Changsha, the provincial capital of Hunan, is actually ranked 19th, but it is already the first of the six central provinces, and Wuhan is only ranked 85th in the country - in a sense, in the manufacture of excavators and other equipment, it is Changsha rather than Jinan with Lanxiang Technical School, so that it is still hot today when the wave of large infrastructure construction has not stopped. On the contrary, due to the rapid development of new energy vehicles, it has hit Wuhan, which was once the "car capital". Wuhan needs to start afresh in the Year of the Dragon.

There is also an accident, that is, only 2 cities in Anhui were selected, Wuhu surpassed Hefei to rank 53rd in the country, and Hefei only ranked 81st. From the point of view of Wuqiu's business geography, this is also a wake-up call for Hefei, that is, whether it is to build a hegemony or a capital of science and technology, it is necessary to let the dividends of development be effectively popularized to every citizen. The upper building is bustling, but the people at the bottom have not reaped any benefits, on the contrary, they have been dragged out of breath by the high housing prices.

There is also a gratifying accident, that is, Henan Province, which has made great efforts to develop industry and hit the Central Plains metropolitan agglomeration, has 4 cities selected, and the provincial capital Zhengzhou ranks 49th in the country and 1st in the province. In addition, Luoyang ranked 72nd, Xuchang ranked 82nd, Nanyang ranked 86th, and Jiangxi, which once had a weak sense of presence, had three cities in the top 100 livability index, Nanchang ranked 40th, Jiujiang ranked 63rd, and Ganzhou ranked 91st. This shows that Jiangxi is not without conditions, but needs to be man-made. On the one hand, the close connection between the high-speed rail network and the Pearl River Delta has helped Guangdong siphon Jiangxi's population at the same time, but also allowed Guangdong's industries to spill over to Jiangxi - like one of my senior brothers, Xinyang, a senior executive, is headquartered in Dongguan, but the main base is in Ganzhou Xinfeng. On the other hand, with the reconstruction of the great project of the century such as the vast waterway in Beijing, Jiangxi, which is located along this waterway, has combined the three qi of the North Dragon, the Middle Dragon and the South Dragon.

In addition, among the top 100 cities, Tibet's Lhasa City ranks the best, at 43rd, and Xi'an, Lanzhou, Urumqi, and Yinchuan, the provincial capitals in the western region, are all on the list! This shows that along with the large-scale development of the western region, the northwest is also in full swing to catch up.

This also makes this country come up with a relatively bright report card in 2023, when the international competition situation is intensifying. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the GDP in the first three quarters of 2023 was 913027 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.2% at constant prices. Among them, the added value of the primary industry was 5,637.4 billion yuan, up by 4.0 percent year-on-year, the added value of the secondary industry was 353659 billion yuan, up by 4.4 percent year-on-year, and the added value of the tertiary industry was 502993 billion yuan, up by 6.0 percent year-on-year. According to the national permanent population data at the end of 2022, the per capita GDP is 64,700 yuan/person.

From the perspective of the added value of the three major industries in each region, the added value of the primary industry in Sichuan, Shandong and Henan is more than 400 billion yuan, and the primary industry in Hainan accounts for the highest proportion, reaching 20.8%. The added value of the secondary industry in 13 regions exceeded one trillion yuan, of which Jiangsu and Guangdong were the regions with the highest added value of the secondary industry, the proportion of the secondary industry in 12 regions was more than 40%, the proportion of the secondary industry in Inner Mongolia was the highest, reaching 49.6%, and the added value of the tertiary industry in 19 regions exceeded one trillion yuan, of which Guangdong exceeded 5 trillion yuan, and the proportion of the tertiary industry in 8 regions was higher than the national average, and the proportion of the tertiary industry in Beijing and Shanghai was 85.5% and 75.7% respectively, far exceeding that of other regions.

In a sense, in the Year of the Dragon, China is looking forward to the three dragons of the North, the Middle Dragon and the Southern Dragon dancing together, so as to form a national resonance, common progress, and common prosperity.

It's just that, when it comes to each city, they may need to find their own way forward. For example, Suzhou, the prefecture-level city with the sixth largest GDP, needs to continue to contribute to the economic development of new energy vehicles and the digital economy; Nantong, which is also a prefecture-level city in Jiangsu, has a strong manufacturing base, especially in the textile and garment, petrochemical industry, machinery and electronics and other industries, to make itself not inferior; another prefecture-level city, Changzhou, is led by intelligent manufacturing and takes the modern service industry as the pillar, and strives to transform into a famous intelligent manufacturing city......

In addition, Yantai, led by the marine economy and supported by high-tech industries, is moving towards a strong marine city, Tangshan, based on the steel industry, with new materials and new energy as the direction, is transforming into a green and low-carbon city, and Dalian, with international trade as the main line and relying on the modern service industry, is developing into an international city - perhaps, these three cities are expected to enter the trillion camp in 2024.

Jinan, as the provincial capital, has been guided by the transformation of science and technology innovation and finance, cultural tourism, and information services, and has polished its economic development to the fullest......

After three years of the pandemic and the global recession, 2023 has truly tested the city's undertones. For the city, the important thing is not the glory of your good times, but the responsibility in the adversity! Today's urban development and rise and fall determine not only the fate of the city, but also the fate of all strata of the urban governance system - whether to enjoy the dividends of social and economic development, or to make the city and urban groups become the "digital outcasts" of modern civilization, and it is very important to build a good city tomorrow!

Therefore, it is expected that we can all follow the trend, and our cities and lives will be the best in the world.

2024 Gifts