Please check your 2024 technical data sheet

In the tech world of 2024, a lot is bound to happen.

Humanity needs to progress, so science and technology need to advance.

But if we look beyond the human community to the microcosm of you and me, sometimes technological progress can also bring fear, impetuousness, and anxiety to people.

It's all because of the uncertainty of the future, and we've all been overwhelmed by the grand narrative of technological development.

To this end, the editorial team of the bad review has summarized some of the technology trends that may occur in 2024, and wrote this "technology manual" in as straightforward language as possible, hoping that it will help you turn the page of technology life in 2024.

A unified AI butler is also likely to be as popular as WeChat.

In your daily work and life in the future, you can know nothing, and AI can help you with most of the trivial tasks: writing reports, making PPTs, making forms, and even how to pick vegetables when you go to the vegetable market to buy vegetables.

Just like Bill As Gates said, traditional apps are likely to be phased out, and AI will lead us to the next internet.

Listening to songs to open music apps, navigating to open map apps, shopping to open shopping apps, this pre-AI era "backward Xi" is likely to be outdated.

For example, if you want to order a takeout, as long as you say a word, the AI Agent (AI agent) directly connects the takeaway and payment apps.

AI Agent can even rub code and create apps according to your needs, so the existence of apps will gradually be weakened, and AI Agents are likely to become a new unified entrance to the pandemic.

The gap between the Chinese and English capabilities of large models may widen.

When you use a lot of large model applications, you should also find that the effect of asking questions in English is much better than that in Chinese.

Yes, large language models also have native languages, and its native language is English.

Because the currently published Chinese corpus is slightly inferior to English in both quantity and quality.

The large model engineer of a large factory also revealed to us that when training the Chinese large model, for every third of the Chinese corpus, two-thirds of the English corpus must be fed into it, otherwise the effect will be miserable.

Like GPU computing power, corpus quality is also a barrier to the development of domestic large models, and it is difficult to change in a short period of time.

The Matthew effect in AI is likely to be stronger than in other fields, so in the future, the performance of Chinese and English may be more English-oriented.

People who have lost their speech due to stroke or paralysis may be able to speak again.

This year, Elon Musk's brain-computer interface company Neuralink is about to start human experiments, Shanghai Ruijin Hospital has used brain-computer interface to let depressed patients get a "happy switch", and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology team has also used brain-computer interface devices to decode human brain neural activity, setting a new record of 62 words per minute.

The University of California, through the combination of brain-computer interface and AI digital human, allows people who have been paralyzed and aphasia for 18 years to "speak".

In China, there are nearly 20 million stroke patients, and about one-third of them will have aphasia.

With the development of brain-computer interface technology, it may no longer be difficult for patients with aphasia due to stroke and paralysis to speak in the future.

The anxiety of the range of the tram may be solved.

Not long ago, Ideal has taken the lead in using its self-developed 5C battery on the "top stream of the rim" MEGA. By reducing the heat dissipation in the form of reducing the internal resistance of the battery, the charging efficiency can be improved, and it is claimed that it can last up to 500 kilometers in 12 minutes.

This charging speed is almost catching up with the refueling of the oil truck.

Huawei, on the other hand, also announced that it will establish a liquid-cooled fast charging network of 100,000 charging piles across the country, and those who have installed their own machines must know that the efficiency and stability of heat dissipation will be greatly improved, with a maximum output of 600kW, which can be said to be "far ahead"!

The development of car charging speed is about to make the Middle East tycoons unable to sit still, and they have invested in electric vehicle companies.

Imagine if all electric cars could achieve 5C or higher fast charging, and everyone would no longer have to worry about rushing for charging piles.

Many of the standalone apps on your phone may have to be changed to a subscription system.

If you've bought out an indie app, you may have to pay for it again in the future.

In the past two years, independent software has faced the situation of not being able to monetize, in order to improve the operation, more and more apps have changed from buyout to subscription, and now a "buyout + subscription" model has begun to become popular abroad.

For example, if the software costs 50 yuan, after you buy it once, you can permanently own the software and new features within 1 year, and you need to pay for new features after 1 year to experience it.

For developers, this model not only supports the upfront capital investment, but also gives the team enough motivation to maintain and update the product.

Not only do users no longer have to worry about software stoppage and running away, but they can only pay for the features they need, and they don't need to pay for new features.

In the coming year, more and more developers will adopt this new buyout + subscription model, which will also be a major change in the software ecosystem.

The cars you can buy don't necessarily have to be made by car companies.

Xiaomi Auto and Huawei's HarmonyOS Zhixing have all been unveiled.

Roborock's Polar Stone, Skyworth Group's SKYHOME, and Juneyao Airlines' Juneyao Automobile are also on the way.

More and more companies that had little to do with cars have begun to build cars across borders.

Among them, there are those who are serious about technology, but there is no shortage of those who play capital games.

Will cars get closer and closer to digital products? Is it possible to find a few suppliers to save cars?

Which companies will build cars next? Apple, Gree, Coca-Cola, Moutai???

Micro-short dramas are becoming a new form of pastime.

As a side fact, ReelShorts, a live-action skit software, has surpassed TikTok in the U.S. App Store rankings.

In the future, micro-short dramas may have a stronger sense of existence, popular short dramas rush to the hot search, the protagonist of the short drama becomes a star, and you may also be tempted to recharge in order to chase a bigger ending.

Even games derived from skits have the potential to become popular among players.

With the development of short videos, people's demand for episodes is also shorter and faster.

In 2023, with a low-cost, high-return production model, coupled with a 2-minute episode, stimulating the direct plot, the micro-short drama will become popular, and a large number of short dramas will attract tens of millions of recharges within a week of being launched, and will have a large number of audiences at home and abroad.

In 2024, as capital enters the game, it is believed that all major manufacturers will start to launch their own short drama APP, rolling up from all levels of scripts, actors, shooting, and distribution, and short dramas are likely to directly replace the status of online movies and online dramas.

Your party with your friends may be included in the game.

This year's "Egg Boy Party" and "Yuan Dream Star", which exploded in the young group, have changed the social mode of young people by themselves.

With the official release of Vision Pro in the first quarter of 2024 and the follow-up of domestic manufacturers, the application of avatars is likely to become a hot project.

At that time, digital social networking with games as the carrier will officially become the mainstream.

In the future, the distance between people in reality may become farther and farther apart, and the people in the virtual world may get closer and closer.

More and more people may start to use folding screen mobile phones.

In 2023, more than 4 years have passed since the first folding screen phone came out.

With the maturity of technology and product experience, and the price of products has begun to decline, more and more people have begun to choose folding screen mobile phones.

Horizontal folding mobile phones are very popular in the circle of business people, and small vertical folding is really popular among girls, and the vertical folding has been blown to the sky on Xiaohongshu~

In the past ten years since the iPhone 4 came out, many people have used enough straight phones, and they always have to try to change the flavor of vertical folding~

In the future, if you travel by car, you may not have to drive yourself.

Have you ever seen the autonomous driving videos of various car companies?

In some extreme cases, autonomous driving seems to perform better than people, so everyone's recognition of intelligent driving is getting higher and higher.

At present, brands such as Ideal, Xiaopeng, Jiyue, and Zhiji have launched models that can also drive intelligently on urban roads, and Huawei has shouted that "the whole country can drive." ”

And Tesla's full self-driving function is also said to be about to enter China.

Tesla is here, indicating that the seal on autonomous driving in laws and regulations may be about to be lifted.

Therefore, if there is an accident in the future of autonomous driving, will the car company have to be fully responsible?

A 1TB mobile phone that can be bought for 2,000 yuan may not be available again next year.

This year's storage prices, it's insane!

The price reduction of storage particles has also affected the mobile phone market, and the red-eyed mobile phone manufacturers first "add 200 to upgrade 1TB", and finally simply "the 1TB version in the first month of sale is the same price as 512GB!", and everyone has no storage anxiety overnight.

But next year, I am afraid that such a good price will not be available again.

Domestic storage has indeed risen, with a production capacity approaching 120 billion GB, but this data only accounts for 10% of the global storage capacity.

But the bigger reason is that under the premise that the global computer market is shrinking, Micron, Toshiba and other manufacturers have announced production cuts and price controls, Samsung, which is also a storage giant, has announced its refusal to reduce production and blew up its inventory.

But now, Samsung has also joined the ranks of reducing production and controlling prices - I am afraid that it wants to make back all the losses in 2023.

So there are already CEOs of mobile phone manufacturers who are posting on Weibo to test everyone: "We won't make a 1TB version of the mobile phone next year, what do you think?"

Maybe next year's storage prices won't be so crazy, but it's not going to completely fulfill the oligarchs' wishes.

In the foreseeable 2024, domestic storage may be our only remaining hope

The spring of virtual headsets may have to wait.

"The whole industry is waiting for Apple", this is what an industry person said to us before the Vision Pro was released.

Prior to this, the concept of virtual headsets had been hyped for a decade, and everyone was waiting for the white knight to save the industry.

In June of this year, Apple gave us a glimpse of the height that the headset could reach with a precise product positioning design, igniting the discussion of the headset among ordinary people.

But there is no good news in the industry.

In September, Meta Quest, the backbone of the VR industry, sold less than 30% of what was expected

In November, Chinese manufacturer Pico VR abruptly announced layoffs and studio closures, keeping a low profile for its entire product line.

Next year is likely to be a dormant year for the headset, with Apple MR dancing solo, VR and AR foiling.

At the same time, Vision Pro's expensive price, non-long-term wearing comfort, and few exclusive ecological applications mean that it is likely to remain a niche carnival.

However, I really hope that Apple can find a way, if nothing else, if even Apple gives up, I am afraid that the headset that can really break the game will appear even later.

You won't really wait for Lao Luo to save the industry?。。。

These trends are some of the trends we give as observers of the tech industry.

Technology never stops, and surprises are unpredictable, and I hope that technology in 2024 will be far more exciting and shocking than this.