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Is the decline in the working population completely bad?

author:I'm Huo Gongzi

#人到老年了, what is the greatest happiness ## How to view China's new population record low ##人口现在最大的问题是不生孩子, this concept is gaining momentum more and more.

This is also normal, in our real world, there are not too many rewards for those who have more children. And the movies and TV series in recent years have constantly reinforced a feeling that if you give up childbirth, the living conditions can be much better, and you can suffer too much.

As for what happens when you get old, who cares who will worry about things decades from now. Most people don't even want to worry about next year. In recent years, the idea of not having children has spread like an epidemic in big cities, and it is too difficult and difficult to expect children in the city, almost requiring them to ride everything they have.

Is the decline in the working population completely bad?

So, is it a completely bad thing that everyone's fertility desire has declined, and the population has declined?

This one is also more complicated. Demographically speaking, it is definitely not good, and our generation may be old and undependent. But to some extent, the decline in the labor force has the potential to improve the social environment.

In the past, when manpower was cheap, the bosses' thinking was that you can do it, you can do it if you can't do it, anyway, some people do it. If the labor force declines, the bosses' thinking will also change, and they cannot be as extensive as before, after all, walking alone for a long time can not be replenished, delaying the construction period and affecting the progress. It will also force them to improve the living conditions of workers.

We always say that the demographic dividend, overpopulation is naturally a dividend, but not a dividend for workers, and some people are easy to abuse this dividend and treat people as consumables. Why does Europe have an industrial revolution and China does not? Because there were too many people in China at that time, it was enough to smash manpower for something, and there was no need to develop machinery at all.

If the working population continues to decline, it also heralds the advent of an era of greater respect for workers. Instead of the kind of "you don't do it, you will roll, some people do it", this is a healthier and longer path. If the vicious competition is not so fierce, the 35-year-old does not have to worry about being thrown out by the company. Then many people naturally have less concern about the future, and the willingness to give birth will come up.

Is the decline in the working population completely bad?

People actually live in anticipation, and expectations are often innuendos of reality. You struggle today because you feel that because of today's struggle, tomorrow will be better. If someone tells you now that people who are better than you, more educated than you, and better than your cattle, are now a miserable batch, no matter how hard you struggle, the results in the future will not be better than him. You're still in college, and you know your career ends at 35. Then also struggle for a yarn, quickly delete the file and forget it, at least you can't practice trumpet.

Is the decline in the working population completely bad?

Therefore, the labor shortage in the past two years may raise costs in the short term. But it may be a good thing in the long run, and companies can't get too used to that kind of squeeze-out development. Only when human resources are not so abundant will we cherish manpower, treat people as people, and will not waste people. In other words, the mainland's cheap labor force is too abundant, which is not only one of the driving forces of development in recent years, but also one of the sources of vicious internal competition.

I've always been an advocate of hard work. But the purpose of hard struggle is not to be hard all the time, but to exchange the hardship of one generation for the less hard work of later generations. The demographic dividend is attractive, but I don't want my children to live in a country that depends on the demographic dividend like me.