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Recently, US National Security Advisor Sullivan expressed a rational view at the Aspen Security Forum, believing that the United States can no longer confront China without limit, and has to consider a strategy of long-term peaceful coexistence with China. However, this is not a generous gift from the United States, but because China has shown great power, which is the only thing we can rely on to win.
Especially in the Taiwan Strait region, China's strength is particularly evident. According to a new report released by the Middlebury Institute in the United States, China has deployed thousands of DF-17 missiles around Taiwan, some as far as 400 kilometers from Taiwan. Based on photographs taken by commercial satellites and detailed technical analysis, the report makes clear that the missile threat is not only against key targets in Taiwan, but also at U.S. military bases and fleets in the western Pacific. The DF-17 missile system's high mobility and multiple ballistic options make it virtually impossible to be blocked by active U.S. anti-missile systems such as THAAD, Patriot and Standard 3 interceptors.
These medium-range hypersonic missiles have a range of up to 1,800 to 2,500 kilometers and cover most of the U.S. military bases on the first island chain. If China's deployment is indeed as stated in the report, then when reunifying Taiwan by force, the US military can only choose to retreat to the second island chain to avoid the impact of the DF-17 missile.
Obviously, China deployed these missiles not only for Taiwan, but also to prevent the US military from threatening China with the help of the first island chain. Although Chinese mainland's long-range rocket artillery is enough to deter Taiwan, the withdrawal of U.S. forces to the second island chain can still pose a threat to China. As a result, China has had to take precautionary measures, such as the recent establishment of the 8th DF-26 missile brigade in the northeast, plus seven missile brigades already established earlier, to maintain deterrence against U.S. forces in the second island chain.
However, can the US military really rest easy? The DF-26 missile, commonly known as the "Guam Express" or "Guam Killer," has an impressive range and can reach Guam, which is only 3,000 kilometers from the nearest point off the coast of China. The DF-26 missile uses solid fuel, is ready for launch, has excellent survivability, and has both nuclear and conventional warheads, and its one-time launch capability is breathtaking. Its top speed is as high as Mach 18, and the power of one missile is equivalent to 500 Tomahawk missiles, which is enough to directly penetrate the aircraft carrier fleet, so it has the reputation of "aircraft carrier killer".
If China can equip eight DF-26 missile brigades, each with 36 launchers, and launch 288 DF-26 missiles at once, taking into account the continuity of reloading opportunities, its strike power will become formidable. This number of missiles is enough to destroy several aircraft carrier battle groups, and for the US military stationed in Guam and other places, the DF-26 missile will become a threat that cannot be ignored. China can resolve disputes through diplomatic means, but if the United States insists on interfering in China's internal affairs, the deterrent power of DF-26 missiles will become an important weapon to safeguard national security.
In addition, China's nuclear arsenal is huge and has always been in a state of "adequacy". As launch vehicles continue to upgrade, China has put enormous pressure on the United States, especially in nuclear weapons negotiations. That's why Sullivan suggested that China must be transparent about its military capabilities, otherwise the United States can only choose to "coexist" with China.
In sum, China's missile deployments not only pose a threat to the U.S. island chain strategy, but are large and opaque, forcing the United States to pursue the possibility of a diplomatic solution to the dispute. China's military capabilities and nuclear arsenal have brought a new balance to international relations, which has led Sullivan to put forward the idea of "coexistence" with China. In the future, resolving differences through diplomatic channels will become an important task for the international community to ensure global peace and stability.
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