The content of this article comes from the Internet, if it is inconsistent with the actual situation or there is infringement, please contact to delete. This article is only published in today's headlines, please do not move.
Many southern farmers still remember the severe drought last year. However, as 2023 approaches, there are concerns about whether last year's drought will be repeated or even worse.
In my hometown, although quite some time has passed and spring has long passed, rain is still very scarce. It's clear skies almost every day, and there hasn't been a single heavy rain so far, and even if it does, it's just a drizzle.
It is now close to the Qingming Festival, and according to the agricultural proverb, "before and after the Qingming Dynasty, plant melons and beans", which means that many crops will start to be sown. Even when there is no rainfall, the land is not wet enough, and many villagers have to carry water from their homes to their fields with buckets, water the land and then sow seeds. Although the process is tedious and painstaking, there is no other option because if you do not plant in time, you will miss the planting season.
I also consulted friends from other places online, and they also said that the situation was similar to my hometown, and it had not rained heavily for a long time, and drizzle was rare. Although it is often said that "spring rain is as expensive as oil", spring rain is indeed rarer than summer, and in the past, spring droughts occurred more in the north and relatively rare in the south. However, due to last year's severe drought, many villagers began to worry about whether they would fall into drought again this year. The old farmer in the village said: "This year is ten oxen to plow the fields, and the year is not optimistic. What does this mean? Let's dive in.
2023 is the double spring leap February, and it is also said that "ten oxen plow the field, one dragon governs the water". Older generations of farmers worry because they believe in ancient forecasting methods that have been passed down from generation to generation. They mainly rely on the Spring Cow Map to predict the weather, rainfall and harvest of crops that year.
The Spring Ox Map is an ancient illustrated book used to predict the weather, rainfall, and agriculture-related information of the year. This method dates back to the early Tang Dynasty and lasted for thousands of years. Its main motifs include a cow and a morning glory "mangjin", flanked by verses used to predict the weather and harvest of crops.
Below the booklet is a yellow calendar for the year, with 24 solar terms dates and daily taboos. Many families used to put up the Spring Ox Picture because it not only guided agricultural tasks such as sowing seeds, farming, and harvesting, but also had the function of praying for family safety.
According to the Spring Cow Map in 2023, this year is "ten oxen ploughing the field", which means that the cultivation of the field will be very difficult, and ten cows will be required to work in turn. This also indicates that the land has become unusually dry, as rainfall is scarce and the land becomes hard, which is quite challenging for cattle farming.
Last year's "five-cattle plough" was already experiencing drought in some areas, and this year's increase in the number of cattle has made farmers more worried that this year's drought could be worse. In addition, from the "several dragons to control the water" can also judge the amount of rain, and in 2023 there will only be "one dragon to control the water", according to the old saying, "the dragon is more waterlogged, the dragon is less dependent, and the five dragons and six dragons are smooth in the wind and rain", which means that the more dragons, the greater the possibility of drought. The older generation said that although "one dragon to control water" is not easy to cause drought, it does not have much rainfall, especially in spring, when rainfall is very limited.
Therefore, this is consistent with the current situation. Last year was "eight dragons to control water", so last year's drought was relatively more serious. But the question is, is 2023 really prone to a mega-drought?
In fact, after the onset of spring this year, several places released their latest forecasts. The latest forecast released by the Yunnan Provincial Water Resources Department shows that "drought and flood disasters in 2023 will be more severe than the previous year, and the situation is grim!" In addition, some media reported that the precipitation in southwest China this year is 2-50% less than the same period of the year, and most of southern Sichuan and Yunnan is less than 80%, coupled with the temperature is higher than the same period of the year, resulting in the continuous intensification of drought.
The National Climate Center has also released a forecast for the climate year in 2023, pointing out that the overall deviation of this year's annual scenery, and extreme weather and climate events are frequent and strong
Situation. They also pointed out that this summer is likely to see persistent hot weather, and the cycle of average concentrated rainfall in China will be shortened from the current 50-year event to once in 20 years. The frequency of extreme drought events will also decrease from once in 50 years to once in 32 years.
To sum up, both the ancient farmers' experience and the modern scientific forecasting methods indicate that this year's annual situation is not optimistic. Therefore, we hope that farmers can prepare in advance, pay close attention to the weather dynamics, and take timely preventive measures to reduce possible losses.
Agriculture is an important industry in the South, affecting the livelihoods of millions of farmers. A severe drought will not only affect crop growth, but may also lead to food shortages and economic hardship. Therefore, the government and all sectors of society should also actively take measures to support farmers to overcome the possible drought and ensure the continued stability of agricultural production, so as to maintain the life and development of rural communities.
At this critical juncture, science, technology and social collaboration will play a key role in providing farmers with more meteorological information and agricultural technical support to address potential drought risks. At the same time, promoting the rational allocation and management of water resources is also one of the important measures to reduce drought pressure.
Whether 2023 will experience another mega-drought is still undecided. But in any case, advance preparation and response measures are crucial. It is hoped that this year's rains will exceed expectations, bringing a bumper harvest season for southern farmers and protecting them from drought. We also look forward to more scientific research achievements and technological advances to better help farmers cope with the challenges of extreme weather and achieve sustainable agricultural development." This is not only about agriculture in the south, but also about the lives and futures of millions of farmers.
The above content and materials are derived from the Internet, and the author of this article does not intend to target or allude to any real country, political system, organization, race, individual. The above does not mean that the author of this article endorses the laws, rules, opinions, behaviors in the article and is responsible for the authenticity of the relevant information. The author of this article is not responsible for any issues arising above or related to any of the above, nor does it assume any direct or indirect legal liability.