The latest situation of China's men's basketball team: Falling behind Japan for Olympic qualification Qualifying is also not safe
After losing the crucial match against South Sudan at the World Cup, the Chinese men's basketball team is also not optimistic about the competition for qualification for the 2024 Paris Olympics. With the results already lagging behind the Japanese team, the Chinese men's basketball team can only look forward to a miracle.
According to FIBA's rules, only the Asian team with the best results in the World Cup can go straight to the following year's Olympics. For the Chinese men's basketball team, there is only one way to go if they want to qualify for the Olympics. Because although there will be 4 Olympic places in the Olympic Losing Tournament, the difficulty of breaking through the Olympic Losing Tournament is more difficult than that of the World Cup. Once unable to break through from the World Cup, the Chinese men's basketball team will have no chance to attack the Olympic qualification in the more difficult Olympic Games.
Among the Asian teams participating in this World Cup, only Japan has won one game so far, and they are temporarily ahead of all Asian opponents, including the Chinese men's basketball team.
If the Chinese team wants to overtake the Japanese team, one must at least qualify from the group, and the other is that once it participates in the qualifying round, it must win at least two games.
However, judging from the current state of the Chinese team and the situation in the same group, if the Chinese team wants to qualify from the group, it must beat Puerto Rico in the next game, and Serbia beat Puerto Rico and South Sudan. But what is the probability of this? Not to mention that the Chinese men's basketball team needs a miracle to beat Puerto Rico, it is unrealistic for Serbia to beat South Sudan and Puerto Rico respectively.
For the Chinese team, a more realistic outcome is to participate in qualifying. For now, China is likely to face the Philippines and Angola in Group A in qualifying. In qualifying, even if the Chinese men's basketball team defeats these two opponents, it depends on the faces of the competitors.
Japan had no chance against the mighty Australia in the final game of the group stage, and it was no surprise that they also had to participate in qualifying. In qualifying, Japan's opponents are likely to be Cape Verde and Venezuela. Previously, when training in Europe, the Chinese men's basketball team beat Cape Verde by 20 points, and it would not be surprising if the Japanese team finally beat Cape Verde.
The key is whether Japan can beat Venezuela if they participate in qualifying, and if Japan wins, they will have a high probability of becoming the best Asian team in this World Cup with a high probability of 3 wins and 2 losses, and thus go straight to the Paris Olympics.
If Japan loses to Venezuela and the Chinese men's basketball team can beat the Philippines and Angola in qualifying, then both China and Japan will be 2-3, and the two sides will compete on a goal difference. But at present, the Chinese team has a net minus of 62 points in the group stage, while the Japanese team, which has also played two games, has a net negative score of only 8 points. No matter how you look at it, the Chinese team is very passive, and unless it can achieve a wild victory over the Philippines and Angola in qualifying, the prospects for the Chinese team to return to the Olympics remain bleak.