On Monday, July 11, 2023, according to the pig price system data monitoring:
The price of Chinese pigs (foreign three yuan) is 14.12 yuan/kg;
Compared with yesterday (2023-07-10) 14.15 yuan/kg, the price decreased by 0.03 yuan/kg;
Compared with last week (2023-07-04) 13.88 yuan/kg, the price increased by 0.24 yuan/kg;
Compared with the previous month (2023-06-11) 14.23 yuan/kg, the price decreased by 0.11 yuan/kg;
Compared with last year (2022-07-11) 23.67 yuan/kg, the price decreased by 9.55 yuan/kg.
National pig (foreign ternary) price chart
National (foreign ternary) pig price map
Specifically, looking at the price of pigs in some areas, the price of pigs (foreign three yuan) in Shandong Province today is 14.39 yuan / kg, the price of pigs (foreign three yuan) in Shaanxi Province today is 13.55 yuan / kg, the price of pigs (foreign three yuan) in Hunan Province today is 14.22 yuan / kg, the price of pigs (foreign three yuan) in Tianjin today is 14.42 yuan / kg, and the price of pigs (foreign three yuan) in Guangdong Province today is 15.01 yuan / kg. The price of pigs (foreign three yuan) in Heilongjiang Province today is 13.48 yuan/kg, the price of pigs (foreign three yuan) in Guizhou Province today is 13.90 yuan / kg, the price of pigs (foreign three yuan) in Tibet Autonomous Region today is 14.99 yuan / kg, the price of pigs (foreign three yuan) in Hainan Province today is 13.60 yuan / kg, and the price of pigs (foreign three yuan) in Qinghai Province today is 13.09 yuan / kg.
Today's national pig (foreign three yuan) price is unchanged from yesterday, specifically reflected in the increase in pig prices in 10 provinces/municipalities/autonomous regions compared with yesterday, with an increase of 0.01-0.52 yuan / kg; Hog prices in 6 provinces/municipalities were flat compared with yesterday; Pig prices in 15 provinces/municipalities/autonomous regions fell compared with yesterday, with a decrease of 0.01-0.40 yuan/kg. From the "foreign ternary pig price rise and fall table", the pig price rise has changed abruptly, and there has been a slight decline.
National pig (foreign three yuan) price rise and fall table
The Xuantian algorithm is a non-classical logical numerical aggregation theory and uncertainty prediction method originally created by the project research team, and a pig price prediction model based on consistent modular operators is constructed. The theory and method of aggregation function and uniform mode correlation adopted by this model have been supported by a number of National Natural Science Foundation of China and provincial natural science funds, and won a number of provincial natural science awards. The forecast pig price on July 12 is 13.9281, with a confidence interval between 14.0156--14.1051. The forecast pig price is 14.0677 on July 13 and 14.1338 on July 14.
2023-07-12 - Genta algorithm forecast
It has been a few days since the storage and collection, and the rise in the price of ternary pigs at home and abroad has gradually weakened, and many places have shown a stable shock, and even a decline in pig prices in some areas. On the contrary, soybean meal has suddenly and continuously risen recently, with a single-day increase of up to more than 200 yuan / ton. Affected by the continuous rise of soybean meal, a number of listed feed companies have said that the company's feed products have increased prices to varying degrees. The comparison between the two can be described as "ice and fire", the cost continues to rise, the pig price keeps falling, and there is a development trend that ignores the life and death of pig farmers. Recently, the temperature continues to rise, the terminal consumption is sluggish, the market is still bearish, and it is expected that pig prices will remain volatile and weak in the short term.
(Note: The pig price and pig price in this article refer to the price of live pigs, not the pork price of the consumer market, and the outer three yuan, the inner three yuan, and the soil miscellaneous pig are pig breeds.) ）