Text | Zhang Youhua
Shortly after Tsai left Guatemala, she sent a shocking report that said that Tsai Ing-wen was most likely unable to return to Central America because two countries — Guatemala and Paraguay — were likely to say goodbye to Taiwan in the near future. Because Paraguay and Guatemala want to establish normal relations with Chinese mainland.
The Financial Times did not give Tsai Ing-wen face, and published this article after Tsai Ing-wen left Guatemala, which greatly shocked Taiwan's political scene.
In fact, this situation is probably a matter of sooner or later, as early as a year ago, there were already rumors, but why did you choose to spread this situation when Tsai Ing-wen was in the limelight, the answer is also very simple, that is, to give Tsai Ing-wen a few more big slaps, so that she fell completely this time and fell on all fours.
In fact, not only that, during the entire visiting group of Tsai Ing-wen, her accompanying reporters were robbed of mobile phones by the "motorcycle family", or "rioters", which also made her faceless.
Whether it was Tsai Ing-wen's warning of the PLA's military aircraft 11 times when she took off from Taiwan, or when she entered the United States, a reporter's mobile phone was robbed, and then it was reported that Guatemala and Paraguay wanted to "break off diplomatic relations" with her, which fully shows that Tsai Ing-wen has no leadership at all, and she was abandoned by the United States.
Even when people come to the United States, the United States can't even help her take care of face. To be honest, the United States can completely control, but the United States does not want to control at all, what does that mean? It means that Tsai Ing-wen's value of being used is almost until the last minute.
Even if she came to the United States to maintain a smooth itinerary, she couldn't do it. And if she dares to go to the house of the president of the House of Representatives, or speak with him. In other words, as long as she dares to do anything out of the ordinary, there will be even worse results.
Paraguay is a big livestock country, and Chinese mainland it needs a lot of imports for food, livestock and energy. Taiwan's purchases of Paraguayan agricultural products are very small, inferior to his neighbor Argentina, and in this case, if Paraguayan's opposition party can elect the president, it is very likely to say goodbye to Taiwan.
As for Guatemala, the situation is a little more complicated, he has the problem of immigration; There is also the problem of refugees; There is also the problem of smuggling. The United States has a very, very headache for Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, and in this case, Guatemala wants to develop. If Honduras serves as a model, Guatemala's opposition will also say goodbye to Taiwan if it wins.
This time Tsai Ing-wen's transit is in the United States, and the degree of courtesy given to her by the United States seems to be much worse than in 2019, or compared with Ma Ying-jeou in the past.
Tsai Ing-wen said that "US-Taiwan relations" are now the best moment, but she did not expect the United States to give her a slap. Because the United States' own national strength is now almost the weakest moment, in almost a hundred years in history, it is difficult for the United States to find the stock market, bond market, housing market three markets have fallen, and moreover, he almost has 200 banks at any time to declare bankruptcy, and his inflation is high, these five situations occur at the same time, in history can only be found during the Great Depression of the 1930s can be compared.
So he must use his long arm jurisdiction to force over many of the relevant geopolitical relationships that he can make cash for, such as Taiwan's TSMC, and Taiwan has thrown a series of related electric vehicle industries from Hon Hai in Ohio.
Under such a situation, the United States actually has no ability to assist Tsai Ing-wen, and can only talk about it, and any effective sweetness cannot be given. So Tsai Ing-wen said that the best of the two, this is the best is just that they raise a glass of red wine and say something considerate during the meal. And usually the so-called best is when Tsai Ing-wen breaks money from the treasury to give them gifts, they are the best.
Now that the "theory of the decline of US hegemony" has also attracted the attention of the international community, we can see that the influence of the United States on the so-called Central and South America is getting weaker and weaker. Whether in Central or South America, because of the left-wing regime, they basically do not trust the United States.
So when the Financial Times said that Paraguay and Guatemala might say goodbye to Taiwan in the future, Taiwan could not do anything. Under this circumstance, we must say that Tsai Ing-wen's "graduation ceremony" is not as good as in 2019, and the US support for Taiwan also confirms that his energy will become weaker and weaker.
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