The picture shows the Ukrainian front
Today is April 2nd, everyone in the case that I did not say Bakhmut yesterday, many friends have left messages saying, why don't you talk about it today, and I am still waiting for you to talk about Ukraine. Yesterday I did not see particularly big changes or progress, nor can I say that I said it for the sake of saying, but the next day I looked at it, and indeed there were some new changes on the front line in Ukraine, in Bakhmut.
The first change is that Wagner's black military flag was planted on a tall building in Bakhmut, as we said earlier, there is a river east of Bakhmut, that is, between their Bakhmut cities, and a river divides the city into east and west, the east is mostly occupied by Wagnerian mercenaries, and there is a monument that they have planted their own flag. To cross the river across the river to fight, the difficulty of the attacking side will increase, and now the position of this flag is on the west bank of the river, that is, no matter how big or small, Ukraine has small losses, and Wagner mercenaries, on the battlefield, have made some progress.
The picture shows Challenger 2 in the UK
I looked at this map, I can find this map on the Internet is indeed flying the flag of Wagnerian mercenaries, this is a change, the second change, is that the Ukrainian side has come to the new force, not only to say that his people are coming, but the British Challenger 2, and German Panther tanks have been transported to Bakhmut, German-made tanks, British-made tanks, combat effectiveness is still very strong, I see that after the tank goes to the battlefield, it is close range, with tanks to fight Wagner's infantry, tanks to fight infantry, Consider how embarrassing this picture was for Wagner. Originally, in terms of weapons supply, Russia should logically have an advantage, but now it is soldiers facing tanks, how to fight this battle?
Therefore, there is also a counteroffensive on the Ukrainian side in the region, but such an inch by inch of the struggle for dogs' teeth is not in line with the goals of both sides, for Russia, the recent acquisition on the battlefield, or the seizure of this bit of territory can not solve his demands at all, Russia's goal is particularly clear.
The picture shows Gerasimov
Now on April 2, 80 days ago, it was Putin who appointed the fourth commander-in-chief of the front, and as far as his chief of the General Staff, General Gerasimov, Drasimov, received an order, according to various sources, is to take down all of Donbass, because the war, if the trigger is the ownership of the two Donbass states, this place for Russia in any case to strive for victory.
In the past, it was said that if Kiev could not be beaten, it would be forgotten, and if Donbass could not be taken, this would be a very faceless thing for such a military power as Russia, but now, the gap between the progress made by the regular Russian army plus Wagnerian mercenaries on the front line and the requirements of the Russian leadership for them is particularly large. The legendary winter counteroffensive, or the spring offensive, has not started, it is trapped in Kupyansk, as well as the Slavyansk, Bakhmut line, that attack is difficult, this is a small gain on the Russian side, but it is far from matching with his goal, we say to judge the success or failure of a thing, that is, between your own goal and your own gain, how big is the gap?
The picture shows the Russian army
Some people will use these Buddhist languages, think that you can't set the target small, on the battlefield, it is not so easy to change, and the Ukrainian side is also pinning hopes on a spring counteroffensive after Bakhmut is held, and then the tanks are in place. We say it's like playing football, the defense counterattack, the opponent presses and plays, the goalkeeper is coming to participate in the attack, at this time a long pass, a long-distance rush to break the goal can be scored, which is common on the football field.
The battlefield is also like this, but this opportunity on the battlefield is more difficult to grasp, difficult to grasp, now the elite of Ukraine has also been sent, tanks have also been sent, if Russia continues to increase its forces to fight here, then for Ukraine, his elite is also limited, if the losses are exhausted here, how to counterattack?
In addition, we have said many times that offense is not as easy as defense, and once your elite troops suffer a complete loss in the attack, this is not worth the loss, or it is difficult to make up for it later. Is Russia defensive? Of course, Russia is also defensive, it has repaired trenches, repaired pillboxes, laid mines and is waiting, so the counteroffensive of both sides has not yet begun, and the meat grinder here in Bakhmut will continue to grind for some time, and we keep an eye on it.