In the blink of an eye, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has entered the 120th day, and the number of "wrist breaks" between the two armies is countless, and everyone knows that this pair of former "Slavic brothers" have never left an "overnight vendetta" on the battlefield.
On the 19th, the Russian army used missiles to accurately strike a Ukrainian command post, claiming to have eliminated more than 50 Ukrainian officers, including the general; On the 20th, the Ukrainian army launched a large-scale attack to retake Snake Island, "incidentally" attacking 3 offshore drilling rig platforms in Crimea; On the 21st, the Russian army retaliated against Odessa, destroying a drone hangar and two sets of S-300 air defense systems, or once again "beheading" 4 Ukrainian officers.
On the 22nd, Ukraine did not let Russia wait too long.
In the morning, a fire suddenly broke out at the Novo-Shahtinsk refinery in Russia, and although the area of the fire was only 50 square meters, it was a high-risk area after all, and the refining technology device was on fire, so the fire extinguishing operation took about an hour and a half.
In response, Golubev, the governor of the Rostov region where the refinery is located, said that there were clues that the refinery was attacked by two drones because drone debris was found in the plant area.
Although he did not "name" the countries that operate the drones, Russian media reported that a commercial satellite company in the United States repeatedly used the Worldview satellite to take images of the refinery, most recently on June 19.
It is worth scrutinizing that the commercial satellite company, which provides defense and intelligence services, recently took satellite images of Snake Island and nearby offshore drilling platforms, while the Ukrainian army launched a large-scale attack within a week.
All kinds of indications show that this AMERICAN commercial satellite company has a close relationship with the Ukrainian army, and it is presumably inextricably linked to today's attack, and may even be the "real culprit behind the scenes."
It should be noted that the refinery is only 8 kilometers away from the Ukrainian border, and Rostov Oblast, as a border state close to Ukraine, has been attacked by Ukrainian troops more than once after the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.
But there are three key points about this accident that cannot be ignored.
First, the Novashtinsk refinery, the largest supplier of products in southern Russia, had to shut down the equipment that had caught fire to assess the damage. At present, the international energy price is high, time is undoubtedly money, so the loss is not serious,
Second, the refinery is in close proximity to Luhansk, but the Military Administrator of Luhansk claimed to have controlled 95% of Luhansk's territory as early as the end of May. Today, how did these two drones suspected of belonging to Ukraine evade russian radar and enter Russia itself?
Obviously, there is a gap in Russia's control over Luhansk.
Of course, there is another possibility: the drone took off from Russia, and the operator is likely to be in the surrounding area. If this is true, the Russian side must strengthen anti-infiltration work in its territory so as not to cause turmoil in the rear.
Third, it must be noted that the United States has participated in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict in the "half-covered face of the pipa." The Russian side has previously received news that Ukraine has invested the US "Global Hawk" strategic reconnaissance drone when launching an attack on Snake Island.
At the same time, whether it is the attack on the Offshore Rig in Crimea or the attack on Russia's indigenous oil refinery, there is the participation of the American Commercial Satellite Corporation. It is no exaggeration to say that Washington is "directly involved" in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.
In this regard, the Russian side cannot bear to swallow its anger, but should solemnly protest to the US side and exert pressure without stinginess, otherwise the Biden administration is bound to gain inches. With the support of the US side, Zelens and the government are afraid that they will take risks, and the situation will only become more and more chaotic.
I have to say that although the signboard of the United States is full of cracks, it is indeed full of confusion, so that many countries are willing to regard it as a "talisman".
Also on the 22nd, Lithuanian Prime Minister Nauseda in an interview with the US media CNN, openly declared that it was ready to deal with Russia's "retaliation", but the cube did not believe that Russia would carry out a "military challenge", because Lithuania is a member of NATO.
As a military alliance organization led by the United States, NATO's name is so good?
As is well known, Lithuania has just recently issued an "embargo order" cutting off railway and road transport through its territory to the Kaliningrad Oblast, a Russian "enclave." The Russian response is also very strong, bluntly saying that it will take "any measures" to fight back, and the subtext is that there is no limit to military means.
At the moment, Nauseda's response is also very clear, clearly not taking the Russian threat "in the eye".
What do you think about that?
First, Lithuania's "face-changing" kung fu is really good.
Because just two days ago, Lithuanian Foreign Minister Landz Bergis also "threw the pot" and said that the embargo was not Lithuania's decision, but a decision made in accordance with the EU's sanctions against Russia.
It is not difficult to see that at that time, in the face of Russian pressure, Lithuania could not hold out on its own. Whether it is "throwing the pot" or "pulling the tiger's skin", Lithuania did have some soft meaning at that time.
No, eu ambassador to Russia Edreyer came out at the first time after being summoned by the Russian Foreign Ministry, saying: I hope to solve the problem through diplomatic channels.
But at the moment, Nauseda's behavior is like holding the NATO "bottom card" and waving it in front of Russia in a high profile, without the slightest regard for the anger of the Russian side. It can be seen that this matter has become a tool for the Nauseda government to win the public opinion.
Second, some people say that this incident will trigger "three wars", which seems to be very unlikely at present.
On the one hand, the Russian military's current focus is on Ukraine, and it may not be able to free up its hands to "clean up" Lithuania. Moreover, Lithuania has cut off land transport, and Russia still has shipping to go, and it is not a last resort.
After all, big countries can't do whatever they want, they still have to calculate the "big account" and be careful and deceived.
On the other hand, this matter was clearly premeditated, the EUROPEAN Union must have deduced it in advance, and Lithuania knew that the situation would not lead to war. Therefore, Lithuania is more like "humiliating" Russia this time, and it has not been less offended before anyway.
But Lithuania should understand that when a high-speed vehicle "kills" the steering wheel, it is very easy to get into traffic accidents.
Third, as a product of the Cold War, NATO should have withdrawn from the stage of history long ago.
There is no doubt that NATO, which engages in clique confrontation, frequently provokes regional contradictions, and adheres to ideological prejudices, has become a "cancer cell" on the earth, and its so-called "collective security" will only bring "insecurity" to other countries.
It can be said that this Russian-Ukrainian conflict has nato's participation from beginning to end, from "tricking" Ukraine into joining NATO, to now acting as a backer to "harass" Russia, and there is no shortage of military assistance to Ukraine in the middle, these facts are enough to prove that NATO is the biggest destabilizing factor in Europe.
Finally, it is hoped that NATO, as a product of hegemony, can be swept into the garbage heap of history as soon as possible. At the same time, it is hoped that Russia and Ukraine can achieve a ceasefire as soon as possible, resolve the issue through negotiation and consultation, and let innocent people return to a peaceful life at an early date.