In 2018, the British magazine The Economist published an article.
The title of this article is very strong, "The Next War". After its publication, it attracted great attention from all parties.
It is reported that this article is the brainchild of a number of authoritative British experts and contains the predictions of many experts.
Among them, China and the United States have become the focus. According to British experts, despite the growing threat of conflict between major powers, one thing is clear: the United States does not dare to go to war with China.
The United States has always been caught in the Thucydides trap. For the second, there will always be ruthless suppression.
Like the Soviet Union, Britain, Japan, etc., they all collapsed under various means of the United States.
After China's accession to the WTO, it devoted itself to development and gradually became the world's second largest economy. And this has also attracted the attention of the United States, which sees it as a challenge.
After Obama took office, he put forward a strategy of "pivoting to the Asia-Pacific", aiming directly at the mainland.
During this period, the United States played various cards, such as the "Taiwan issue", economic sanctions, scientific and technological sanctions, and so on.
But more than a decade later, China is getting stronger, but the United States is gradually beginning to decline. In order to alleviate this embarrassing atmosphere, the United States did not hesitate to encircle and block China with its allies, and even shouted the slogan of a "new Cold War."
In addition to the hot war, the United States has used almost all of them. Why, then, does the United States not dare to go to war with China?
The reason is that China has a trump card in its hand.
Most people speculate that this trump card is a nuclear bomb.
Indeed, since the founding of the People's Republic of China, we, who are poor and white, have made nuclear weapons through our industrious hands and successfully entered the door of the nuclear weapons club.
Because of the existence of nuclear weapons, even major powers such as the United States and the Soviet Union looked at us differently at that time.
But there is a good saying, go to the army and plot. The strength of both sides cannot be judged only by what kind of weapons they have.
Anti-access strategy
What the United States is really afraid of China is China's anti-access strategy. The so-called anti-access strategy refers to the construction of a complete defense system other than nuclear weapons through the creation of high-tech weapons.
After all, nuclear weapons are not a panacea. If that were the case, the Soviet Union would not have collapsed and Russia would not have been mired in war.
So, how is the anti-access strategy implemented?
As mentioned earlier, the anti-access strategy is aimed at building high-tech weapons and building a sound defense system. The essence of this is to make it impossible for the U.S. military to get close to China.
For example, with the help of drones or satellites, they can jam U.S. bases in the western Pacific. Thus avoiding a direct confrontation with the US military.
In modern warfare, networks and information are particularly important. If the US military can be paralyzed and unable to take care of itself, it will face a blow of annihilation.
For example, the Dongfang-51 intercontinental missile, a major weapon that has been announced by the mainland, will make the US military, which is paralyzed by information, feel afraid.
In the chronology released by the US Department of Defense in recent years, the word anti-access has appeared frequently, which shows that the US side is very afraid of this and does not dare to act recklessly.
Surrendering without a fight is the highest level of anti-access strategy.
Actually, something like this has happened before.
In 2016, the United States and the Philippines organized an unreasonable farce. Aircraft carrier battle groups were sent to carry out provocations in the South China Sea. In order to defend the sovereignty of the mainland, the elite of the three major fleets of the Navy went out to conduct military exercises.
For a time, the sky over the South China Sea was "covered with dark clouds".
As the situation continued to heat up, the American aircraft carrier suddenly disappeared. This was a surprise attack by the U.S. military that had put up a battle formation so that it could launch a surprise attack.
But it didn't take long for the Chinese media to publish a photo of a normal cruise of a bomber from the mainland. At first glance, nothing special.
But after careful observation, the figure of the American aircraft carrier was found. This photo is undoubtedly a warning to the US side that we are the one who is in the initiative.
If it was really in wartime, adhering to the principle of "find and destroy", the US aircraft carrier would have been sunk long ago.
After this time, the United States also withdrew the aircraft carrier battle group from the South China Sea, ending the farce in a gloomy manner.
This also made the United States realize the beginning of China's strength. The United States, which has seen China's powerful wisdom, is also apprehensive and apprehensive about this.
summary
The mainland has always been a peace-loving country. The ultimate goal of the anti-access strategy is not to defeat anyone, but to stop the war.
But our kindness doesn't mean we're bullies. On the issue of sovereignty, we cannot compromise at all. Those who dare to provoke and undermine the mainland's territorial integrity will eventually be severely punished.
Resources
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Yang Zhen,Zhao Juan.On Contemporary China's Maritime Military View: Sea Supremacy and Maritime Anti-Access[J].Fudan Review of International Relations,2015,(02):160-179.)
Shadow Dancer.Misunderstood weapons (5) strategic nuclear weapons (I)[J].Tank and Armored Vehicles,2016,(22):30-34.
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Hou Mingdong.Review and reflection on the atomic bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki[J].Modern Physics Knowledge,2006,(01):56-60.)