Wen | Wu Junjie Studio Sun Yuliang Today's headlines original debut
Between countries, there are only eternal interests, where are the eternal feelings? This "diplomatic truth" is more universal in the Western world, which believes in the law of the jungle. Finland and Sweden want to join NATO, and the vast majority of NATO members led by the United States welcome it with both hands, but Turkey shook its head and said "no"!
According to a comprehensive report by Xinhua News Agency and other media, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has clearly expressed his opposition to Finland and Sweden's desire to join NATO, on the grounds that Finland and Sweden have expressed support and sympathy for the PKK. The PKK is considered a terrorist organization by Turkey. Turkish Foreign Minister Cavushoglu, who is attending an informal meeting of NATO foreign ministers in Berlin, Germany, expressed his opposition to Finland and Sweden's support for the PKK in terms of "unacceptable and intolerable" attitude.
The PKK is an armed group established in 1979, also known as the Kurdish Congress for Freedom and Democracy, the Kurdish People's Congress, the Kurdish Social Union, etc., whose goal is to establish an independent socialist Kurdish nation-state. The PKK wants to create an independent state with territory involving four Kurdish countries, including southeastern Turs, northeastern Iraq, northeastern Syria, and northwestern Iran. Therefore, in this area, it is not allowed to be peaceful all year round. Not only does the Turkish government regard the Kurdish PKK as a terrorist organization, but even the United States and the European Union also regard the PKK as a terrorist organization, while the British Ministry of the Interior regards the PKK as an illegal organization.
The Kurds are one of the oldest peoples in the Middle East, dating back more than 4,000 years and currently numbering about 30 million. In the Middle East, Jews of more than 6 million people eventually established the independent state of Israel, but the Kurds of 30 million people were unable to establish an independent state. Historically, the Kurds have never formed a nation-state of their own. It is not easy for the PKK to talk about independence, and Turkey, Iraq, Syria, or Iran cannot be willing to carve out a piece of land to allow division. There are 18 million Kurds in Turkey, and these Kurds have become a factor of great instability in Turkey and have been the target of repression by the Turkish government. Finland and Sweden sympathize with and support the PKK, which is naturally opposed by Turkey.
However, with the vast majority of NATO member states supporting Finland and Sweden joining NATO, especially when the United States supports Finland and Sweden to join NATO, can Turkey alone prevent Finland and Sweden from joining NATO? Theoretically, yes, but President Erdogan probably doesn't really want to stop it, but just wants to take the opportunity to knock a "bamboo lever" and win some interests for his country. According to THE PROVISIONS OF NATO ON THE ABSORPTION OF NEW MEMBER STATES, THE CONSENT OF ALL MEMBER STATES IS REQUIRED IN ORDER TO ADMIT NEW MEMBER STATES. So Turkey could theoretically prevent Finland from joining NATO with Sweden. But if Turkey does, it will offend not only Finland and Sweden, but also the United States and other NATO members. Therefore, Turkey is likely to "stop at the right time", put forward conditions to Finland and Sweden, make demands to the United States, get the political benefits it wants, and finally agree to Finland and Switzerland joining NATO. Turkey will not side with Russia in terms of choosing sides, but when it encounters an opportunity that can be "knocked on the bamboo bar", this "opportunity" for fighting for national interests cannot be seized.
Although the United States is the "leading boss" of NATO, it cannot do anything with Turkey at this time. At the critical moment, what the United States needs is unity, and it cannot push Turkey into the Russian camp by co-opting Finland and Sweden. Therefore, the United States should coordinate, make concessions, and appease. If Turkey does not obey, it is also an "internal contradiction", and at this time it is necessary to unite with the outside world, and weakening Russia is the main contradiction. I expect Turkey to shout fiercely, and finally to compromise and make concessions, Finland and Sweden to join NATO, much easier than Ukraine to join NATO. Most likely, the PKK will be "sacrificed", and it is necessary for Finland and Sweden to make some concessions to Turkey in order to join NATO. Alienating, or even hostile, to the PKK will be the best possible.
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