Slovakia VS Sweden
Cup: 2024-2025 UEFA Nations League
The UEFA Nations League will be played in the following format
1. The 55 teams are divided into 4 levels of ABCD according to their rankings. The grading criteria for the first edition were based on the points ranking of the UEFA associations.
2. The tournament will be held in even-numbered years, and the tournament will be played until the finals of the second year.
3. The league adopts a relegation system: the bottom 4 teams of the A, B and C leagues will be relegated, and the 4 groups of champions of the B, C and D leagues will be promoted.
4. There will be 4 places in the UEFA Nations League to qualify for the finals of the European Football Championship.
UEFA Nations League 2:45 Slovakia VS Sweden Venue: Tehne Stadium Weather: occasional clouds Temperature: 11°C~12°C
Slovakia (home team) has 27 players, the team is worth €148.3m, the average age is 27.7 years, and the FIFA world ranking: 42nd.
Record in the last 6 games: 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, 16 goals scored in the last 10 games, 7 goals conceded, and 9 goal difference.
Group standings: 2 matches, 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, 6 points, ranked 2nd in the group.
Home results: 6 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses
Personnel situation: (main central midfielder) Juraj · Kucka, (main right winger) Ivan · Schlandz Injured and unable to play.
Slovakia's first three goals in the UEFA Nations League group stage were scored by three players, and the team had more options in attack.
Team Spirit: Slovakia are currently second in Group A, level with Sweden on six points, and if they can take points from their opponents, they will have hope of overtaking and topping the group.
Team update: Slovakia beat Azerbaijan 2-0 at home in the last round of the UEFA Nations League group stage, and won all three points in the first two rounds.
Slovakia scored three goals in the first two rounds of the UEFA Nations League group stage without conceding a single goal, and was relatively consistent in attack and excellent in defence.
Slovakia has won 4 wins and 1 loss in the last five home games, with a high winning rate and acceptable home form.
Slovakia is currently ranked 42nd in the world and mid-range in Europe.
Slovakia VS Sweden
Sweden (away) has 24 players, the team is worth €288.8m, the average age is 26.9 years old, and the FIFA world ranking: 28th.
Record in the last 6 games: 3 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses, 15 goals scored in the last 10 games, 16 goals conceded, goal difference -1.
Group ranking: 2 matches, 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, 6 points, ranked 1st in the group.
Away results: 3 wins, 1 draw, 6 losses
Personnel status: (substitute centre-back) Eric · Smith, (substitute centre-forward) Gustav · Nelson are injured and unavailable.
Sweden striker Viktor · Jokres has scored three goals in his last two Nations League group games and is in hot form.
Sweden striker Isak has scored in the first two rounds of the UEFA Nations League group stage, but the main player has suffered a toe problem and has missed a number of Newcastle United games and may not be available until after the October international break.
Team Spirit: Sweden are currently in first place with Slovakia on six points in the UEFA Nations League group stage, and the team naturally hopes to win Slovakia this time to open the gap and retain this position.
Team update: Sweden beat Estonia 3-0 at home in the last round of the UEFA Nations League group stage, winning two in a row and in good form.
Sweden scored six goals and conceded one in their first two UEFA Nations League group games, with excellent performances at both ends of the pitch.
Sweden have won 1 and lost 3 of their last four away games, with a low win rate and poor away form.
Sweden are currently ranked 28th in the world and have a slight advantage over Slovakia overall.
Recent all-time meetings between the two teams: Sweden have won 2 and drawn 2 in the last four meetings with Slovakia, remaining unbeaten and slightly dominant.
In terms of the same handicap: Initial handicap: the home team draws, the home team has the same handicap trend in the last 6 games as this game: go win or lose win go, and the away team has the same handicap trend in the last 6 games as this game: win or lose win win go.
Slovakia VS Sweden
Pre-Match Briefing:
Slovakia will be hoping to repeat their last performance, beating Azerbaijan 2-0 in the Nations League.
In that match, Slovakia managed 52% possession and 7 of their 15 attempts at goal. The goalscorers for Slovakia were Ondre · Duda (22nd minute) and Davide · Strereets (26th minute). Azerbaijan had 7 shots on goal with 3 of them on target.
Slovakia have been consistent lately, scoring in six consecutive games. In this period, they scored a total of 7 goals and conceded 5.
Sweden built on this fixture following a 3-0 win over Estonia in their last UEFA Nations League fixture.
In that game, Sweden managed 73% possession and 11 of their 34 attempts at goal. Sweden goalscorers were Victor Giocres · (30th minute, 44th minute) and Alexander · Isak (40th minute). Estonia had 5 shots on goal with 2 of them on target.
Sweden usually have a more intense game, scoring 21 goals in their last six games, an average of 3.5 goals per game. The opponent scored 11 of them. As for whether or not that trend will continue into this game, it remains to be seen.
ALL-TIME The last time these teams met in the league was Euro 2024 second round on 18/06/2021 with the final score being Sweden 1-0 Slovakia.
In that match, Sweden had 42% possession and 4 of their 12 attempts on target, with the only scorer being Emile · Forsberg (77th minute).
Slovakia had 10 shots on goal but none on target. The referee was Daniel · Sibett.
Slovakia coach Francesco · Karzona's side are currently out of any injury concerns and fully fit.
Similarly, Sweden manager Jon· Dahl · Tomasson's side are also out of any fitness concerns, with all players available.
Slovakia VS Sweden
1. Strength analysis
- Slovakia last 10 games: goals scored 16, goals conceded 7, goal difference 9.
- Sweden last 10 games: 15 goals scored, 16 goals conceded, goal difference -1.
- In the world of absolute theory, Slovakia has a 1.0 goal advantage.
2. State analysis
- Slovakia: 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss = 11 points.
- Sweden: 3 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses = 9 points.
- The difference in points is 2 points, indicating that the two teams are in close form. In addition, Slovakia has two main players injured, while Sweden has two substitutes injured, and the main striker Isak may not play due to injury, but there are still good strikers to replace.
3. Analysis of fighting spirit
- Slovakia and Sweden are tied on six points and ranked in the top two of the group, both have a strong desire to fight for the top spot in the group, and both sides are evenly matched, and there is no obvious lack of fighting spirit on one side. Therefore, the two sides are evenly matched at the level of battle spirit.
4. Asian Indices
- The initial handicap is a draw for the home team, and the water level is 0.79 for the home team and 1.00 for the away team.
- The current live handicap is a draw for the home team, with the water level at 0.91 for the home team and 0.93 for the away team.
- In the instant session near the pre-match session, the home team's water level rose to 0.91 at one point, and the away team's water level fluctuated around 0.98. At this point, the market is still a push. The upward adjustment of the home team's water level, as well as the slight downward adjustment of the away team's water level, suggests that institutions are more inclined to let money flow into the away team while balancing the risks.
5. Institutional Bottom Line
- 胜：2.40 / 2.52 ≈ 0.95
- Draw: 3.50 / 2.98 ≈ 1.17
- 负：2.63 / 2.52 ≈ 1.04
- Judging from the above results, the baseline value of the draw is close to 1.2, but it does not exceed 1.2, indicating that a draw is still possible. However, the home team has the lowest win value and has a high probability of playing.
6. Analysis of the change of win, draw and loss trend
- The home win level fluctuated from 2.55 to 2.60 before falling back to around 2.55. Overall, the institution has not significantly increased or lowered the home win level, reflecting conservative expectations for Slovakia's victory. As the game progressed, the home win level fluctuated slightly many times, indicating that the market capital inflow was not significantly skewed towards the home win.
- The draw level rose from 3.25 in the initial handicap to 3.40 in the instant handicap, and even reached 3.45 at the highest. The rise in the draw level indicates that the institution's expectations of the outcome of the draw have decreased, or that it has attracted more players to choose the draw by raising the draw level.
- The away win level was initially at 2.70 and then fluctuated significantly before finally stabilizing at 2.75. Although the away win level has been raised, it is not large and remains in a low range, indicating that institutions still have some confidence in Sweden's victory.
Home win transaction data
7. Transaction data analysis
- The main win has more buy orders around 2.64, and the trading volume is higher, reflecting the buyers' expectations for the main win in the market. The large volume and stable listing volume of the main win show that the main funds have not completely ruled out the possibility of Slovakia winning. However, the trading price of 2.64 is relatively conservative, which indicates that there are still uncertainties in the market, and the institutional support for big wins or one-way directions is not obvious.
- The price of the draw is 3.55, which shows the market's support for the outcome of the draw, the draw price remains stable, and the listing is also balanced between buyers and sellers, indicating that there is a consensus in the market that a draw is possible. The price of the draw is 3.55, and the difference between the turnover and the home win is not large, and the market accepts this result well. The large number of draws and the lack of significant upward adjustments may suggest that the market expects a small draw, especially in the context of a certain combat effectiveness on both sides.
- The volume of transactions and buyers' listings are relatively concentrated around 2.98, and the sellers' listings are slightly lower than the home win and draw, which reflects that institutions have not vigorously prevented the winning market, but the market's overall attention to the winning is low. Although the turnover and listings are slightly lower, the transaction price of 2.98 shows that the possibility of a Sweden win is not completely ruled out. Overall, the market's confidence in away wins is weak.
Final lottery prediction suggestion: home -1 loss 1 to 1
Statement: I only provide pre-game information and China Sports Lottery and Beijing single game analysis and prediction, most of the data from the network collection, analysis is only a personal opinion for reference only, please buy a reasonable regular lottery.