Wen | Liu Lanchang today's headlines original debut
The new president of the Philippine election was released, and Marcos Jr. and Duterte's daughter partner won. Whether they are pro-US or pro-China is different in the US diplomatic circles. The US "Foreign Policy" magazine has an article analyzing The little Marcos's campaign debate speech and concluded that he will be tougher than Duterte on the South China Sea issue, and he attaches more importance to the "Philippine-American alliance" relationship in the US relationship.
For the first time, I remembered that he accompanied his mother, "Miss Philippines," Imeidar, to Hunan to meet the great Chinese leader Mao Zedong, paving the way for the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the Philippines.
At that meeting, Imeidar sang "I love Beijing Tiananmen Square" with Chinese, and Chairman Mao kissed her hand with Western etiquette. This photograph has been called "the kiss of leaders", "the first kiss in the world", and "the kiss of establishing diplomatic relations between China and the Philippines" by the international diplomatic circles. Today, the photograph is placed large by the "First Lady" and hangs in the most prominent position in the living room of the home.
Therefore, it is difficult for me to understand that the US diplomatic think tank believes that Marcos Jr. is more pro-American than pro-China. There is no doubt that any leader of the Philippines puts the national interests of the Philippines first, and any national policy they choose must be based on the national interests of the Philippines. So, now, as well as the past and the future, is it the United States that gives the Philippines benefits or takes advantage of the Philippines, and with China, the Philippines gains more or loses more.
The biggest dispute between China and the Philippines at present is the sovereignty of some islands in the South China Sea. However, the Philippines is well aware that these problems did not exist in the first place, but only in the second half of the last century, for various reasons, the Philippines occupied the islands that originally belonged to China. For example, Thitu Island. With an area of about 0.4 square kilometers and 3.4 meters above sea level, it is the second largest natural island in the Spratly Islands. In December 1946, the Nationalist government sent admiral Lin Zun to lead the warships "Taiping" and "Zhongye" to take over the Nansha Islands, and Yao Ruyu to lead the "Yongxing" and "Zhongjian" to take over the Paracel Islands. Lin Zunyin took the "Zhongye" to recover Zhongye Island and built a monument to survey the map. Zhongye Island was born to commemorate the warship "Zhongye" receiving the South China Sea Islands. Who knows, in 1971, the Taiwan Navy actually withdrew due to evacuation typhoons, and the Philippines took the opportunity to occupy the island so far.
Therefore, in fact, the issue of the South China Sea is actually a question of how the countries that have encroached on China's territory will return it, and the position of the Government of the People's Republic of China on the dispute in the South China Sea is also very clear and resolved peacefully through consultation. However, for the purpose of containing China, the United States has been using China's territorial disputes with neighboring countries to stir up trouble, using the Diaoyu Islands to alienate China and Japan, and using the South China Sea Zhudao to instigate troublemaking by relevant countries. The Philippines, behind the backs of the United States during Aquino III's administration, provoked the South China Sea arbitration and ruled in 2016. Because the Philippines is in the "whirlpool" of the South China Sea issue, the country is like an important fulcrum in the geopolitical competition between China and the United States. The mainland government never participated in the case, nor did it recognize the jurisdiction of the illegal composition and perverse adjudication, and the rulings made were invalid and had no binding force.
Marcos Jr. was similar to the current President Duterte in the South China Sea arbitration, who publicly stated during the campaign that the ruling was "invalid." He said that because China does not accept the so-called ruling, the problem cannot be resolved, and he hopes to resolve the differences with China through his own methods. Philippine Justice Antonio Capio, who participated in the South China Sea arbitration, said that Marcos Jr. "betrayed".
However, I believe that Marcos Jr., like the current president Duterte, knows in his heart that since he stole the things of the big family next door and wanted to legalize it, there was such a cheap thing. Instead, the matter is shelved, there are more opportunities for cooperation, and in fact the Philippines gets more benefits. Duterte's Philippine infrastructure project, for example, received loans from China's Belt and Road Initiative, and Marcos has said he will continue that policy. He said Duterte's approach to China is the Philippines' "only option," China is the Philippines' most important trading partner, and its relationship with China is pivotal to the Philippine economy.
I believe that the Filipino domestic workers in Hong Kong support Marcos Jr. They envision a president with good relations with China that will help them add labor in Hong Kong. They also bring a considerable amount of foreign exchange to the Philippines, and they are also the middle class of the Philippines, buying a house in their hometown with their income in Hong Kong.
On the other hand, Marcos Jr. will not be "one-sided", and the small countries in Asia know the way to survive between China and the United States. He campaigned that "he will maintain the Philippine-American alliance." However, in 1995, a U.S. court with "long-arm jurisdiction" ordered the Marcos family to pay $2 billion in damages to "human rights victims." In addition, Marcos Jr. and his mother were fined $353 million for contempt of U.S. court rulings, and today, Marcos has not been to the United States for 15 years. However, the author also thinks that the Biden administration can use this as a chip in order to win him over. In fact, the so-called "human rights" in the United States have always been hypocritical and have always been a political tool.
The author is Chinese, and his greatest concern is China's interests. There is a saying in Hong Kong, if you are afraid that people will decline to you, you are afraid that people will be good to you. What is said is that if people are good to you, it is inevitable that they will be soft and courteous to their own interests. The author is worried that the construction of Huangyan Island will lag behind. Originally, Zhongye Island had been shelved, and the Philippine landing craft in Ren'ai Beach was still there, and the construction of Huangyan Island was even more urgent. Huangyan Island is in the east of the territory of the South China Sea, And Huangyan Islands such as Mischief Island, Fiery Cross Island and Subi Island were built, and formed another "triangle" with Yongxing Island in the Xisha Province, and China's consolidation of the territory of the South China Sea became an "iron barrel trend".
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