Jiang Shan Cold Door Win and Loss Cai 22036 Issue: The Red Army may be distracted by the weekend Tianwangshan Battle

Jin Shikai: The winners and losers in this issue are mainly based on the Champions League and the Championship, and each is matched with a Japanese occupation and the Premier League. Let's start with the Champions League matches, the first leg of the four Champions League quarter-out matches, there are three teams that are highly regarded. Liverpool visited Benfica and were considered to have a bright prospect for promotion. In the round of sixteen, Benfica upset Ajax, especially the second leg of the 1-0 away win. Against Liverpool, can they still counterattack without being favored?

Jiang Shan: Benfica's elimination of Ajax was indeed unexpected, and in the second leg, Ajax conceded a whopping 1.5 goals at home, but lost 0-1, watching Benfica qualify. In last weekend's league game, Benfica lost 2-3 away to Braga, the team did not actually take a big rotation, only the main back Tarabut and the main striker Nunes started, of which Tarabut was absent due to injury, the team's top scorer Nunes came on as a substitute in the second half and scored 1 goal for the team. Tarabut should be able to make a comeback in this Champions League with Weigel at the back. Although the team's main centre-back, Verisimo, has been absent for a long time, there are also Otamendi and Vertonghen in this position, which does not have much impact. Liverpool beat Watford 2-0 at home in the last round of the league, continuing to follow Manchester City in the league, due to the previous national team matches, Liverpool is a big international player, so last weekend's league mane, Fabiano, Keita, Díaz and others have been given a chance to take a break, and they will return in full blood this game. Benfica and Liverpool have not met for 12 years, and the last time they met was in the quarter-final of the 2010 Europa League, where Liverpool won 4-1 at home to advance in the first leg of a 1-2 defeat. In the Champions League, the two teams had a record of playing each other in 2006, and as a result, Liverpool beat Benfica twice. What is not very good for Liverpool this game is that they will play Manchester City in the league this weekend, which will be the Battle of King's Hill in the Premier League. At present, Manchester City is only one point ahead of Liverpool, and if Liverpool can win Manchester City away, it will jump to the top of the league table, but if it loses, it may not win the title. So two important games in a week are away from home and not a good thing for Liverpool. They certainly won't be reserving in the Champions League, but they may be distracted by it, after all, no one wants to be injured before the showdown with Manchester City. Besides, there is still a second leg of the Champions League at home, and the battle against Manchester City only has this one chance! Benfica is currently hopeless in the league title, but the Champions League qualification is worry-free, and this weekend is home to the penultimate Biranises, which will be relatively relaxed. The team's staffing is not bad, the top scorer Nunes, who has scored 21 goals in 23 league games, has now attracted the attention of milan doubles, Manchester United, Atletico Madrid and other giants, with Rafa Silva with strong assist ability and Everton in midfield. Led by Vertonghen and Otamendi at the back, the experience is not lacking. On the bench, they also have such good players as Jose Mario, Sefrovic and Radonic. In his last 10 Champions League home games, Benfica has won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2, losing to bayern and Leipzig, two Bundesliga teams, but beating Barca, Lyon and Eindhoven. Liverpool's last 10 Champions League away games are also 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, and both teams obviously lack the characteristics of draws in the Champions League, so this game is better to fight 3/0 than to take the 1/0 route, and playing the blind spot of the home win will also be of great help to the bonus color.

Jin Shikai: Manchester City are the team with the lowest win-loss index in this period, although their opponents are Atletico. But City also face the problem you just mentioned – this weekend will usher in the league battle with Liverpool! Will this also affect their prospects for the Champions League?

Jiang Shan: In fact, for Manchester City, the league title has been soft, but the Champions League has not been able to make a breakthrough, which has become the obsession of this team. Therefore, compared to Liverpool's hope to settle a game this weekend, Manchester City actually hopes to successfully advance to the final four of the Champions League, after all, they are drawn with the Red Army this weekend and still maintain a 1-point advantage. And if the Champions League misses the home opportunity in the first leg, it can lead to a big mistake. Moreover, their opponent is Atletico, and no one dares to say that they can easily take advantage of the Sheet Legion. In the last round of the league, Manchester City won 2-0 away to relegation team Burnley, this league, they took a few players such as Stones, B seat, Mahrez and other players, and at present, only the main center-back Ruben Díaz and the substitute striker Palmer are injured, and the lineup is basically neat. Atletico Madrid beat Alaves 4-1 at home in the last round of the league to win six consecutive league games. Although Atletico's la Liga title is hopeless, but the Champions League battle is still very fierce, at present, Barca, Atletico, Sevilla have 57 points, Barca has one less game, Real Betis 53 points, Real Sociedad 51 points, in addition to Real Madrid three Champions League tickets will be produced in these 5 teams, so Atletico still dare not take it lightly in the league. Last weekend in the league, Atletico only arranged for the main defender Kocker to rest, and the main left-back Carrasco did not play in the league last weekend because of the suspension, but this Champions League can return. However, the team has paid a heavy price in the league, and the defensive core Jimenez is injured and has been confirmed to be unable to play at Manchester City, and Felipe will take his place. In this game, Atletico should be defensively focused, so it is likely that Griezmann will not start, but concentrate on preparing for the league in Mallorca at the weekend, with Felix and Sutares joining forces to start. So overall, Manchester City still has a clear advantage in this game, Jimenez's injury has a big impact on the Atletico defense, he missed four consecutive league games due to injury in December last year, resulting in four consecutive defeats for the team, including 1-2 Mallorca at home, 0-2 Real Madrid away, 1-2 Sevilla away, 1-2 away to Granada. Jimenez then returned to start, rebounding from a 2-0 home win over Vallecano, but then Jimenez was suspended again in the first round, and the team drew 2-2 away to Villarreal. In mid-February, Jimenez also missed the home league with Getafe due to the new crown infection, although atletico eventually won this match, but was scored by the opponent 3 goals, once in a 2-goal lead by Getafe 3-2 reversal, and finally won 4-3. So jimenez has recently missed 6 league games, the team has won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4, conceding at least 2 goals per game, which objectively reflects the performance of Atletico's defense in Jimenez's absence. In addition, in this season's 2-3 home defeat to Liverpool in the Champions League, Jimenez sat on the bench in the first half, only to be scored twice by Liverpool in the opening 13 minutes, and Simeone had to replace the Uruguayan at half-time. So in summary, I am still optimistic about Manchester City winning at home in this game and taking the lead in the two-legged game.