There is still one last suspense in the World Preliminary Round of 12 in The Asian Zone, that is, the third place in Group A. The qualifying teams in Group B are Japan, Saudi Arabia, Australia, Japan and Saudi Arabia directly qualified for the World Cup, and the third qualifying team in Australia needs to participate in the play-offs, and there are two difficulties in the play-offs, the first level is to compete with the third place in Group A, and the second level is to compete with the top teams in South America.
The situation in Group A is more complicated, with South Korea and Iran locking in the top two of the table and having confirmed a straight-through World Cup fixture. There is a glue competition picture in the third place, the United Arab Emirates scored 9 points after 9 rounds, Iraq scored 8 points after 9 rounds, Lebanon scored 6 points after 9 rounds, and in the last round, all three teams had the opportunity to qualify as third place to participate in the play-offs.
From the perspective of the three teams in group A to compete for three, Lebanon, ranked 95th in the world, is the most difficult, they have missed the opportunity to compete for three, starting from the first round of the World Preliminary Round of the Asian Top 12 0-0 draw with the United Arab Emirates, until the latest round of 0-3 loss to the penultimate Syria, Lebanon suffered 9 rounds of 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses, with the same points as the national football team, and the results are the same, the Chinese men's football team after 9 rounds is also 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses, get 6 points. What is even more amazing is that the national football team in the top 40 has also become the bitter lord of Lebanon, the latest crucial game, Lebanon lost 0-3 to Syria, if the game Lebanon can win, their counterattack probability will increase a lot.
According to the situation in the last round of the matchup, although Lebanon, which is the same as the national football team, has better luck than the national football team, and there is a glimmer of hope for the World Cup, but they have to look forward to 3 miracles, the first miracle, Lebanon must win a big victory over Iran in the final round, only in this way can there be a chance to squeeze the UAE to get the third place in the group in the situation of the United Arab Emirates, the UAE's current goal difference is -1, Lebanon's goal difference is -6; the second miracle, the United Arab Emirates and Iraq lose in the final round at the same time, the United Arab Emirates played against South Korea in the last round, The probability of losing is large, Iraq's final round against Syria, may not drop the chain like Lebanon; the third miracle, Lebanon successfully qualified for the third place in the group, and then in the playoffs successively overturned Australia and South American strong teams, this may be the three teams in group A are difficult to complete, and the success rate is close to 0.
Therefore, Lebanon is likely to be unable to create a miracle, first of all, Iran this level is almost insurmountable, according to the historical results, Lebanon recently suffered four consecutive defeats against Iran, the last defeat of Iran is back to September 2012, when Lebanon defeated Iran 1-0 in the World Preliminary Tournament In Asia. In terms of state, Lebanon is not good, the last 3 games 0 wins, has 0-1 South Korea, 1-1 Iraq, 0-3 Syria, Iran has an absolute strength advantage, in the last round of 0-2 loss to South Korea, their desire to win in the final round is obviously stronger. In the face of a strong and eager to get rid of the haze of losing to South Korea, Lebanon is not to say that big wins, winning or even draws are extravagant. It has to be said that the last round of 3-0 loss to Syria became the biggest regret of Lebanon's World Preliminary Round of 12, otherwise their situation would be much better.