Since the beginning of the year, the pig, cattle and sheep market has become more and more depressed, its market consumption is decadent, and the willingness of merchants to purchase is sluggish, which makes the cattle, sheep and pigs market more and more down, which continues to this day, the market is still not too good.
However, in contrast, the low egg prices in the early stage have recently begun a wave of sprints higher, but feed prices have been rising, resulting in a reduction in farmers' profits, and the breeding industry has arrived in winter. What's going on?
01, pig price "break 6 into 5"
Although the official has repeatedly called on everyone to eat more pork to drive pork consumption and improve pig prices, in fact, private consumer demand is still sluggish, and it is difficult to drive pig prices higher.
From today's market point of view, the average price of pigs has fallen back to 11.92 yuan / kg, which shows that the pigs "broke 6 into 5", into the 5 yuan era, which makes many pig farmers can not see hope, watching the pressure on feed costs increase, some farmers began to clear the fence, completely left the breeding industry.
Of course, at present, the operating rate of slaughtering enterprises is still relatively weak, and the procurement of private pigs is not high, which is also the main reason for the continuous decline in pig prices.
In fact, as early as the middle of February, the pig price has fallen to 6.1 yuan / catty, and now with some farmers speeding up the barn, the pig price has fallen back to the 5 yuan era.
According to the monitoring data of 28 cities, the northeast fell by 0.1-0.2 yuan, quoted at 11-11.6 yuan / kg; the southwest fell 0.1-0.2 yuan, quoted at 11-11.7 yuan / kg; East China fell 0.1-0.3 yuan, quoted at 11.8-12.6 yuan / kg; Central China fell 0.05-0.2 yuan, quoted at 11.65-12 yuan / kg. Even in Liangguang, pig prices have fallen back to 12.1-12.5 yuan / kg.
It can be seen that at present, the price of pigs in most places has fallen below 6 yuan, even in the traditional high-price area, the pig price is only more than 6 yuan, compared with the same period last year, the pig price fell by 57.4%.
As for why the price of pigs has fallen, but also because of the difficulty of getting out of the barn, by the strengthening of epidemic prevention, many places have restricted traffic travel, which makes it more difficult for pigs to get out of the barn, and the procurement difficulty of slaughterhouses is also increasing, so there is a pile of pigs.
At the same time, today's market consumption is sluggish, and catering consumption is also falling, so pig prices have once again experienced a wave of decline.
Nowadays, pig production capacity is still at a high level, so the market supply has fallen into a surplus stage, but the recent production area is low, and after the release of traffic, it will inevitably lead to an increase in the pressure of the late barn, and there is still room for pigs to fall.
Nowadays, pork in many places has fallen back by about 10 yuan, the market procurement enthusiasm is not high, pork dealers can only helplessly change careers, it can be seen that the pig industry has affected the major links, and even slaughtering enterprises have fallen into deep losses.
Of course, now the official storage work is still continuing, under the policy regulation, pig prices will not usher in a sharp fall, the market is generally stable, coupled with the restriction of the barn, but also alleviate the pressure of the pig market, is expected to remain stable in the short term.
02, cattle and sheep market decadence
Recently, affected by the decadence of meat market consumption, the cattle and sheep market is not satisfactory, the current average price of cattle and sheep fell by about 3-4 yuan compared with before the holiday, and some areas are even lower than 5 yuan, such as the average price of beef in recent days is 77.83 yuan per kilogram, and the mutton is 71.39 yuan per kilogram.
As for why the market for cattle and sheep has fallen, it is also because the market consumption is not satisfactory, because many people have poor incomes, and they have begun to shrink in diet, and the purchase of cattle and sheep has decreased, so its price is not satisfactory.
At the same time, the price of cattle and sheep in the production area has also declined, such as the current fattening cattle market fell back to 15.5-17.5 yuan / jin, down 1-2 yuan / jin compared with a year ago; and the fattening sheep quotation was 13.8-15.8 yuan / jin, down about 2 yuan compared with before the holiday.
Of course, the decline in the cattle and sheep market is actually due to the increase in production capacity. By the end of last year, the stock of sheep was 320 million, up 4.3% year-on-year; the stock of cattle was 0.98 billion heads, up 2.7% year-on-year, and the imports were too large, making the supply abundant.
Of course, February and March of each year are the off-season for beef and mutton consumption, coupled with special health events, which restricts catering consumption, so the demand for meat consumption is not high.
In addition, now that the price of pork has fallen sharply, the purchase pressure has been greatly reduced, and everyone naturally chooses the latter among beef, mutton and pork.
03, eggs fell more and rebounded
Judging from today's egg prices, many places have ushered in a reddish rise, such as Beijing rebounded 0.07 yuan, quoted at 4.51-4.57 yuan / jin; Guangzhou rebounded 0.15 yuan, quoted at 4.6 yuan / jin; Liaoning rose 0.06-0.1 yuan, quoted at 4.34-4.4 yuan / jin; Hebei rose 0.07-0.15 yuan, quoted at 4.11-4.4 yuan / jin.
Henan rose 0.05-0.18 yuan at a price of 4.05-4.13 yuan / jin; Shandong rose 0.1-0.12 yuan at a price of 4.07-4.6 yuan / jin; Anhui rose 0.07-0.1 yuan, quoted at 4.1-4.2 yuan / jin.
Egg prices higher, in the final analysis by the feed market higher impact, the beginning of the year, soybean meal rose by more than 40%, the current market is approaching 2.5 yuan / catty, corn, wheat prices also continue to rise, so the cost of layer chicken breeding rose from 3.9 yuan to more than 4 yuan, setting a new high in 8 years.
Because the higher feed prices, but also seriously affected the profits of egg farmers, farmers in order to improve the income, also began a wave of pressure bar, egg out of the bar reduced, egg merchants raised prices, thus driving the egg prices higher.
At the same time, with the low fluctuation of the stock of laying hens, the supply of eggs is also affected by it, coupled with the increase in household hoarding demand, the market terminal price is higher, and the stock increases, so the egg price ushers in an increase.
However, for now, with the overdraft of follow-up demand, it is difficult for egg prices to continue to rise, and there is a risk of correction as egg prices recover everywhere.