As Russian military operations progressed, the situation in Ukraine changed rapidly. Overnight, the Russians occupied a number of strategic locations in Ukraine, took control of the Chernobyl nuclear power plant, destroyed dozens of military infrastructures, and declared the successful completion of the set tasks.
Ukraine announced the severance of diplomatic relations with Russia, and the United States and NATO countries refused to send troops, and they all offered severe sanctions against Russia. Will the risk of confrontation continue to rise and will the situation continue to deteriorate?
On February 24, local time, a military installation caught fire near the airport in Mariupol, Ukraine.
How did the situation get here?
The tension in Ukraine is caused by the superposition of insecurity between Russia, the United States and Europe. Russia's insecurity comes from NATO's eastward expansion; America's insecurity comes from its own declining strength and the need to desperately cover up this lack of strength; Europe's insecurity comes from its historical memory of Russia, the memory of the Cold War, and its security dependence on the United States.
Since the end of the Cold War, the United States and the West have been treating Russia like a defeated country, constantly weakening Russia's strength through various channels. They hope to completely "pull out the teeth" of this former Cold War adversary and prevent Russia from one day making a comeback.
In recent years, Europe has amplified the Russian threat, using zero-sum thinking to see that "what Russia gains is what Europe loses." Three insecurities are like dry firewood, and it only takes a match to ignite it.
The Ukrainian issue is an inevitable consequence of the failure of the United States and NATO. The current situation fully reveals that the United States and NATO have not seriously and responsibly viewed and handled Ukraine's own security demands from beginning to end, but have constantly used Ukraine to attack Russia, and finally caused the tragedy of the current military conflict, which is a cold lesson.
The final outcome of the brutal squeeze on Russia in the construction of the European security pattern between the United States and NATO is the recurrence of the great division of Europe.
Why did Putin send troops?
Putin's more important targets are the United States and NATO. In this regard, putin has achieved certain results at present. Russia's current military action is aimed at reversing Ukraine's overall tilt toward the West.
Putin's military operations can maintain flexibility in order to ensure that Ukraine's development path is consistent with Russia's.
Putin's strategic goal is to make the Donbass region a strategic buffer zone. Judging from the operational situation of the Russian army, there must have been an estimate before, and it is difficult to say to what extent it is now difficult to say.
What is Putin trying to achieve?
Putin's ultimate goal is twofold: to permanently disintegrate and substantially weaken the credibility and capabilities of the United States and NATO in European security. The second is to closely bundle the overall planning and development direction of the Ukrainian state with Russia, break the security ties with NATO and the United States, and permanently eliminate the possibility of Ukraine falling to the United States and the West. At present, the possibility of achieving these two goals is very high.
Russian military action and the next period of action are crucial. There should be another political remodeling link to ensure that Ukraine's development path matches Russia's.
Putin's ultimate goal is certainly to deter Ukraine from military provocations and completely destroy its strategic armed capabilities. At the same time, it is also a deterrent to the West, so that the West does not dare to continue to exert pressure on Russia on the Ukrainian issue.
On February 24, local time, in Kiev, the capital of Ukraine, police were inspecting the wreckage of shells that had fallen on the streets.
What will happen to Ukraine?
Ukraine is bound to undergo political changes in the future, but its internal military activities cannot be stopped unless its close security ties with NATO and the United States are not severed.
Ukraine will not disappear completely, but when faced with serious consequences, it will find that NATO and the United States are unreliable. The United States and NATO have made it clear that they will not send troops, and in the end, Ukraine will protect itself, but it will not be able to defend itself. It was then that it discovered how precious the scarcity of security was. Close connection with Russia's security should be its reasonable direction.
It is difficult to judge whether Ukraine will completely lose control of the Black Sea, depending on the extent to which the Russian army will attack in the end
Why is the United States on fire?
As a country seeking global hegemony, the overdraft of U.S. power has begun with two wars on terror. Last year, the United States withdrew its troops from Afghanistan in a hurry, the sense of distrust in Europe was significantly intensified, the strategic autonomy was significantly enhanced, and the Distance between the United States and the United States began on issues such as the "Nord Stream-2" gas transmission project.
To save face and credibility lost in the war in Afghanistan and further tie Europe in security and strategy, the United States must create a crisis and get Its allies back under its wing.
Ukraine is far from the United States, close to Russia and Europe, and the risk of stirring up regional tensions to Russia and Europe is much greater than that of the United States, so it is not difficult to understand the practice of the United States and other instigators.
The goal of the United States is clear, that is, to use Ukraine to consume Russia. Ukraine's security assurances and well-being issues are not a priority for the United States.
Putin must have made a plan before, and in the long run, he has long known that the United States will not really do it for Ukraine.
How will the West react? I think the Western response will depend on where Russia's strategic goals are. In a big way, the West will not go to an all-out war with Russia for the sake of Ukraine, after all, Ukraine is not the core interest of the West, but it is the core interest of Russia. What Russia has been doing is what it has always done, and it will not allow Ukraine to join NATO or become a very powerful threat of force.
President of Ukraine Zelenskiy.
How does the situation affect Europe and the world?
The primary impact is the complete rupture of Russian-Ukrainian relations, although there were crimea and Eastern Ukraine issues before, but the two sides have not yet reached the level of such complete hostility, there is still some room for relaxation. But since the U.S. hype late last year, there has been little room for both sides.
On the other hand, from the perspective of Europe, Russian-European relations will be in a situation where it is difficult to improve, and will enter a long-term deterioration or confrontation. After the Cold War, the entire European security framework has changed a lot with the 2014 Ukraine crisis and crimea, and now Europe is facing a growing security threat. The West will certainly not easily accept such an attack from Russia.
From the perspective of the world situation, this is also a major change in the geopolitical pattern after the Cold War. In the future, Russia may continue to use force to solve peripheral problems to achieve Putin's goal of integrating and reshaping Eurasia.
On February 24, local time, kiev, Ukraine, after Russian President Putin announced the launch of military operations in the Donbass region, the people of Kiev drove outside the city.
What are the implications for other countries?
At this stage of the crisis, it is clear to conclude that the security of European countries is unreliable to pin on the United States or NATO, and Ukraine is a typical case.
It should be emphasized that Ukraine itself has tasted the serious ills of placing its security and defense pillars on the basis of dependence on NATO and the United States. More countries in the world will see this too.