After the Tokyo Olympics, another heavyweight competition in the international table tennis world, the World Table Tennis Championships in Houston, USA, is scheduled to be held from November 23 to 29 this year. This is the first time that the Olympic Games and the World Table Tennis Championships have been held in the same year, so table tennis associations around the world attach great importance to it.
The Chinese Table Tennis Association also actively trained troops before the World Table Tennis Championships, and they used the two heavyweight competitions of the National Games and the Table Tennis Super League in China to test and select players participating in the World Table Tennis Championships. After an intense competition, male table tennis players Fan Zhendong and Liang Jingkun, and female table tennis players Chen Meng, Wang Manyu and Sun Yingsha have qualified for the World Table Tennis Championships.
Due to the fierce competition among female table tennis players, it is particularly interesting to see who the world table tennis champion will eventually spend. In terms of the current ability of players from all over the world, Chen Meng, Wang Manyu, Sun Yingsha and Japan's Ito Mimachi are all strong contenders for the women's singles championship at this year's Houston World Table Tennis Championships.
So if you look at the comprehensive analysis and comparison, what will be the ranking of the probability of the four of them winning the championship? Xiaobian believes that the ranking of these four people should be Chen Meng> Wang Manyu> Sun Yingsha> Ito Mimachi.
Why sort it this way? Come on, let's talk about the reasons.
<h1 class="pgc-h-decimal" data-index="01" > let's start with Ito. </h1>
Although Ito has grown and improved rapidly in recent years, her past growth and progress have a lot to do with the help of the International Table Tennis Federation and the internal reform of the national table tennis. The ITTF changed the ranking rules to help her enter the ranks of world seeded players effortlessly; the internal reform of the national table tennis gave her the opportunity to increase her confidence, so she mushroomed like a mushroom.
However, at the end of September 2018, Liu Guoliang led Qin Zhijian and others to return, after which the national table tennis strengthened the study and targeting of her, so from the 2019 Qatar Open to the end of this year's Olympic Games, she only won the first leg of the 2019 Austrian Open in the absence of Chen Meng, Sun Yingsha and Wang Manyu.
Deng Yaping once said that behind every national table tennis player who plays against Ito Mimachi, there stands the collective of the Chinese table tennis team, so Ito Mimachi cannot surpass Chinese table tennis in any way. This determines that no matter which Chinese national team player she meets at the World Table Tennis Championships, she is likely to be defeated.
Therefore, she can only reach the final four if there are no national table tennis players in a 1/4 district she guards. Otherwise she could fall into the quarterfinals or the quarterfinals.
In other words, her probability of winning the championship will not exceed 25%!
<h1 class="pgc-h-decimal" data-index="02" > then sun Yingsha. </h1>
Sun Yingsha should be the most vocal player among the national table tennis players, because on the one hand, she is the most popular, on the other hand, she has not won the championship, so her fans hope that she can make a major breakthrough. However, high popularity does not mean that the probability of winning the championship is large, this is because Sun Yingsha has two powerful opponents in the World Table Tennis Championships, which makes her afraid that it will be difficult to overcome. These two powerful opponents, one is Chen Meng, the other is Wang Manyu.
Sun Yingsha's last victory over Chen Meng dates back to last year's Olympic simulation, but after that, whenever she met Chen Meng's game, she lost. There are reasons for tactical confrontation, and there are also elements of mentality that cannot break through the shackles. Xiaobian has done analysis in previous articles, so I will not repeat the narrative today.
Sun Yingsha has always been in a five-to-five situation for Wang Manyu, and the two people have not changed much from the 19th Budapest World Table Tennis Championships to this year's Table Tennis Super League. However, considering that Wang Manyu's recent technology and mentality have been rapid, and Sun Yingsha's head coach has been changed back and forth, xiaobian believes that Wang Manyu's winning rate against Sun Yingsha in the World Table Tennis Championships is slightly higher than that of the line.
Comprehensively, the probability of Sun Yingsha winning the championship is about 50 percent.
<h1 class="pgc-h-decimal" data-index="03" > then talk about Wang Manyu. </h1>
Wang Manyu has recently been brave - she first replaced Liu Shiwen and helped the Chinese team win the gold medal of the women's team at the Tokyo Olympic Games. She then performed well at the National Games, winning the gold medal in the Singles of the National Games. And in the mixed doubles final of the National Games, she partnered with the unknown Cao Wei and launched a fierce competition with xu Xin/Liu Shiwen combination, and its strong ball style and technical characteristics made many insiders marvel.
It can be said that Wang Manyu is Ito's "natural enemy", and at the same time, she is stronger than Sun Yingsha. Therefore, her biggest opponent who won the World Table Tennis Championships in Houston is Chen Meng, and she is the champion when she defeats Chen Meng; if she does not win against Chen Meng, then she is the runner-up.
<h1 class="pgc-h-decimal" data-index="04" > finally Say Chen Meng. </h1>
In fact, many people are not optimistic about the prospects of Chen Meng's Houston World Table Tennis Championships, for the following reasons:
First, from the National Games to the Table Tennis Super League, Chen Meng lost a total of five games, and her opponents included Wang Manyu, Chen Xingtong, Liu Shiwen and Ku Man.
Second, Chen Meng seems to have suddenly returned to the state he was in in 2018 after the Olympic Games, which is manifested in the chaotic tactical arrangement and lack of mental firmness.
The editor believes that the chaos after the Olympic Games is the main reason why Chen Meng's probability of winning the World Table Tennis Championships in Houston has increased greatly. unbelief? Let's explain the reasons little by little.
Let's first talk about why Chen Meng "can't play" after the Olympic Games.
Before the Olympic Games, Chen Meng had been straining her nerves, and she did not dare to relax at all. After the Olympics, when she was still immersed in the joy of winning the championship, she did not know that she had become the target of everyone's attack. So from the first game of the National Games, everyone was trying to impact Chen Meng. Chen Meng, on the other hand, was saddled with the ideological baggage of "I am an Olympic champion, I can only win, I can't lose", so her game looks messy, as if suddenly she will not play.
Let's talk about why the loss after the Olympic Games is that chen Meng's probability of winning the World Table Tennis Championships in Houston has increased greatly.
After the end of the Table Tennis Super League, the national table tennis gathered at the Olympic Sports Center in Wenzhou to prepare for the competition. In this way, Chen Mengyi can calm down and summarize the reasons for his loss, and second, he can return himself to the tense state before the Olympic Games. Such Chen Meng has returned to her former state, and after a period of systematic training, her state will get better and better.
And the loss of the National Games and the Table Tennis Super League will make her readjust her mentality, let her put her posture lower, so that she can give up the defensive posture, so that she can impact others. Fans familiar with Chen Meng know that Chen Meng will basically usher in her own explosive period as long as she loses in the past two years, so the National Games plus the consecutive losses of the Table Tennis Super League will allow her to get a complete outbreak at the Houston World Table Tennis Championships.
Of course, some people think that Chen Meng's playing style is not as good as Wang Manyu and Sun Yingsha's experience, and the experience and skills are not as rich as Liu Shiwen's. But it is precisely because Chen Meng's comprehensive strength is very thick, coupled with her ability to correct her own mentality, so the probability of her winning the championship is the greatest!
What do you think about this? Welcome to leave a comment in the comment area to discuss.