Sometimes, personal luck is not worth mentioning before the torrent of the times

In 2016, a gentleman found me through a friend's introduction. After he provided the necessary information, he did not say a word, waiting for me to analyze. I looked at it and thought he was going to ask why his luck had dropped so much that year, it was just the ups and downs of the luck cycle. Since he did not mention the demand, I analyzed him according to the conventional analysis, said what should be said, painted the painting, roughly analyzed his luck ups and downs and interpersonal relationships, and said that his luck in the past few years has been particularly good, and now (in the second half of 2016) luck is generally no problem, and in a few years it will rise back. The whole time he didn't say a word, and when he was finished, he said: "What you said is similar to what I have calculated before, and the last question is, how much money can I make in this life?" ”

I told him directly that there was no way to calculate, two reasons, one was that there was no way to model, and the other was that there was inflation in the world.

Him: Will there be inflation in your fortune tellers?

Me: There is no inflation in fortune telling, but the effect of inflation objectively exists.

Him: Why can other masters tell me how much money I can make in this life, and it's a very specific number? For example, one master reports that the number is A, and another master reports B.

Me: A This number seems to be very large, but in Beijing, it is the value of two or three sets of better houses, if you are a Beijinger, any effort will exceed this number, and your luck and efforts have nothing to do with it; if you are just a rural person, life and work are in the countryside, even if your luck is good, no matter how hard you work, it is difficult to exceed this number. Clinging to the size of the number does not make sense, how to play their own value is meaningful.

It's chicken soup, but it's true.

He asked the question about numbers a few more times, and I gave him a negative answer.

He was silent for a long time, then began to tell his story.

This gentleman's hometown is in a small city in the north, after graduating from college, he went to the United States to study and work, originally everything went smoothly, for some reasons he returned to China in 2002, worked in a company in Beijing, and settled down. At that time, the treatment was far lower than that of the United States, and it was difficult to feel at ease. Once he saw someone setting up a stall in a certain temple, he looked for someone to calculate; in order to better comfort himself, he did not just find one person to count, but found two masters in a row. As a result, the results of the two analyses are not much different from the oneSaystems this time, anyway, they all say that the luck behind is very good, super good one.

Because the salary and treatment between China and the United States at that time were indeed huge, his heart had not eased up, so he asked the two masters, how much money can they make in this life? One master reports the number A, and the other master reports the larger number B.

These two figures were astronomical for most of the Chinese at that time, and if calculated by the salary he was employed at that time, he could not spend a penny or even save money in his lifetime, or even for several lifetimes. But these two numbers were like two seeds buried deep in his heart.

So he asked, is it better at home or in the United States? One said that the money he can earn in China is A, the unit is the renminbi, and in the United States, it is also this number, and the unit is replaced by dollars; the other does not say clearly, probably saying that Chinese is better in China.

Later, he really did as the two masters said, his luck was so good that his work was particularly smooth and his family was happy. That's how things should have passed.

But in 2016 he clearly felt that his personal luck was declining, and he lost a little money on investment. One night the two numbers popped into my head, A and B, and then my heart trembled. For if he had sold all his houses at that time, his assets would have exceeded A;as long as his wages and stocks continued to grow normally, it would be within ten years of exceeding B.

He wondered, has the recent decline in luck exceeded the total asset figure of A? Is there some sort of "conservation"? So he was upset, and then he went to the temple again, and there were more masters who set up stalls, but he could no longer find the two masters, perhaps he did not remember their looks at all; he found a few masters to analyze them for him, and they did not even count the most basic luck, so his heart was even more uneasy. Eventually, his friend referred him to me.

This gentleman's story is here, and I want to share my own private goods.

The ancestors created a methodology and wrote books to solve the problems they encountered, and they were often powerless to do anything outside their cognitive scope. This is like the relationship between classical mechanics and quantum mechanics, in low-speed moving objects, classical mechanics is very practical, but between high-speed moving or extremely massive objects appear powerless, which requires quantum mechanics to analyze. But the success of quantum mechanics does not negate classical mechanics; so does the analytical power of traditional numerology, which is more aimed at the old societies of cannibalism.

These methods of feudal agriculture, the analysis is aimed at the problems encountered by customers in the past, although they will continue to improve with the development of science, but they can never fully analyze industrial society. This method guides life, and most of the time it is a punch in the face.

Many years ago, as a beginner, I was also obsessed with algorithms such as "wife and son Lu Shou". In the process of learning, the master woke me up with a sentence, don't read dead books, "men take money as their wives, wives as their wives" This sentence has explained everything, the money is in place, and many things can be solved. Contemporary is money, old society is power.

Examples include health and longevity.

According to the data, the Qing Dynasty was 33 years old, the Republic of China was about 35 years old, and the average life expectancy in 1957 after the founding of New China was raised to 57 years old, to 68 years old in 1981; the average life expectancy goal of the Fourteenth Five-Year Plan was increased to 80 years old, which was unprecedented and unimaginable to the ancients. From the Ming Dynasty, the Qing Dynasty, the Republic of China to the New China, if you use traditional numerological methods to model and calculate, the results should be the same, but the average life expectancy is a real surge. The essence of the increase in life expectancy is that productivity has increased, the people have money, and their lives have improved; more importantly, the country has money, and all aspects of the guarantee are in place.

"I Am Not a Medicine God" summed it up well - there is only one disease in the world, and that is the disease of poverty.

As for money, ancient and modern are two different concepts.

Ancient feudal society is an agricultural society, the output value of land fluctuates little, taking the Qing as an example, the average surplus of the national treasury for many years should be around tens of millions of silver, even if all the smooth and no large expenditure is unlikely to exceed one hundred million two silver; the essence of the monetary system at that time was anchor currency supported by precious metals such as gold standard and silver standard, gold and silver in time and space distribution is limited, deflation is a common state. Therefore, the ancients will emphasize that thrifty and thrifty families can be developed, and the gold and silver saved can really travel through time and space and benefit future generations.

Contemporary China is an industrial society, the industrial output value is much higher than the agricultural output value, the country's income is higher, and more resources can be mobilized. The modern monetary system is paper money, credit money, anchorless money, and money is indiscriminately issued. And the nuclear-powered printing machines of beautiful countries do not stop all the time, and inflation is inevitable. Save money in the bank, but the purchasing power has been declining, and in some third worlds it can even become a pile of waste paper at any time.

Economists don't necessarily predict accurate problems, can fortune tellers using traditional methods?

In addition, under the influence of monogamy, family planning, reproductive assistance, urbanization, and popularization of higher education, modern people cannot have a large number of wives and concubines and dozens of children like the landlord class of the evil old society. Algorithms and models are that set, and the ancestors could not calculate the state of modern people in any way.

Regarding work, the social employment of the ancients is also relatively simple, on four directions - scholars, farmers, industry and commerce. The vast majority of people are peasants, and the only way to get ahead is to participate in the imperial examinations rather than to do business (which is also determined by insufficient productivity and limited land bearing). In the eyes of the ancients, only "officials (civilian officials) kill (military attaches)", that is, serving the state apparatus is the best choice to jump out of the rural shackles; the imperial examination now corresponds to the college entrance examination, although modern people also attach importance to the college entrance examination, but in addition to the college entrance examination, people also have other different career paths, and the examination is only one of the many employment options.

The main thing that traditional methods can be applied to modern society is manifested, one is luck, one is interpersonal relationships. The analytical system composed of these two points is also what I have always emphasized in the past and should be, and if you are interested, you can refer to the old article, but I will not go into detail here.

But fundamentally to understand the productive forces and production relations, to look at things with the perspective of development, many of which seem to be the victory or defeat of people, are the results of the environment, the state, technology and economic development.

Buffett has said that as an investor, he was fortunate to be born in the United States, to be white, and to be a man. Buffett was born in the thirties of the last century, can take advantage of the development of the United States hegemony to share the dividends of world economic development, born in other countries do not have this opportunity; but if he is a black American, in most areas will be seriously discriminated against, survival and education are problems; if he is a woman, there is a high probability of no social status, even if he can go to normal college, work will become a problem, not to mention may not be able to enter the industry, widely involved in investment and mergers and acquisitions.

For example, in the opening case, in addition to the personal luck of the person concerned, the core reason is that he actually "bottomed out" the beijing property.

Sometimes, personal luck is not worth mentioning before the torrent of the times.