【Introduction】At the end of the Spring Festival holiday in the Year of the Tiger, when you unplug the charger plugged in your hometown, this also means that you have to wait another year for the next time you return home! Indeed, over the years, with the development of social economy, the advancement of agricultural modernization, the gradual transfer of rural surplus labor to cities and towns, many people choose to carry the weight forward in order to live, and under economic pressure, in order to alleviate the difficulties of their children, many elderly people over sixty years old have also joined the ranks of migrant workers, they return at the beginning of the year, go home at the end of the year, and there are few moments to reunite with their families throughout the year!
Spring Festival holiday ended, all walks of life also resumed production, in the domestic pig market, during the Spring Festival, affected by the stagnation of pig supply and marketing, pig prices showed a sideways trend, with the end of the Spring Festival holiday, slaughtering enterprises have started work, pig prices also ended the "no market" stage! Constrained by market pork consumption and ordinary farmers have panic, slaughtering enterprises under the price of outstanding performance, February 8, pig prices fell sideways!
According to the data, on February 8, the national lean pig price, the average price fell to 13.69 yuan / kg, the pig price fell narrowly by 0.04 yuan, the market showed a downward trend of rebound, in the domestic north and south markets, northeast, southwest and east China and other places, pig prices fell in a wide range, the rising market only Jiangxi and Gansu, of which, Jiangxi rose 0.3 yuan / kg. In the falling market, the general decline in the quotation of slaughtering enterprises is maintained at 0.05 ~ 0.4 yuan, the Jiangsu market has fallen significantly, and the rest of the market has shown a weak trend!
Specifically, in the northeast market, Heijiliao region, the quotation of slaughtering enterprises fell by 0.1 yuan / kg across the board, the Heilongjiang market bottomed out 12.5 yuan / kg, and the quotations of slaughtering enterprises in Jilin and Liaoning regions have successively explored the bottom of 13 yuan / kg! In the North China market, the Inner Mongolia market fell narrowly, and the beijing-Tianjin and Shanxi Hebei slaughter enterprises quoted sideways, of which the Beijing-Tianjin market stabilized at 14.1 yuan / kg! In the northwest region, the Xinjiang market stabilized at 11.6 yuan, the Shaanxi-Gansu region fluctuated in a narrow range, and the Shaanxi market bottomed out at 13.1 yuan / kg!
In the southern market, southwest china and south China, the quotation of slaughtering enterprises is weak, and the market in East China is falling in a wide range, while in central China, the quotation of slaughtering enterprises is narrowly oscillating! Among them, the Market in Sichuan and Chongqing was sideways at 13.7 to 13.8 yuan / kg, and the market in Yunnan stabilized at 12.3 yuan / kg. In East China, the market quotation of Jiangsu and Zhejiang fell to 14.4 to 14.7 yuan, and the market in Shandong stabilized at 14.2 yuan / kg. In the two lakes market, the price of slaughtering enterprises is 13.85 to 14.2 yuan, Jiangxi is up 0.3 yuan, and the price of slaughtering enterprises is 14.25 yuan / kg. In the two Guangzhou regions of South China, pig prices are sideways 14.1 ~ 14.4 yuan / kg, and Hainan market is sideways 16.1 yuan / kg!
Overall, on February 8, pig prices fell sideways, and in the north and south markets, pig prices fell in a wide range! However, the performance of the market's narrow range is outstanding! Now, the Spring Festival holiday of the Year of the Tiger is over, will the price of pigs fall out of the "new record"? Today we will analyze it in detail!
As we all know, after the Spring Festival holiday, the consumer market will often enter a relatively long downturn cycle, due to the Spring Festival, pork consumption rebounded, residents hoarding emotions are higher, superimposed, the Spring Festival holiday people chicken eye fish meat "overeating" phenomenon is prominent, after the year greasy food to eat more, will always want to choose light factors, therefore, the terminal market pork goods are poor, consumption shows a constrained situation! Affected by the release factors of domestic pig production capacity, the breeding end has a strong bearish mood, after all, the sow inventory is high at 43.29 million heads, and the pork output last year was as high as 52.96 million tons, so the fundamentals of loose pig supply in the first half of 2022 are difficult to shake, and pig prices have a downward trend!
However, because the Spring Festival holiday of the Year of the Tiger has just passed, the purchase and sale of live pigs has not yet fully recovered, superimposed, a new round of large-scale rain and snow weather has arrived, which has obvious restrictions on the purchase and sale of pigs and the arrival of pork in the wholesale market, therefore, the decline in pig prices has slowed down, and has not ushered in a sharp decline in the market! However, due to the gradual recovery of the market, pig prices still have a basis for a sharp decline! Many industry insiders have analyzed that this round of pig prices fell, and pig prices may fall out of the "new record"!
On the one hand, based on the high level of domestic sow inventory, the supply of pigs continues to be loose, and from April to May, the pig out of the barn or will reach the peak of the theory, therefore, the market pig supply is not optimistic, pig prices have a new low basis!
On the other hand, pork demand has entered a trough in the year, consumption support after the Spring Festival is booming and declining, pork in the terminal market is slow, the phenomenon of "rotten market" in the wholesale market may rebound again, and poor consumption also limits the enthusiasm of slaughtering enterprises to purchase, and the sentiment of reducing the amount of pigs will continue to rise! Although farmers have a certain price sentiment, however, because pork consumption is difficult to recover in the short term, it is difficult for pig prices to rise, and the pig price in the first half of the tiger may reach a new low within the year, and the pig price may fall out of the "new record"!
Pig prices fell back, consumption constraints, out of the barn panic, pig prices to fall out of the "new record"? What do you think about this? The above is the author's personal opinion, the picture is from the network!