【Introduction】At the end of the Spring Festival holiday, for hundreds of millions of wanderers, they rushed to come with joy, but they went away with heartache and tears! The Spring Festival holiday is short after all, and the reunion with parents and family is also fleeting, in the face of the journey of the new year, too many people have left nostalgia and bid farewell to their parents and hometown in a reluctant way! With the return of workers from all walks of life, the domestic agricultural products market has gradually resumed operation, after the Spring Festival holiday, pigs, eggs, corn market ushered in a "falling tide", but the price of pork has risen, what happened in the market? Let's talk about it today!
First, Shandong deep processing corn arrived nearly a thousand trucks, and enterprises fell to collect grain!
The festival ended, corn purchase and sales gradually recovered, in the Shandong market, with the deep processing enterprises listed to collect grain, the local corn volume surged, Shandong deep processing in front of the arrival of goods rebounded to nearly a thousand cars, enterprises on demand procurement, for poor quality tide grain has a certain resistance, corn quotations a wide range of green!
Among them, the Shandong market, enterprises fell to the price of grain outstanding performance, more than half of the deep processing enterprises in Shandong showed a downward price trend, of which, Zouping Ronghai factory fell nearly 80 yuan / ton, the rest of the enterprises in many places also reduced prices reached 20 ~ 30 yuan / ton, Shandong enterprises quoted the average price hovered at 1.36 yuan / jin, of which, the local factory quotation bottomed out 1.31 yuan / jin!
According to industry analysts, in the Shandong market, some factories in the third and fourth grades have been started, the amount of deep processing has also continued to increase, the amount of corn in Shandong has surged by nearly 550 cars compared with the previous day, the supply of corn is loose, the sentiment of enterprises to build a warehouse is higher, superimposed, corn quality deviation, and the enterprise presents a shock price performance!
After entering the Spring Festival, the progress of grain sales in domestic corn production areas is obviously slow, and the amount of corn will continue to increase after the year, especially as some growers have the enthusiasm to realize the purchase of agricultural materials after the Spring Festival, the supply of grass-roots corn may continue to be relaxed! So, is the corn market going to fall?
Personally, I think that at this stage, the enterprise quotation will still "look at the performance of the car price adjustment", although, after the year, the growers have the mood to produce grain, but the post-holiday corn market still has good support, for example, traders and drying tower enterprises have successively entered the market to purchase, the demand for building a warehouse has increased sharply, and the deep processing inventory is also relatively limited, and the enterprise also has the enthusiasm to replenish the warehouse. Superimposed, the domestic wheat market price is stronger, and the advantage of feeding corn and wheat substitution has weakened significantly, which may have some support for the corn market! Superimposed, corn planting costs are too high, grass-roots farmers are bullish, and logistics costs rise, will continue to push up corn quotations, therefore, personal predictions, in the short term, corn prices will still be dominated by sideways shocks, corn prices decline is limited!
Second, the price of eggs fell, and the price of pigs fell sideways!
In the field of domestic layer breeding and pig breeding, among them, the consumer market performance after the year is weak, and the price of eggs has fallen! It is understood that by the market to restore supply, in the Beijing wholesale market, the egg price fell to 3.6 yuan / kg, compared with the pre-holiday decline of nearly 0.7 yuan / kg, egg prices fell significantly! In the Shanghai and Guangdong markets, due to the weak market purchase and sales, the market inventory egg consumption demand cycle is long, traders are cautious, egg prices are sideways, of which, the Shanghai market egg price hovers at 3.82 yuan / kg!
In the main egg-producing areas, Hebei, Henan, Jiangsu and Shandong and other places, with the increase in egg cargo pressure after the year, the inventory of farms has increased, while the terminal market inventory of eggs is slow, traders are not active in purchasing, and the quotation has a weak pattern of shock!
Among them, in the Shandong market, the price of eggs is generally maintained at 3.8 to 3.9 yuan / catty, and the local decline is about 0.1 yuan / catty. In Henan and Hebei regions, the price of eggs in farms fell by 0.05 to 0.17 yuan / catty, and in Henan region, the price of eggs generally fell to 3.8 yuan / catty. In the Hebei market, the price of eggs hovers around 3.48 ~ 3.75 yuan / catty!
According to industry analysts, due to the terminal market, egg inventory is high, eggs in the sales area are slow to go, demand is weak after the year, and the market replenishment enthusiasm deviation. Traders are not willing to purchase, and the Spring Festival holiday, farm egg inventory continued to increase, the market supply and weak performance is prominent, aggravated the decline of the market, it is expected that in the short term, egg prices or will be weak, high price area or will continue to pull back!
In the pig market, pig prices fell sideways, on February 8, the national average price of pigs fell to 13.69 yuan / kg, and pig prices fell by 0.04 yuan in a narrow range! From the market feedback point of view, the north and south regions, many places pig prices fell, the northeast, southwest and east China most of the market downward, of which, the northern market, slaughter enterprise quotations are generally only 11.6 ~ 14.1 yuan / kg, the northeast market hovered at 12.5 ~ 13.2 yuan / kg, slaughter enterprise quotations have fallen below 13 yuan / kg. In the high-priced market, the Sichuan-Chongqing market is less than 14 yuan, the Sichuan market has fallen to 13.8 yuan / kg, and in the two Guangdong markets, the Guangdong market is hovering at 14.4 yuan / kg!
Pig price shock is weak, the market downside risk increased sharply, although, the south of the land more rain and snow, limiting the range of pig prices down! However, with the recovery of market purchases and sales, in the downturn in consumption and the rebound of the mood at the breeding end, pig prices will usher in a "tide of falling prices", it is expected that pig prices will continue to find the bottom, the market in February or will fall narrowly, the average price is expected to fall below 13 yuan / kg! And into March to April, pig prices or will further fall, the market has a greater risk of bottoming out 10 yuan / kg! The downward risk of pig prices has intensified, however, the cost of feed is high, and the degree of loss of farmers may be further aggravated, reminding farmers to be high!
Third, the price of pork has risen!
At the end of the Spring Festival holiday, pig prices also fell back to the level before the Spring Festival, but in the pork market, pork prices rose after a year! According to official data, in the national agricultural product market, the average wholesale price of pork after the festival reached 22.38 yuan / kg, and the price of pork rose by 1.4% compared with before the Spring Festival! Pork prices rose in shock, on February 7, the average price of white strip pigs in the national fixed-point slaughtering enterprises hovered at 19.19 yuan / kg, compared with the end of January, there was a slight decline!
According to industry analysts, the pig price shock is weak, and the pork price is rising against the trend, which is mainly affected by the sentiment of traders in the middle and late part of the year, especially the price reduction sentiment of the terminal pork vendors after the festival is not high, and the pork price shock is strong! However, due to the average price of pigs 13.69 yuan / kg, and the average price of white strip pigs factory 19.19 yuan / kg, the slaughterhouse gross white price difference reached 5.5 yuan / kg, therefore, the loss of slaughter enterprises is prominent, the price pressure sentiment of slaughter enterprises will be further enhanced, and with the post-holiday consumption bucket turning down, and the market pork supply continues to be relaxed, the terminal pork price will gradually fall!
After the Spring Festival, pig prices, egg prices, and corn met the "price decline tide", but pork rose, what happened! What do you think about this? The above is the author's personal opinion, the picture is from the network!