Beijing Winter Olympics Conjecture No. 6: Will China's snow achievements surpass the ice events?

China's ice and snow has always had a pattern of "ice strong and snow weak", which is clear at a glance from the distribution of the 13 Winter Olympic gold medals won by the Chinese team so far. Among the 13 Winter Olympic gold medals, 10 from short track speed skating, 1 from speed skating, 1 from figure skating pair skating, and only 1 gold medal from snow, that is, at the 2006 Winter Olympics in Turin, Italy, Han Xiaopeng won a freestyle ski men's aerial skills championship.

Han Xiaopeng Xinhua News Agency data map

In fact, in terms of the Winter Olympics, there are actually more snow projects than ice projects. In the case of the Beijing Winter Olympics, among the seven major events, there are 3 major ice events (skating, ice hockey and curling), and 4 major snow events (skiing, snowmobiling, sledding and biathlon); in the 15 sub-events, there are 5 on the ice and 10 on the snow, which are twice as many as the ice sub-events, reflected in the 109 minor events, which must be more than twice the number of snow gold medals (76) and more than double the ice gold medals (33).

Therefore, China's ice and snow industry has been working hard to change the pattern of strong ice and snow in China's winter, and when will this breakthrough point come? Our prediction is that this inflection point is likely to occur at the Beijing Winter Olympics.

From the last Winter Olympics conjecture, we listed 12 gold points of Chinese ice and snow athletes, of which there are 7 ice projects, 5 snow projects, and the number of snow projects is less than ice projects, but from the perspective of gold rushing possibilities, snow projects are not weaker than ice, especially the 3 individual items that Gu Ailing participated in have strong comprehensive strength, this comprehensive two words, including Gu Ailing's mentality is both positive and relaxed, she has extraordinary ability in this regard. In addition, we have only included two individual items of freestyle skiing aerial skills, in fact, as a personal event of aerial skills with the hope of punching cards, the men's individual events are also very strong, and if they play well on the spot, they also hope to change the color of the medals.

The competition situation in the ice project is very fierce and close, especially the short track speed skating we hope for is higher, because there are more on-the-spot play and tactical factors, so it is a gold medal or a medal, and even the podium is not unusual, which is completely different from the speed skating project relying on absolute hard power to distinguish the high and low characteristics, so there is greater uncertainty in the 7 ice project gold points recognized by us. Therefore, it is bold to predict that China's snow is likely to surpass the ice project, of course, there is also a probability that the two sides will be tied.