Text/Hour Morning
This group of people who have no sense of existence, the poor, have been hit the hardest, but they have also received unprecedented attention.
This time is different.
All factors are gathered, and the lowest factors also change!
The most unpopular group of people, the most vulnerable part of the group, will usher in the greatest opportunity!
This is the great cycle of a thousand years!
financial crisis? Poor Crisis!
The formation and demise of wealth is regular and cyclical.
Almost every 10 years, a financial crisis breaks out in capitalist countries, with a relatively moderate redistribution of wealth and resources.
Almost every 50 years, the world will have some relatively large-scale war frictions, relatively violent redistribution of wealth and resources.
Whether it is mild or violent, as long as the wealth is reshuffled, fate will pull everyone to the same running line, whether you are poor or rich, let everyone compete again.
This time is different. The pandemic has hit the world, financial markets have been in turmoil, the rich have been safe and the poor have suffered heavy losses.
In the past financial crisis, asset prices plummeted at the same time, will be accompanied by the bankruptcy of some financial institutions, etc., so that the gold collar standing at the top of the social food chain to pay some price, so that the rich people with strong assets pay some price.
What about this time? As soon as asset prices fell, the Fed immediately took a shot and then quickly rebounded.
What is more troublesome is that the global shutdown, the door is not out of the door, there is no consumer demand, small and medium-sized enterprises are bankrupt, and the poor have lost their jobs.
Then, get stuck in a vicious circle.
According to the American Bankruptcy Association, the number of companies filing for bankruptcy protection in the United States increased by 18% in March compared with the same period last year.
According to a joint report by the University of Illinois, Harvard Business School and the University of Chicago, since the beginning of March, more than 100,000 small businesses in the United States have permanently closed down, accounting for 2% of the number of small businesses in the United States, of which the catering industry has been particularly affected.
Small and medium-sized enterprises fail, and unemployment is very serious.
In April, U.S. non-farm payrolls fell by 20.5 million, and the unemployment rate soared 10.3 percentage points month-on-month to 14.7 percent, the highest since the Great Depression of the 1930s.
Notice that unemployment is not the same as unemployment, the unemployment of the propertied classes, as well as primitive accumulation, will not fall into a desperate situation.
The failure of small and medium-sized enterprises affects the poor, the most vulnerable groups, who have no background, no resources, and no access to large companies.
The impact of the epidemic is a global problem, and the same is true in our country, the situation is quite severe, and the poor are also the first to bear the brunt.
In addition to the slightly rising unemployment rate, we also have more hidden unemployment, such as hawkers, ride-hailing drivers, and cadres of large companies who stay off their jobs without pay.
This time, it's harder for the poor!
Like never before, we pay more attention to the poor!
Ye Tan Finance, smart people speak people together, Ye Tan teacher, poisonous tongue and kindness.
From the beginning, we have been speaking for vulnerable groups, calling for policy tilt.
On April 22, we published an article titled "Putting water out of necessity will only make the price of luxury homes skyrocket, and directly pay the poor!" It points out that it is better to directly send money to the poor than to release liquidity on a large scale.
First of all, although the number of poor people is getting smaller and lower, the gap between the rich and the poor is still quite large.
According to Li Xunlei's estimates, the income gap between the poor and the rich is definitely more than 10 times.
In other words, if you want to stimulate the rich to save the economy, you have to spend 10 times the money, but if you want to support the low-income class and make them active, you only need to spend 1 times the money.
Clearly, from an economic point of view, supporting the poor is more efficient.
In addition, the distribution of liquidity has far-reaching implications. A basin of water poured down, the hair was soaked, and the pant legs were probably still dry.
Wherever liquidity flows, prices rise. At present, most of the liquidity flows into the hands of the wealthy, so the price of luxury houses will soar.
The problem is that the rich are not short of liquidity. The real lack of mobility is that ordinary people and small and medium-sized enterprises, this group of people are not benefiting.
In the past, we were all rescue enterprises, using enterprises as the engine to solve employment problems.
Now, we can start from the residents' side, directly give money to the poor, let the poor have money to consume, and drive the recovery of aggregate demand, thus driving enterprise production.
Of course, we also have cities that have done it, such as Hangzhou and so on, but this is not enough, we can do more.
On May 25th, we continued to post "Can't Wait Any Longer!" These 540 million people must increase their income! It pointed out that farmers' pensions are too low and the working hours are too long.
According to the current regulations, men can retire at the age of 60 and women at the age of 55 and go home to recuperate. However, these have nothing to do with the peasants, and there is no peasant's share. There are almost 100 million or more peasants, living to be old and working until they are old.
The elderly, who have no ability to work, basically have no pension.
Reluctantly called the pension, probably only the state in 2009 launched the rural pension insurance, more than 60 years old farmers, can get 55 yuan per month, the implementation of more than ten years, now the farmer's "pension" rose to an average of 100 yuan.
In the case of soaring prices, 100 yuan per month, simply can not guarantee the basic survival, if you eat rice every day, to 3 yuan 1 kg of ordinary rice calculations, a month only eat rice will consume 100 yuan, cabbage can not afford to eat, not to mention other costs.
Of course, it is the state that pays more attention to the poor!
To get rid of poverty, the most critical thing about the shortage is to have jobs. Having a job doesn't necessarily mean getting rich, but it does make it possible to get out of poverty, so it's important to ensure that low-income groups have jobs.
From the outbreak of the epidemic to the end of the epidemic, a series of policies have been introduced at the top and local governments to support employment and prevent people from returning to poverty due to unemployment.
On February 5, the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security, the Ministry of Finance, the National Health Commission and other five departments "Notice on Doing a Good Job in Employment Work During the Epidemic Prevention and Control Period", six major measures, covering employment subsidies, employment services, etc., made every effort to maintain employment.
On February 12, the highest-level executive meeting proposed to pay great attention to employment issues, prevent large-scale layoffs, and increase assistance to enterprises and stabilize posts.
The above meaning has been conveyed, and various localities have also introduced policies, and more than 30 provinces and cities such as Beijing, Inner Mongolia, Tianjin, Hebei, Henan, Yunnan, Xi'an, and Shanghai have introduced relevant measures to assist enterprises and stabilize posts.
The climax is that the important meeting that began on May 22, with no economic goals, focuses on employment and poverty!
Give priority to stabilizing employment and ensuring people's livelihood, resolutely win the battle against poverty, and strive to achieve the goal and task of building a well-off society in an all-round way; under the current standards, all the rural poor people will be lifted out of poverty, and all poor counties will be removed from the hat...
Millennium Reincarnation Historic opportunity has come!
The key to eradicating poverty lies in the elimination of regional disparities.
You can find someone on the side of the road and ask him, where are our poor areas?
I believe that more than 80% of people will say that several provinces in the central and western regions. The answer to the remaining 20% is, rural.
Rural issues have always been the most prominent shortcomings, and they are also the most concerned things of the state, which can be seen from the policy documents.
At the beginning of each year, the state will issue document No. 1, which focuses on the three rural issues, which has lasted for 16 years!
At the end of each year, the state also holds a special rural work conference to summarize the past and look forward to the future.
On December 21, 2019, the rural work conference ended, and the top leaders also pointed out at the meeting:
"The key to being well-off is not to look at fellow villagers"; "How the quality of poverty alleviation and the quality of well-off people are, to a large extent, depends on the results of the "three rural" work next year."
Another shortcoming is the western region of our country.
If we want to solve the problem of poverty once and for all, the western region must rise.
This time, the time, place, and people are all in place, and the western region will usher in a historic opportunity!
Most obviously, policy tilt.
From small to real estate, large to choose a city, the first factor to consider is policy planning, which represents the future.
On May 17, Xinhua News Agency was authorized to issue the Guiding Opinions on Promoting the Formation of a New Pattern in the Large-scale Development of the Western Region in the New Era.
More than 20 years later, the great development of the western region has been revived again, and the strategic significance is very great, and the western region has begun to release policy dividends!
There is a question: After so many years of mentioning the large-scale development of the western region, why was it not possible before, but now it can be done?
Unprecedented policy implementation is one thing, but more importantly, the time has come!
In the past 40 years, we have reformed and opened up, integrated into the European and American systems, and served as a link in the era of sea power, the world's factory. But now, this condition does not exist, Sino-US relations have deteriorated, and the tide of anti-globalization is surging forward.
This means that, globally, our coastal areas are not as important as they used to be.
Moreover, all the family foundations in the country are placed on the eastern coastal areas, and there are major shortcomings in both national defense and economic points of view.
In other words, the westward shift of China's economic center of gravity is only now really beginning!
Next, the fourth industry will shift to the central and western regions, and it will also be vigorously launched.
In addition, there is a fundamental factor, climate.
Everything has a cycle, the inventory cycle, the Jugra cycle, the construction industry cycle, the Kangbo cycle, etc., the more you go down, the closer you get to the essence.
The economic cycle is affected by the cycle of human behavior, and the cycle of human behavior is affected by the climate, and finally even returns to astrophysics and everything in the universe.
Looking at the map of China, there will be a special line, that is, the Hu Huanyong Line, which is the dividing line between China's economy, population, climate and so on.
China's poor counties are mainly distributed on both sides of the Hu Huanyong line, which is very strange, right?
How did the Hu Huanyong line come about? Professor Wang Zheng of the Chinese Academy of Sciences believes that it is a product of climate change.
From 1230 to 1260, the climate suddenly changed, and the originally warm and humid Loess Plateau region began to become arid, the population carrying capacity became lower and lower, and the population gradually moved east.
Since this period, the spatial frequency distribution trend of various drought and flood disasters in China, especially the major flood disasters, has become more and more consistent with the Hu Huanyong line, and the more modern times it is, the more obvious it is.
Think about it again, when did the maritime hegemony of Western countries rise? It was almost this time.
Now, the lowest factors have changed, the rainfall in the western region is gradually increasing, the climate is changing from warm and dry to warm and wet, and the Mausu Desert is gradually retreating.
This trend has been around since the 1980s and has been going on for 30 years. Ding Yihui, deputy director of the National Committee of Experts on Climate Change, used global climate models to predict that this trend will continue into the middle of the 21st century.
Climate change is the most core change in the future!
The last time, when the western region was the warmest and wetest, it was still the prosperous era of the Tang Dynasty, and I was very excited to think about it!
This time, did it really come?
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