In spinach, in addition to the regular wins and draws, big and small balls... There is also an interesting way to play, that is, half-time wins and draws. Guessing victory and defeat at halftime is a very fun and adventurous way to play. For a team, halftime is undoubtedly very precious, and it is the best time for tactical adjustments. So, sometimes we see some teams embody a completely different style in the first and second halves, which actually tests the coach's skill and the player's ability to observe the situation on the field. Today, we will take the half-time win and loss as the starting point, study some interesting data, and find some problems that barca currently have through the data.
I. Half-time wins and draws This article counts the half-time wins and draws and full-time wins and draws in each round of Barca's first 20 rounds of La Liga this season, and introduces the data of Atletico and Real Madrid as a comparison. And create three new indicators: stability rate: that is, it means that the half-time win and loss are consistent with the full-time win and draw. Points conceded rate: that is, the result cannot be changed in the case of half-time draw or loss; or the whole game is drawn or lost in the case of half-time win; or the whole game is lost in the case of half-time draw. Scoring rate: that is, in the case of half-time draw or loss, the whole game wins; or in the case of half-time loss, the whole game is drawn.
(1) Stability rate
In the first 20 rounds of La Liga, Barca and Real Madrid are most likely to be fixed at half-time, while Barca are more prominent, reaching a 75% probability. Therefore, Barca's fans and friends can stay up late to watch the game and watch the half, and the result of winning and losing after getting up is most likely consistent with the half. Relatively speaking, Atletico's competition is more thrilling. Until the last minute, the outcome of the game is never known.
(2) Loss of points
This statistic is terrifying, proving that Barca are unable to reverse the decline or hold the winning trend through timely adjustments in 60% of the matches. On the contrary, the only 30% points conceded rate of Real Madrid, the la Liga hegemony of this tournament, is enough to see the team.
At the same time, combining the above stability rate with the loss rate, a conclusion can also be drawn. Although the stability rate of Real Madrid is as high as Barca, Real Madrid most of the games are to maintain the first half of the victory, and Barca will find it difficult to grab more points from the decline in the first half.
(3) Scoring rate
In fact, Atletico have been very difficult with Barca this season. However, even if the points conceding rate remains high, Atletico can also regain many points through Simeone's on-the-spot adjustment and the rich experience of the players. In contrast, Barca, which has the highest point loss rate and the lowest point snatch rate, is more proof of its poor ability to adjust on the spot.
If I still want to know in which time period Barca are struggling, then we go back to the game data, this time I divide the 90-minute game into 3 stages, the first 30mins, 30-60mins and the last 30mins. Find problems through goals and conceded data.
(1) Goal statistics
In fact, this data surface Barca's goal distribution is relatively even, and there are good data in the front, middle and late periods. There is no special period of strength and fatigue.
(2) Conceded data
There are more problems with the loss of goal data can reflect.
First, the performance before the 30 minutes and the last 30 minutes was particularly depressed, and the loss of goals was mainly concentrated in these two time zones, especially the last 30 minutes.
Second, in the middle of the game, the performance of 30 to 60 minutes was better. In the full 20 rounds, only 4 goals were conceded in this time zone, which is comparable to the performance of the world's top teams.
(3) Goal difference data
Finally, combining goal data with goal conceding data makes the goal difference data intuitive.
The mid-season 30 minutes were the team's best time zone, followed by 30 minutes ago and the last 30 minutes at worst.
3. Make reasonable assumptions
Finally, by combining the above two conclusions, we can finally come to this conclusion:
'Barca's ability to make impromptu adjustments this season has been extremely poor, especially in the final 30mins. ’
Okay, with that as a symptom, let's think about the biggest difference between Barca this season and previous seasons?
Yes, it's the 'young' of the lineup.
What young players lack most is the ability to read the game and concentrate their attention.
This seems to explain why barca are difficult to turn over once the game is passive, the young players have poor headwind ability, and when the game enters the final 30mins, the coaches of both sides adjust the tactics and formation more frequently, and the young players' current game reading ability is not enough to cope with the variability of the opponent's tactics, and at the same time, it is difficult to maintain concentration for 90 minutes.
Fourth, some targeted suggestions
(1) Introduce leadership players
At present, Barca lacks van Dijk-style leadership players, Alves, Pique and Busquets are veterans but lack of leadership ability, the level of competition has also declined seriously, and Terst has struggled with performance this season. The arrival of a leader player can tell the players what to do and how to do it more clearly than the coach, and infect the players to maintain a high degree of concentration. Of course, this kind of talent is rare.
(2) Don't blindly believe in young players
Although the future can be expected, the premise is that there must be a future. Persistent poor results have seriously affected the confidence of young players and hindered career development paths. Appropriate introduction of transitional players to maintain immediate combat effectiveness is the best choice.
Purely personal opinion, welcome to comment and add, thank you for the old iron for their support and companionship of Fudong 666