Negotiations between Russia and NATO and the United States have progressed slowly, with neither side willing to budge in the negotiations, repeatedly reaching an impasse. The United States and NATO have also successively increased pressure on Russia, and NATO has even declared that it is ready to send troops. Both sides are frantically trampling on each other's bottom line, making everyone very unhappy, and Yevgeny Fedov, a member of the "United Russia Party" in the Russian State Duma, even angrily said in an interview: Warning nuclear strikes should be carried out on the US mainland. The situation looks very sticky.
In fact, Russia's choice of negotiations is another concession, which is a manifestation of not wanting to start a war, but it is clear that the United States and NATO have taken this pain point of Russia, knowing that Russia is not willing to go to war, and continue to exert pressure. The United States not only deployed bombers in Ukraine, but also released information that the United States has developed a complete battle plan specifically for the seizure of the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad, saying that it is expected to succeed within 7 days. NATO is not idle, and has also deployed a large number of army and air force near Ukraine, and has held many live military exercises in the Black Sea, all of which are naked provocations to Russia.
Ever since Ukraine wants to join NATO, Russia and the situation in Ukraine has been in tension, the outside world has been speculating whether Russia will really do it. Would you use nuclear weapons if you do it? Will world war III be waged as a result? At a time when public opinion was raging, the five countries quickly signed the nuclear ban treaty, and first agreed that no matter what, no matter what, no one can afford the damage caused by nuclear weapons to all countries. In fact, this has guaranteed the bottom line for future disputes, and in the struggle for interests, everyone has their own role and rely on their own abilities, but if there is a real fight, no one is allowed to use nuclear weapons.
With the guarantee of this treaty, not only has the United States and NATO become more arrogant and continue to exert pressure, but Russia has also stopped drilling its horns and has begun to counter-pressure from multiple angles.
Russia has multiple deployments, and the United States is invincible
First of all, Russia decided to build a new railway in the Arctic, and the global shipping was congested, which was a good time to expand the Arctic shipping routes. With this new shipping lane in the Arctic, Russia's cargo transportation will be more convenient and faster, breaking the Western freight blockade and making military transportation no longer constrained. Not only that, Russia has been facing the dilemma of economic tension, the economic side can not rely on China's support, Nord Stream 2 has also fallen into political chaos, instability. To be self-sufficient, the economy must find another way, and after the opening of the Arctic project, it is expected to recover the previous cost within 3 years, which is very worth developing. It is worth mentioning that Russia has invited China to participate in investment for many years, China has also reached an agreement with Russia in 2019 and decided to promote the sustainable development of the Arctic together, and the mainland's state-owned enterprise shipping companies have also reached a long-term cooperative relationship with Russian shipping companies and are ready to do this project together. In this way, Russia not only has economic supplies, but also the transportation of military power is not constrained, bypassing the encirclement of the United States, and also opening up an economic source, and Russia has a huge advantage.
Second, Russia digs deep into the Middle East and seizes the pain points of the United States. The United States attaches great importance to this part of the Middle East, but there is an Iran that has been making a trip for the United States, Russia and Iran have cooperated closely, China, Iran, and the Russian Navy have decided to hold joint naval exercises, and when the news comes out, one of the Russian Pacific Fleet has stopped at the docks of the Iranian port of Chabahar. The two heads of state also agreed to carry out talks, as long as the United States does not give a reasonable explanation for the assassination of Suleimani, Iran will not let the United States go smoothly for a day, and the escalation of relations between Russia and Iran at this time means that Russia has a foothold in this part of the Middle East, the United States has Israel, Russia has Iran, and the two sides are just at odds.
This is not enough, the United States installed artillery shells in front of Russia's door, Russia will let it say, aim missiles at the backyard of the United States, that is, Russia may deploy missiles in Cuba, but Russia has also given the United States a certain amount of leeway, saying that whether to deploy missiles in Cuba will depend on the attitude of the United States. The previous "Cuban Missile Crisis" has made everyone nervous, and the Second Time, the United States must carefully consider it.
Russia is a battalion step by step, and the calculations are clear
The whole incident, it looks like Russia was forced by the United States to retreat step by step, in fact, Russia has a calculation every step, first of all, Putin wants to sign a security agreement with NATO, and at the same time said that the United States can always be a dishonest, both to have written guarantees, but also to give everyone a preventive shot, first of all, in the international community to occupy a moral advantage, at the same time such a move is also to tell the United States, Russia has given the opportunity to reconcile, if the United States does not know how to fight, Russia beat him out of a good villain, can not blame anyone, It's all self-inflicted by the United States.
Secondly, Russia develops in many directions, the United States blocks one road, it opens up another way out, not only is it not clamped down by the United States, but it has opened up a higher density of friendship and a more qualitative economic channel, and at the same time it can make the United States nervous militarily, make NATO feel dangerous, and dare not act rashly.
The United States actually wants to make concessions, and the focus is not on Russia.
Some experts have analyzed that in fact, Biden wants to ease relations with Russia, so that he can focus his attention on the Indo-Pacific region, in the heart of the United States, the "first enemy" is actually China, get China, the United States is willing to rest assured to break the threat in his eyes one by one, so for the security guarantee agreement proposed by Russia, Biden did not directly refuse, but said that this matter can be discussed, and wants to fight for more benefits through negotiations. However, the situation is complicated, the united states domestic opinion is not unified, some people want to use the Russian incident to divert the attention of the American people, so that the people to reduce the dissatisfaction with the American ruling class, if the incident really develops to the point of war, then the military-industrial complex behind the US government may be able to make a war fortune.
However, the United States and its allies have been in poor shape recently, leaving Putin with a lot of space and giving Putin a direction to operate. One is that Europe needs Russia's natural gas too much, it will not completely offend Russia, Putin and Europe still have talks, and secondly, Putin also sees that the United States wants to deal with China too much, so it is not focused, and the United States also wants to rely on Russia against China. The United States has neither the energy nor the ability to deal with Russia wholeheartedly, so it seems that There are still many ways out for Russia.
In the view of experts, if the United States wants to deal with Russia through the "big stick policy", it is impossible to gain benefits, and from the root cause, the United States has chosen the wrong means, so no matter how the United States blocks, Russia can think of countermeasures. Moreover, Putin's power in the West knows that it is impossible to succeed in taking advantage of Russia.