Reporter Han Bing reported that hosting the World Cup by China has always been FIFA's wish. FiFA presidents, from Avillange to Blatter to now Infantino, are eager for the World Cup to hold hands with China, but unfortunately, this expectation can only be pushed back and forth. According to British media reports, the original bid for the 2030 World Cup is very likely to withdraw from the British and Irish combinations, because they have been hinted that FIFA prefers a country that has never hosted the World Cup. Is this the 2030 World Cup calling china?
The joint bidder of the "British Isles" composed of england, Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland and the Irish FA has been determined to host the 2030 World Cup. British Prime Minister Johnson shouted the slogan of "let football go home" on the occasion of the centenary celebration of the 2030 World Cup, coupled with the golden sign of the Premier League in the world's first league, the "British Isles" combination became the number one favorite to bid for the 2030 World Cup, surpassing Uruguay, which originally hoped to host the World Cup again after a hundred years. In order to improve the success rate of the bid, the latter pulled Argentina, Chile and Paraguay to form a "southern cone" combination, but in terms of economic strength, sports facilities, and ability to host competitions, they are far inferior to the "British Isles" combination.
However, after the British government has approved 11 million pounds for the feasibility study of the bid for the 2030 World Cup, the British media revealed that because the FIFA top management clearly "hinted" that it would prefer a new host for the World Cup, the probability of success of the "British Isles" combination would be greatly reduced.
At the same time, UEFA is also putting pressure on the United Kingdom and Ireland, because UEFA is more optimistic about the Spanish-Portuguese combination and hopes that all of Europe will unanimously support the Iberian Peninsula's bid to host the 2030 World Cup. In exchange, UEFA will fully support the "British Isles" combination's bid to host Euro 2028. In order to further antagonize FIFA, this European Championship is likely to be expanded to 32 teams, which is equivalent to hosting a World Cup for the United Kingdom and Ireland.
At present, the 2030 World Cup has been clearly bid for the 2030 World Cup, including the "South Cone" combination in South America, the Iberian combination in Europe, the Balkan combination (Romania, Bulgaria, Serbia and Greece) and Morocco in Africa.
Widely seen as likely to be bidding, the British Isles, the South Korean initiative of the East Asian group (China, Japan, South Korea and the DPRK), australia and Indonesia, the South American Andean combination (Colombia, Ecuador, Peru), and the Saudi Arabian or Italian or Egyptian and Moroccan combinations, as well as the FIFA president Infantino initiative of the Israeli and United Arab Emirates, Bahrain combination.
From a geographical point of view, the bidders in the Middle East region are already at a natural disadvantage because of the 2022 Qatar World Cup, and the "South Cone" combination has the emotional advantage of the world cup's century-old return, but as we all know, South America today does not have the financial capacity to host the World Cup with 48 teams.
After the end of the "rotation" principle of the World Cup continents, although FIFA ostensibly has at least two intervals with the continent to apply for the World Cup again, the Far East, one of the three poles of the world's geography (the Americas, Europe and the Middle East, and the Far East), hosted the World Cup in 2002, and the Far East actually has a natural psychological advantage in bidding.
However, if the possibility of China's bid for the World Cup in 2030 is to be studied, the current complex relationship between UEFA and FIFA may be the most important variable. Although the "British Isles" are likely to withdraw from the bid, Europe must also be eager to settle in Europa in the 2030 World Cup. The FIFA General Assembly in March will decide whether to change the World Cup to biennial. Whether or not the resolution is passed, the confrontation between Europe and the Confederation of South American Football and FIFA will continue.
China is the last world-class power to have not hosted the World Cup, and FIFA also very much hopes that China can bid for the 2030 World Cup and complete the last piece of the world cup on the geographical map.
However, the situation of the world cup bid has become complicated by FIFA's insistence on pushing the "biennial World Cup", and if Europe and South American Football Federation completely tear up their faces, the turmoil in international football will turn the world cup bid into an infighting farce. Moreover, it is theoretically possible for China to start seriously considering whether to bid for the World Cup after hosting the Asian Cup next year.
Fortunately, FIFA originally planned to confirm the registration for the 2030 World Cup in the second quarter of this year, and voted to decide on the organizers in July 2024. However, due to the repeated outbreak of the new crown epidemic and the huge controversy caused by the biennial World Cup, the registration for the 2030 World Cup is likely to be postponed. If the most competitive "British Isles" combination does withdraw, as it did when it bid for the 2008 Summer Olympics, China is likely to stand out and become the hope of the public. It can be said that the 2030 World Cup has extended an olive branch to China, which is also the best opportunity for China to bid for the World Cup after missing out on 2022.