Kissinger's prediction was wrong, and how China completes reunification will not look at the face of the United States

Text/Walking Stuka

Fifty years ago, in 1971, when then-US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger secretly came to Beijing and met with China's top leaders, Premier Zhou asked Kissinger, "Do you think New China can regain its seat at the United Nations this year?" Kissinger said, "Probably another year, after President Nixon's visit to China." A few months later, on October 25 of the same year, China regained its legitimate seat in the United Nations.

50 years later, Mr. Kissinger came to predict again, and it was still about the situation in the Taiwan Strait. According to Bloomberg reported on November 20, Kissinger recently participated in a CNN program that said he did not expect "Chinese mainland not to unify Taiwan in the next 10 years."

Of course, Kissinger also said that although "there will be no military reunification in 10 years", the mainland will definitely take measures to weaken Taiwan's "apparent ability to substantial autonomy" (his original words). In this program, Kissinger also stressed that many people in the United States believe that "dominating the world" is China's goal, but China will not automatically become a competitor of the United States; he believes that Washington should avoid letting "confrontation" become the tone of Sino-US relations.

For Kissinger's remarks, we need to examine them from two angles: From our side, first of all, whether the mainland side will start the armed reunification procedure is not up to us, but to what road the authorities on the other side want to choose; second, when to start the armed reunification procedure is not decided by us on our own initiative; for the PLA, there is no question of "how many years to be ready", but "always ready"!

From the perspective of the United States, Kissinger's public remarks are still a little courageous in the current political atmosphere in the United States. The political sticks in Washington are obviously misleading the people and distorting the legitimate behavior of the mainland to reunify Taiwan into "challenging the hegemonic status of the United States and violating the rules formulated by the United States," further inciting the people's anti-China sentiments; in the mouths of the group of "think tank brick makers" raised in Washington, it seems that war will break out tomorrow -- in an atmosphere full of racial hatred and war fanaticism, Kissinger's words are obviously a basin of cold water.

In an interview with CNN, he also highly praised Biden's video meeting with the Chinese leader on November 16, describing it as "moving in the other direction [unlike Trump]."

In fact, This is not the first time Kissinger has tried to call on Washington to lower the tone of confrontation. At the "50th Anniversary of Kissinger's Visit to China" on July 9 this year, Kissinger himself stressed once again: The United States recognizes that there is only one China in the world and that "China regards Taiwan as a part of its own country, which is the precondition for laying the foundation for Sino-US relations, and the United States should not try to challenge this position.

Of course, we do want Americans to believe Kissinger's words, not because he is right, but because his words are good for us and objectively good for the United States. The political batons in Washington are too superstitious about the unlimited capabilities of the US military, superstitious about the simple paper data, and do not see the imminent crisis at all. Now the United States, whether from an internal or external point of view, has been unable to bear a full-scale conflict between major powers, if nothing else, just to give an example: according to a report released by the Federal Institute of Drug Abuse in the United States this year, there are at least 31.9 million "illegal" drug addicts in the United States; for comparison, in the late Qing Dynasty in 1906, the population was about the same as the current United States, and there were about 14 million opium addicts, which was already "almost no soldier in the Central Plains to resist the enemy, and there was no silver that could be fed". Isn't it difficult to curb the current drug epidemic in the US military? In 2019, the US military in Japan found a widely involved drug sales network; the US military even exposed the news that nuclear missile bases have become "drug dens".

Seriously, netizens can find a lot of shadows of the "Great Qing" in the United States now, so whether Kissinger is reliable or not, he is persuading Americans not to be too nervous about China's revival and rise. If we proceed from this point of view, we still hope that this "old comrade" will make more efforts to persuade Washington not to be too nervous about our reunification process. Of course, how much influence Kissinger's words still have in Washington is another matter!