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Sekigahara Battle If Hideaki Hayakawa does not turn his back, what are the chances of victory for the Western Army?

author:History has a knowledge society

The Battle of Sekigahara was a battle that determined the fate of the world, so it means "final battle" in Japanese, and it has always been talked about because of its profound influence on later generations of Japan. In this battle that decided the fate of the world, due to the defection of the Western Army's Kohayakawa Hideaki, which completely affected the trend of the entire war situation, which directly led to the final defeat of the Western Army, it was also jokingly called the "Sekigahara God of War".

Sekigahara Battle If Hideaki Hayakawa does not turn his back, what are the chances of victory for the Western Army?

So, if Hideaki Hayakawa hadn't turned against him, what would have been the chances of victory for the Western Army? In Japan's Meiji era, we studied the West in an all-round way and underwent near-modernization. The Japanese army studied and imitated Germany, the strongest army in the world at that time, and it recruited a large number of military instructors from Germany. When the Japanese military came up with the two sides of the Sekigahara Battle and asked the German instructors, the German instructor, Major Mitchell, concluded that "the Western army will win."

Sekigahara Battle If Hideaki Hayakawa does not turn his back, what are the chances of victory for the Western Army?

It is true that only from the perspective of the deployment of the two sides and the terrain occupied, the Western Army can be said to have the advantage. The Western Army not only occupied the commanding heights of the surrounding terrain, but also attacked the Eastern Army on both sides, and if the Eastern Army fled along the Ise Street, the Western Army's Changzong Andi Shengqin's troops could bypass the southeast foothills of Nangong Mountain and intercept it. However, according to the actual situation of the two sides, even if Hideaki Hayakawa did not turn against the enemy, it would be difficult for the Western Army to win, which was mainly due to the following reasons.

Sekigahara Battle If Hideaki Hayakawa does not turn his back, what are the chances of victory for the Western Army?

First of all, the Western Army lacked a strong and powerful "commander-in-chief." The general of the Western Army, Maori Huiyuan, did not come to the battlefield at all, but was replaced by Maori Hidemoto to command the Maori army. Ishida Mitsunari served as the de facto "General Commander-in-Chief", but is a civilian official, and his actual command ability is certainly inferior to Thatgawa Ieyasu. Second, Ishida Sansei is only a daimyo of 190,000 stones, and Tokugawa Ieyasu is a daimyō of more than 2.55 million. The strength of the strength determines the level of fame. Since the death of Toyotomi Hideyoshi, Tokugawa Ieyasu has become the number one daimyō in japan, and his own strength is the capital that commands the daimyōs of the princes.

Sekigahara Battle If Hideaki Hayakawa does not turn his back, what are the chances of victory for the Western Army?

And with ishida Sansei's only strength, how could he command other daimyo? Therefore, since the raising of the army, Ishida Sansei has ceded the position of "General of the Western Army" to Maori Huiyuan (about 1.2 million stones). Only with the Maori clan as the core of leadership can there be a chance of competing with Tokugawa Ieyasu. However, Maori Keigen did not personally appear on the battlefield (the war was not directly related to the Maori clan), and the command of the battlefield returned to the hands of Ishida Sansei, who had neither deterred the other Western armies nor obtained full authorization from the Toyotomi clan. Therefore, its orders cannot be enforced. When Ishida Sansei launched the order for a general offensive, the main force of the Maori army, as well as the armies of Kohayakawa and Shimazu, did not move; even when Ishida Sansei's home front was attacked, Ishida Misei personally asked Shimazu Yoshihiro for help, but Shimazu Yoshihiro said: "Although the victory or defeat today is unknown, Shimazu has its own Shimazu's advance and retreat. ”

Sekigahara Battle If Hideaki Hayakawa does not turn his back, what are the chances of victory for the Western Army?

Second, as far as the actual combat strength of the eastern and western armies is concerned, it is also strong in the east and weak in the west. Regardless of the Fact that the Tokugawa family still had more than 30,000 main forces that could not reach the battlefield. First, the Toyotomi faction, which was subordinate to the Eastern Army, was an arbitrary faction, and its actual combat strength was certainly stronger than that of the Civilian Daimyo faction of the Western Army. In addition, in history, Kanto was the birthplace and base camp of samurai, and the East made warhorses and good field battles.

Sekigahara Battle If Hideaki Hayakawa does not turn his back, what are the chances of victory for the Western Army?

Third, the hesitation of the main force of the Western Army, the Maori clan. If the Maori and Yoshikawa clans had not been undecided and had participated in the war in time. Then, as one of the Maori clans, the Hayakawa clan had to follow the Maori clan to participate in the battle against the Eastern Army. However, the Maori family has always been undecided, and even through the Yoshikawa Hiroyasu and Tokugawa Ieyasu secretly concluded a "Maori family will not participate in the battle" agreement with Tokugawa Ieyasu, in exchange for the 1.2 million stones of the Maori family's territory (as in the old one). As the main force of the Western Army, the Maori clan's indecisive moves and the two ends of the first rat determined that even if Hideaki Hayakawa did not turn his back, he would lose the fighter, which would lead to the final defeat.

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