In the early morning of September 24, The No. 15 wind turbine made landfall in Vietnam, and then quickly weakened into a tropical depression, becoming the shortest-lived typhoon of the year. Under the influence of the electric mother, showers occurred along the coasts of Hainan, Guangdong and Guangxi, and the temperature dropped slightly. In the limited life, the electric mother has done some good things, indicating that it is a good typhoon.
After making landfall in Vietnam, the electric mother typhoon came from the Fengyun 4 satellite cloud map
However, the dandelion on the right is not necessarily a good typhoon. With the arrival of the electric mother, there was only one dandelion typhoon left in the vast northwest Pacific Ocean; so that the ocean energy that was so abundant that it was close to the upper limit could all be used by dandelions. As can be seen from the satellite cloud map, the dandelion is indeed dancing with teeth and claws, and the aura is full.
The double typhoon of September 24, Zhongqi love label
Because of this, all supercomputer models, all weather agencies, gave dandelions extremely high intensity predictions. China's Central Meteorological Observatory directly predicts a 17-level super typhoon; the Japan Meteorological Agency predicts a "fierce" level; and the United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center predicts that dandelions are only one step away from a level 5 typhoon.
Central Weather Observatory forecast for dandelions
What's more, because of the "saddle field" situation formed by the two-ring sub-high attack, dandelions may be stranded on the warm pool, and their path shape is similar to the super typhoon "Taipei" in 1979. In the middle of October of that year, TaiPei left a shocking 870 hPa air pressure and a wind circle record of 2,000 kilometers wide, and the air pressure record has not been broken.
Typhoon Taipei Road Map, from the Digital Typhoon Network
With the rising SST in the Northwest Pacific Ocean, the typhoon intensity of the Northwest Pacific Ocean has increased since 2010, and the top super typhoons are frequent, such as Petrel in 2013, Moranti in 2016 and Swan in 2020; their wind speed may not be inferior to Thatpei, but at the same time, their body size has shown a trend of becoming smaller, and the air pressure is certainly not as low as that of Tempe. The increase in strength is accompanied by a shrinking body shape, and the reasons for this are worth studying.
Typhoon Haiyan in 2013 and Typhoon Swan in 2020, from the digital typhoon network
In any case, Tai Pei is the most secure of the many wind kings in the northwest Pacific. It takes "big" and "strong" to the extreme, and completely integrates. Compared with Taipei, although the ocean heat of dandelions is not inferior, due to the high latitude of strengthening, the sinking air flow of the ocean east of the Philippines this year is too much, and the possibility of reaching Taipei's strength is very small, and even the possibility of exceeding Candu is not very large.
Typhoon Taipei in 1979, from the digital typhoon network
But unlike the miniature candy, dandelion is definitely a giant super typhoon, with the ability to directly impact the subtropical high pressure, divert it and even collapse. After the dandelion is rapidly strengthened, it will quickly suck away the water vapor of our country, so that the heavy rain in Henan will end completely; on the eve of the eleventh, it will approach the East China Sea, smash the sub-high, introduce cold air, and let the high temperature in most of the south end. Of course, Fujian, Taiwan and Guangdong still have to eat a little sinking, the high temperature may be temporarily strengthened, you must be prepared to prevent heat and cool down.
The SST monitoring map shows that south of Japan is a large range of 30 degrees, and Zhongqi Ai is based on NOAA data