NATO, which was used against the Soviet Union during the Cold War, did not disband because of the collapse of the Soviet Union, but continued to aim its guns at Russia. During this period, in order to avoid the guns and misfire, the two sides set up representative offices for each other, after all, communication is better than no communication. However, the distrust between the two sides is like a natural barrier that can never be passed.
A few days ago, NATO expelled 8 Russian representatives on the grounds of "engaging in espionage activities", and with the further fermentation of the incident, the two sides completely moved towards "severing diplomatic relations". It is foreseeable that the situation in the region will be very bad in the future.
According to Russian media reports, the head of Russian international affairs revealed that under the leadership of the European Union, NATO has formulated a new strategy, which will be adopted at the next summit, but the previous relationship between NATO and Russia is not in line with the positioning of the new strategy. The person in charge believes that a complete fallout with Russia is entirely a plan of the European Union.
Russian strategy expert Sergei Yermakov also said that NATO is systematically stimulating Russia with the purpose of worsening relations between the two sides. Yermakov believes that escalating confrontation with Russia is the need of NATO's new strategy. If the information is accurate, Russia may face a new Cold War, and even the possibility of misfire cannot even be ruled out.
It is worth noting that according to Russian international expert Vasily Kashin, the top military chiefs of Russia and the United States have long established communication channels, which have worked well in past crises. Therefore, the severance of contacts with NATO is less important.
The analysis believes that the United States will shift its military focus to the Indo-Pacific step by step, and according to the consistent virtue of the United States, it is likely to reach a deal with Russia in the direction of Europe, which makes the EU and NATO feel very uneasy. It is understandable, therefore, why the EU is so eager to form an EU coalition. It is more understandable why NATO emphasizes that it will not seek confrontation with China, rather than fully cooperating with the US Indo-Pacific strategy.
According to the latest reports of Russian media, the Russian deputy foreign minister revealed to the media that NATO has turned the Baltic Sea into an arena for military confrontation, they will choose the next battlefield in the Black Sea region, and the Russian side is closely observing military operations on bulgarian and Romanian territory.
It is difficult to say exactly who escalated the confrontation in the region, maybe not to say, but it just happened, and there are too many similar precedents in history. What we are more concerned about is, according to Russia's head of international affairs, what exactly is NATO's new strategy? What will be the impact on the regional and international situation in the future?
First, because of the mutual distrust between NATO and Russia, NATO has reason to oppose the U.S. compromise. The defeat and hasty withdrawal of troops in the Afghan battlefield have made the allies feel a deep crisis, and the United States may abandon the allies at any time, even if they have sworn to the promise a moment ago.
Secondly, during the Trump era, he coerced NATO to pay the "protection fee" by withdrawing from NATO, causing deep psychological trauma to NATO member states, even if Biden took office and comforted everything, NATO's trust can not return to the past, no one knows when the United States will re-embark on Trump's route.
Then, NATO's internal contradictions are prominent, and it is necessary to create a powerful external enemy to unite people's hearts and minds, and this role is none other than Russia.
Finally, the United States will shift its strategic focus to Asia, which may cause a window period for European defense, and NATO's geopolitical influence will face the risk of weakening, gathering forces in confrontation, or even cutting off the RETREAT of the United States, or the planning of the European Union and NATO.
What is worrying is how much willing the US military is to stay in Europe, and how much external stimulation is needed for the build-up of European power. Based on strategic needs, although the probability of a full-scale war between the front and Russia is very small, it is not excluded that NATO will provoke a war in the local area.
It is worth noting that it is not easy for the United States to mobilize all its allies to engage in confrontation with China, Europe may not let the US military withdraw easily for its own interests, and based on the capriciousness of the US strategy, Europe will not completely fall to the United States. From a certain point of view, NATO's pursuit of confrontation with Russia may be an important force to contain the US military. In fact, NATO's inadvertent work may have helped China a little. (Zhikang)