Author: Li Yunfei|Source: Original
An old entrepreneurial driver who has been in the mall for a long time, pay attention to me, share a little wealth dry goods every day, and make your life less detours.
If you were to ask what is the most valuable before 2021? I'm sure everyone will answer that it's a house. Indeed, houses have been worth dozens of times over the past few decades. If we go back to the past, I'm sure everyone will buy a house and put it there when they tighten their belts. But in this world, there is no front and back eyes, and there is no regret medicine, and it is wrong to miss it.
Today I will summarize the past, and then look at the future, to see what is the most valuable thing in China after 10 years? This will make it easier for us to invest in financial management in the future, and we will not let ourselves be poor again.
Let's first take a look at China's economic development trend in the next 10 years.
First of all, from the perspective of development goals, the long-term goal of China's economic development in 2035 is to raise the current 400 million middle class to 800 million people and become a moderately developed country.
Secondly, let's look at it from the development plan, in the future, China will vigorously develop high-end manufacturing and high-tech industries, such as artificial intelligence, big data, new energy, 5G technology, blockchain technology applications and so on.
Through the above two points, we can conclude that China's external development goal in the next 10 years is to surpass, speak with strength, and make China a world power; the internal development goal is to achieve common prosperity for the whole people.
Let's review the past laws of economic development.
In 2000, China's total broad money was 13.46 trillion yuan, but by 2020, this figure has become 218.67 trillion yuan, and the total amount of money has increased nearly 20 times in 20 years. That's why we're getting richer now. Multi-millionaires and even billionaires are not to blame.
Let's talk about the total GDP in these 20 years. In 2000, the GDP was 10 trillion yuan, and by 2020, the GDP will reach 101.59 trillion yuan, and China's total economic output has increased by as much as 10 times in these 20 years. If you compare monetary aggregates with economic aggregates, the ratio was 1.34 in 2000 and 2.15 in 2020. What does this mean? This shows that although money is getting more and more, money is becoming less and less valuable.
Through the economic development law of the past 20 years, we can see that inflation and currency depreciation will continue to occur. In the next 10 years, as the size of the economy increases, the total amount of money will also increase. But it is also an indisputable fact that it will become less and less valuable.
After we talk about the past and the future, we return to the main topic, that is, in the next 10 years, what is the most valuable?
As we mentioned above, in the next 10 years, the total amount of money will certainly increase, and it will be more than the total GDP. So this extra money always has to find a reservoir? The implication is that where can money flow in the future, where will it certainly be worth it? So where will the money go in the future?
If it wants money to be expected, it must have four attributes: the first is that its own capacity must be large enough to hold a large amount of money; the second is that it must have the attributes of financial investment; the third is that it must be legal and compliant; and the fourth is that it must be scarce and sustainable to grow, to ensure the speed of price increase.
So what is the thing that can have these four attributes?
First of all, it must be real estate in first-tier cities. Maybe you will say, didn't you say above that the future is not to take the route of common prosperity? How could the house still rise sharply? You're right. That's why I'm laying the groundwork on it. But we need to know that the house has two properties, one is the just need property, and the other is the financial property.
In the future, the demand for houses will certainly not rise sharply, but the financial attributes of houses in first-tier cities will be stronger. In the face of the extreme scarcity of resources in large cities, society itself does not want everyone to be able to afford it, and society only wants to sell the most valuable house to the richest people.
Second, equity in high-quality technology companies. As we said above, in the future, China will vigorously develop high-end manufacturing and high-tech industries. So in the future, these high-quality companies will have a lot of room for development. In the coming decades, it will also lead the direction of China's economy.
So in the next 10 years, the equity of these quality companies will be the most valuable. We can buy their shares, become their shareholders, and then sit back and enjoy them. Of course, we must have the ability to discern pearls with discernment. I don't recommend it here, just the direction.
What will be the most valuable thing in China in the next 10 years? Do you have the answer in mind? Tell us what you think. Welcome to leave a message to discuss.
Author: Li Yunfei, founder of a well-known Internet company, CEO of a large food chain enterprise, engaged in the Internet and physical chain industry for 16 years, has been reported by Sohu.com, NetEase Finance, Tencent, Phoenix.com, Zhongxun.com, Baidu and other well-known media platforms, good at Internet marketing, chain enterprise management.